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This paper investigates the birth-death ("B-D" for short) process on tree with continuous time, emphasizing on estimating the principal eigenvalue (equivalently, the convergence rate) of the process with Dirichlet boundary at the unique…

Spectral Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Wang Lingdi , Zhang Yuihui

We study the time until first occurrence, the first-passage time, of rare density fluctuations in diffusive systems. We approach the problem using a model consisting of many independent random walkers on a lattice. The existence of spatial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-16 David P. Sanders , Hernán Larralde

The presented explanations are provided for the one--dimensional diffusion process with constant drift by using forward Fokker--Planck technique. We are interested in the outflow probability in a finite interval, i.e. first passage time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-09-12 Julia Hinkel , Reinhard Mahnke

First passage distributions of semi-Markov processes are of interest in fields such as reliability, survival analysis, and many others. The problem of finding or computing first passage distributions is, in general, quite challenging. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-10 Richard L. Warr

We consider a version of random motion of hard core particles on the semi-lattice $ 1, 2, 3,...$, where in each time instant one of three possible events occurs, viz., (a) a randomly chosen particle hops to a free neighboring site, (b) a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-01-03 J. W. van de Leur , A. Yu. Orlov

The first passage time problem is considered for stochastic logistic growth model with constant harvesting and multiplicative environmental noise. Explicit expressions for the moments and cumulants of both upcrossing and downcrossing FPTs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Simone Catanzaro , Elvira Di Nardo

We address some inverse problems for the first-passage place and the first-passage time of a one-dimensional diffusion process $\mathcal X(t)$ with stochastic resetting, starting from an initial position $\mathcal X(0)= \eta ;$ this type of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Mario Abundo

The first passage statistics of a continuous time random walker with Poisson distributed jumps on one and two dimensional infinite lattices is investigated. An exact expression for the probability of first return to the origin in one…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-06-13 Stephy Jose

The limitations resulting from the dichtomisation of continuous outcomes have been extensively described. But the need to present results based on binary outcomes in particular in health science remains. Alternatives based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Odile Sauzet

In this paper, we consider the N-urn Ehrenfest model. By utilizing an auxiliary continuous-time Markov chain, we obtain the explicit formula for the Laplace transform of the hitting time from a single state to a set A of states where A…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Cheng Xin , Minzhi Zhao , Qiang Yao , Erjia Cui

A popular method to compute first-passage probabilities in continuous-time Markov chains is by numerically inverting their Laplace transforms. Past decades, the scientific computing community has developed excellent numerical methods for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-01 Debarati Bhaumik , Marko A. A. Boon , Daan Crommelin , Barry Koren , Bert Zwart

Studies of fixation dynamics in Markov processes predominantly focus on the mean time to absorption. This may be inadequate if the distribution is broad and skewed. We compute the distribution of fixation times in one-step birth-death…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-30 Peter Ashcroft , Arne Traulsen , Tobias Galla

A new stochastic method for describing mortality is proposed and explored. It is based on differences of observed times series of the transform $\log(-\log x)$ of survival probabilities which seem to follow simple patterns over the years.…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-26 Meitner Cadena

We consider stochastic growth models for populations organized in colonies and subject to uniform catastrophes. To assess population viability, we analyze scenarios in which individuals adopt dispersion strategies after catastrophic events.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Joan Amaya , Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

The asymptotic behavior of a stochastic network represented by a birth and death processes of particles on a compact state space is analyzed. Births: Particles are created at rate $\lambda_+$ and their location is independent of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-12 Philippe Robert

Stochastic models that incorporate birth, death and immigration (also called birth-death and innovation models) are ubiquitous and applicable to many research topics such as quantifying species sizes in ecological populations, describing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Renaud Dessalles , Maria D'Orsogna , Tom Chou

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We investigate the first-passage properties of nearest-neighbor hopping on a finite interval with disordered hopping rates. We develop an approach that relies on the backward equation, in conjunction with probability generating functions,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-14 James Holehouse , S. Redner

Stochastic systems characterised by a random driving in a form of the general stable noise are considered. The particle experiences long rests due to the traps the density of which is position-dependent and obeys a power-law form attributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-06 Tomasz Srokowski

The long time behaviour of the survival probability of initial state and its dependence on the initial states are considered, for the one dimensional free quantum particle. We derive the asymptotic expansion of the time evolution operator…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Manabu Miyamoto