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The incorporation of uncertainties to calculations of signal significance in planned experiments is an actual task. Several approaches to this problem are discussed. We present a procedure for taking into account the systematic uncertainty…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 S. I. Bityukov

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

In this paper we propose an estimator of the distribution of events of different kinds in a homogeneous Poisson process. We give an explicit solution for the maximum likelihood estimator of the distribution and derive its strong consistency…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Dragi Anevski , Vladimir Pastukhov

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

The normal distribution has the unique property that the cumulant generating function has only two terms, namely those involving the mean and the variance. This property is used to construct a simple by using the log of the modulus of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-02 J. Martin van Zyl

We numerically analyze the statistical properties of complex system with conditions subjecting the matrix elements to a set of specific constraints besides symmetry, resulting in various structures in their matrix representation. Our…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-02-20 Triparna Mondal , Pragya Shukla

We consider MAP estimators for structured prediction with exponential family models. In particular, we concentrate on the case that efficient algorithms for uniform sampling from the output space exist. We show that under this assumption…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Shankar Vembu , Thomas Gartner , Mario Boley

Multimodal normal incestual systems are investigated in terms of multiple categories. The different sorted composition of operators are exhibited as 2-cells in multiple categories built up from 2-categories giving rise to different axioms.…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Joaquín Díaz Boils

We examine a fundamental problem that models various active sampling setups, such as network tomography. We analyze sampling of a multivariate normal distribution with an unknown expectation that needs to be estimated: in our setup it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Assaf Hallak , Shie Mannor

We study time continuous branching processes with exponentially distributed lifetimes, with two types of cells that proliferate according to binary fission. A range of possible system dynamics are considered, each of which is characterized…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Nam H Nguyen , Marek Kimmel

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

The field of property testing of probability distributions, or distribution testing, aims to provide fast and (most likely) correct answers to questions pertaining to specific aspects of very large datasets. In this work, we consider a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-04-27 Clément L. Canonne

We consider the error distribution in functional linear models with scalar response and functional covariate. Different asymptotic expansions of the empirical distribution function and the empirical characteristic function based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

We study notions of robustness of Markov kernels and probability distribution of a system that is described by $n$ input random variables and one output random variable. Markov kernels can be expanded in a series of potentials that allow to…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Johannes Rauh , Nihat Ay

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

Given samples from a distribution, how many new elements should we expect to find if we continue sampling this distribution? This is an important and actively studied problem, with many applications ranging from unseen species estimation to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Aditi Raghunathan , Greg Valiant , James Zou

This paper examines the statistical properties of a distributional form that arises from pooled testing for the prevalence of a binary outcome. Our base distribution is a two-parameter distribution using a prevalence and excess intensity…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-11 Ben O'Neill , Angus McLure

The paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a joint distribution of the sample size and its exchangeable random partitions. The cluster structure allows the probability distribution of the random partitions of a subset…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-08 Mingyuan Zhou

We study shrinkage estimation of the mean parameters of a class of multivariate distributions for which the diagonal entries of the corresponding covariance matrix are certain quadratic functions of the mean parameter. This class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Nikolas Siapoutis , Donald Richards , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur

We propose and study properties of maximum likelihood estimators in the class of conditional transformation models. Based on a suitable explicit parameterisation of the unconditional or conditional transformation function, we establish a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-22 Torsten Hothorn , Lisa Möst , Peter Bühlmann
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