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In this paper we study the central limit theorem for additive functionals of stationary Markov chains with general state space by using a new idea involving conditioning with respect to both the past and future of the chain. Practically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

We address the problem of upper bounding the mean square error of MCMC estimators. Our analysis is nonasymptotic. We first establish a general result valid for essentially all ergodic Markov chains encountered in Bayesian computation and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-12 Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

Using the renewal approach we prove Bernstein-like inequalities for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The coefficient in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Michał Lemańczyk

A remarkable theorem of Besicovitch is that an integrable function $f$ on $\mathbb{R}^2$ is strongly differentiable if and only if its associated strong maximal function $M_S f$ is finite a.e. We provide an analogue of Besicovitch's result…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Paul Hagelstein , Daniel Herden , Alexander Stokolos

Motivated by studying stochastic systems with non-Gaussian L\'evy noise, spectral properties for a type of linear cocycles are considered. These linear cocycles have countable jump discontinuities in time. A multiplicative ergodic theorem…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-09 Huijie Qiao , Jinqiao Duan

The central limit theorem for Markov chains generated by iterated function systems consisting of orientation preserving homeomorphisms of the interval is proved. We study also ergodicity of such systems.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Klaudiusz Czudek , Tomasz Szarek

We establish results with an arithmetic flavor that generalize the polynomial multidimensional Szemeredi theorem and related multiple recurrence and convergence results in ergodic theory. For instance, we show that in all these statements…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Nikos Frantzikinakis , Bernard Host

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\ge0}$ be a $V$-geometrically ergodic Markov chain. Given some real-valued functional $F$, define $M_n(\alpha):=n^{-1}\sum_{k=1}^nF(\alpha,X_{k-1},X_k)$, $\alpha\in\mathcal{A}\subset \mathbb {R}$. Consider an $M$ estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux , Valentin Patilea

We prove that an irreducible aperiodic Markov chain is geometrically ergodic if and only if any separately bounded functional of the stationary chain satisfies an appropriate subgaussian deviation inequality from its mean.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Jérôme Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel

In this paper, we consider semi-Markov processes whose transition times and transition probabilities depend on a small parameter $\varepsilon$. Understanding the asymptotic behavior of such processes is needed in order to study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Leonid Koralov , Ishfaaq Mohammed Imtiyas

The first aim of the present note is to quantify the speed of convergence of a conditioned process toward its Q-process under suitable assumptions on the quasi-stationary distribution of the process. Conversely, we prove that, if a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-10 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We obtain ergodic theorems for multiple iterated sums and integrals of the form $\Sigma^{(\nu)}(t)=\sum_{0\leq k_1<...<k_\nu\leq t}\xi(k_1)\otimes\cdots\otimes\xi(k_\nu)$, $t\in[0,T]$ and $\Sigma^{(\nu)}(t)=\int_{0\leq s_1\leq...\leq…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Yuri Kifer

We establish quantitative bounds for rates of convergence and asymptotic variances for iterated conditional sequential Monte Carlo (i-cSMC) Markov chains and associated particle Gibbs samplers. Our main findings are that the essential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Matti Vihola

We consider the random reversible Markov kernel K obtained by assigning i.i.d. nonnegative weights to the edges of the complete graph over n vertices and normalizing by the corresponding row sum. The weights are assumed to be in the domain…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Charles Bordenave , Pietro Caputo , Djalil Chafaï

We use ergodic theory to prove a quantitative version of a theorem of M. A. Berger and Y. Wang, which relates the joint spectral radius of a set of matrices to the spectral radii of finite products of those matrices. The proof rests on a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Ian D. Morris

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time $t_{\mathsf{mix}}$ of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length $m$. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

In his monograph Chebyshev and Fourier Spectral Methods, John Boyd claimed that, regarding Fourier spectral methods for solving differential equations, ``[t]he virtues of the Fast Fourier Transform will continue to improve as the relentless…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-02-03 Craig Gross , Mark Iwen

Local mean and individual (with respect to almost uniform convergence in Egorov's sense) ergodic theorems are established for actions of the semigroup $\mathbb R_+^d$ in symmetric spaces of measurable operators associated with a semifinite…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-08 Vladimir Chilin , Semyon Litvinov

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser