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Related papers: Juggling probabilities

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The dynamical likelihood method for analysis of high energy collider events is reformulated. The method is to reconstruct the elementary parton state from observed quantities. The basic assumption is that each of final state partons…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 Kunitaka Kondo

Random metastability occurs when an externally forced or noisy system possesses more than one state of apparent equilibrium. This work investigates fluctuations in a class of random dynamical systems, arising from randomly perturbing a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Cecilia González-Tokman , Joshua Peters

We propose a probabilistic model to aggregate the answers of respondents answering multiple-choice questions. The model does not assume that everyone has access to the same information, and so does not assume that the consensus answer is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-16 John McCoy , Drazen Prelec

This paper is a continuation of the study on the stability speed for Markov processes. It extends the previous study of the ergodic convergence speed to the non-ergodic one, in which the processes are even allowed to be explosive or having…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-01 Mu-Fa Chen

The majority game, modelling a system of heterogeneous agents trying to behave in a similar way, is introduced and studied using methods of statistical mechanics. The stationary states of the game are given by the (local) minima of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-08 P. Kozlowski , M. Marsili

Expression for probability distribution is got taking into account a presence and removal of degeneracy on the microstates. Its application allows to describe the process of melting of solids, as saltatory phase transition of the first kind…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-20 Leonid S. Metlov

Juggling patterns can be mathematically modeled as closed walks within directed state graphs. In this paper, we present a unified framework of unbounded juggling patterns and its variations (including multiplex, colored, and passing)…

The paper introduces a simple way of recording and manipulating general stochastic processes without explicit reference to a probability measure. In the new calculus, operations traditionally presented in a measure-specific way are instead…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-08 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

The creation of complex entangled states, resources that enable quantum computation, can be achieved via simple 'probabilistic' operations which are individually likely to fail. However, typical proposals exploiting this idea carry a severe…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-05-29 Yuichiro Matsuzaki , Simon C Benjamin , Joseph Fitzsimons

We consider a general honest homogeneous continuous-time Markov process with restarts. The process is forced to restart from a given distribution at time moments generated by an independent Poisson process. The motivation to study such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-26 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexei Piunovskiy , Zhang Yi

We study continuous time Markov processes on graphs. The notion of frequency is introduced, which serves well as a scaling factor between any Markov time of a continuous time Markov process and that of its jump chain. As an application, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jianjun Tian , Xiao-Song Lin

We present here two examples of stochastic modelings of social phenomena. The first topic is pedestrian counter flow. Two groups of model pedestrians move in opposite directions and create congestions. It will be shown that this congestion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-19 Kichi Tokuyama , Ryuta Maemura , Kengo Yokouchi , Toru Ohira

We extend the notion of randomness (in the version introduced by Schnorr) to computable Probability Spaces and compare it to a dynamical notion of randomness: typicality. Roughly, a point is typical for some dynamic, if it follows the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-12 Peter Gacs , Mathieu Hoyrup , Cristobal Rojas

We consider Markov jump processes describing structured populations with interactions via density dependance. We propose a Markov construction with a distinguished individual which allows to describe the random tree and random sample at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Vincent Bansaye

Observed clusters should be modelled by considering the distribution function to be a random variable that quantifies the degree of excitation of the system's normal modes. A system of canonical coordinates for the space of DFs is…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-08-11 Jun Yan Lau , James Binney

We consider the motion of a particle on a Galton Watson tree, when the probabilities of jumping from a vertex to any one of its neighbours is determined by a random process. Given the tree, positive weights are assigned to the edges in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 A. D. Barbour , A. Collevecchio

We propose a new generalisation of jump-telegraph process with variable velocities and jumps. Amplitude of the jumps and velocity values are random, and they depend on the time spent by the process in the previous state of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-22 Nikita Ratanov

The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

Many physical phenomena are modeled as stochastic searchers looking for targets. In these models, the probability that a searcher finds a particular target, its so-called hitting probability, is often of considerable interest. In this work…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-07-18 Samantha Linn , Sean D. Lawley

Though the ability of human beings to deal with probabilities has been put into question, the assessment of rarity is a crucial competence underlying much of human decision-making and is pervasive in spontaneous narrative behaviour. This…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-08-25 Jean-Louis Dessalles
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