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The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

We consider a Markovian load balancing model on a fully-connected network, where calls have Poisson arrivals and exponential durations. The endpoints of each call are uniform over all the links of the network. Each call is routed either…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-24 Malwina Luczak

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Given a possibly discontinuous, bounded function $f:\mathbb{R}\mapsto\mathbb{R}$, we consider the set of generalized flows, obtained by assigning a probability measure on the set of Carath\'eodory solutions to the ODE ~$\dot x = f(x)$. The…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Alberto Bressan , Marco Mazzola , Khai T. Nguyen

Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

We consider Markov jump processes on a graph described by a rate matrix that depends on various control parameters. We derive explicit expressions for the static responses of edge currents and steady-state probabilities. We show that they…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-28 Timur Aslyamov , Massimiliano Esposito

Markov chains and diffusion processes are indispensable tools in machine learning and statistics that are used for inference, sampling, and modeling. With the growth of large-scale datasets, the computational cost associated with simulating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-31 Jonathan H. Huggins , James Zou

For Markov chains and Markov processes exhibiting a form of stochastic monotonicity (larger states shift up transition probabilities in terms of stochastic dominance), stability and ergodicity results can be obtained using order-theoretic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Takashi Kamihigashi , John Stachurski

We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

This work introduces a notion of approximate probabilistic trace equivalence for labelled Markov chains, and relates this new concept to the known notion of approximate probabilistic bisimulation. In particular this work shows that the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-04-28 Gaoang Bian , Alessandro Abate

We consider continuous-space, discrete-time Markov chains on $\mathbb{R}^d$, that admit a finite number $N$ of metastable states. Our main motivation for investigating these processes is to analyse random Poincar\'e maps, which describe…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Nils Berglund

Linear fractional Galton-Watson branching processes in i.i.d.~random environment are, on the quenched level, intimately connected to random difference equations by the evolution of the random parameters of their linear fractional marginals.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Gerold Alsmeyer

This paper aims at improving the convergence to equilibrium of finite ergodic Markov chains via permutations and projections. First, we prove that a specific mixture of permuted Markov chains arises naturally as a projection under the KL…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Michael C. H. Choi , Max Hird , Youjia Wang

We consider the diffusion process and its approximation by Markov chain with nonlinear increasing trends. The usual parametrix method is not appliable because these models have unbounded trends. We describe a procedure that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-02 V. Konakov , A. Markova

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

Fluid limit techniques have become a central tool to analyze queueing networks over the last decade, with applications to performance analysis, simulation and optimization. In this paper, some of these techniques are extended to a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-02 Gersende Fort , Sean Meyn , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret

Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging…

Computation · Statistics 2015-02-17 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön , Fredrik Lindsten

Markovian projections arise in problems where we aim to mimic the one-dimensional marginal laws of an It\^o semimartingale by using another It\^o process with Markovian dynamics. In applications, Markovian projections are useful in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Martin Larsson , Shukun Long

We prove a functional limit theorem for Markov chains that, in each step, move up or down by a possibly state dependent constant with probability $1/2$, respectively. The theorem entails that the law of every one-dimensional regular…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Stefan Ankirchner , Thomas Kruse , Mikhail Urusov
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