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We identify the scaling limit of random intersection graphs inside their critical windows. The limit graphs vary according to the clustering regimes, and coincide with the continuum Erdos--Renyi graph in two out of the three regimes. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Minmin Wang

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

In this article, we generalize known formulas for crossing probabilities. Prior crossing results date back to J. Cardy's prediction of a formula for the probability that a percolation cluster in two dimensions connects the left and right…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-23 Steven M. Flores , Jacob J. H. Simmons , Peter Kleban , Robert M. Ziff

We extend a generic class of systems which have previously been shown to spontaneously develop scaling (power law) distributions of their elementary degrees of freedom. While the previous systems were linear and exploded exponentially for…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-28 S. Solomon , M. Levy

Numerical studies of fractal curves in the plane often focus on subtle geometrical properties such as their left passage probability. Schramm-Loewner evolution (SLE) is a mathematical framework which makes explicit predictions for such…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-12 K. J. Schrenk , J. D. Stevenson

We obtain new lower bounds on the critical points for various models of oriented percolation. The method is to provide a stochastic domination of the percolation processes by multitype Galton-Watson trees. This can be apply to the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-23 Olivier Couronné

We study families of dependent site percolation models on the triangular lattice ${\mathbb T}$ and hexagonal lattice ${\mathbb H}$ that arise by applying certain cellular automata to independent percolation configurations. We analyze the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Federico Camia , Charles M. Newman , Vladas Sidoravicius

We study statistical models that are parametrized by squares of linear forms. All critical points of the likelihood function are real and positive. There is one critical point in each region of the projective hyperplane arrangement defined…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Hannah Friedman , Bernd Sturmfels , Maximilian Wiesmann

We consider the discrete three dimensional scan statistics. Viewed as the maximum of an 1-dependent stationary r.v.'s sequence, we provide approximations and error bounds for the probability distribution of the three dimensional scan…

Computation · Statistics 2013-03-18 Alexandru Amarioarei , Cristian Preda

We point out that the construction of a martingale observable describing the spin interface of the two-dimensional Ising model extends to a class of non-integrable variants of the two-dimensional Ising model, and express it in terms of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-10-18 Rafael L. Greenblatt , Eveliina Peltola

In a geometric inhomogeneous random graph vertices are given by the points of a Poisson process and are equipped with independent weights following a heavy tailed distribution. Any pair of distinct vertices is independently forming an edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Emmanuel Jacob , Céline Kerriou , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

We prove a metric space scaling limit for a critical random graph with independent and identically distributed degrees having power-law tail behaviour with exponent $\alpha+1$, where $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The limiting components are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-02 Guillaume Conchon--Kerjan , Christina Goldschmidt

Let a random geometric graph be defined in the supercritical regime for the existence of a unique infinite connected component in Euclidean space. Consider the first-passage percolation model with independent and identically distributed…

Let $M_n$ be a simple triangulation of the sphere $S^2$, drawn uniformly at random from all such triangulations with n vertices. Endow $M_n$ with the uniform probability measure on its vertices. After rescaling graph distance on $V(M_n)$ by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-20 Louigi Addario Berry , Marie Albenque

We analyse the dynamics of trapped matter shells in spherically symmetric inhomogeneous \Lambda-CDM models. The investigation uses a Generalised Lema\^itre-Tolman-Bondi description with initial conditions subject to the constraints of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2011-06-07 Morgan Le Delliou , Filipe C. Mena , José Pedro Mimoso

The dynamical properties of the invasion percolation on the square lattice are investigated with emphasis on the geometrical properties on the growing cluster of infected sites. The exterior frontier of this cluster forms a critical loop…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-02 S. Tizdast , N. Ahadpour , M. N. Najafi , Z. Ebadi , H. Mohamadzadeh

In this work, we consider the numerical estimation of the probability for a stochastic process to hit a set B before reaching another set A. This event is assumed to be rare. We consider reactive trajectories of the stochastic Allen-Cahn…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Maxime Gazeau , Ludovic Goudenège , Mathias Rousset

We consider a discrete-time model for random interface growth which admits exact formulas and converges to the Polynuclear growth model in a particular limit. The height of the interface is initially flat and the evolution involves the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Will FitzGerald

We construct a new family of random permutons, called skew Brownian permuton, which describes the limits of several models of random constrained permutations. This family is parametrized by two real parameters. For a specific choice of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Jacopo Borga

A family of random matrix ensembles interpolating between the GUE and the Ginibre ensemble of $n\times n$ matrices with iid centered complex Gaussian entries is considered. The asymptotic spectral distribution in these models is uniform in…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Martin Bender