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We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

New algorithms for computing of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes are presented. The algorithms are based on special techniques of sequential phase space reduction, which can…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

In this paper, we prove some a priori estimates for a system of partial differential equations arising in the nonstationary flow of a nonhomogeneous incompressible asymmetric fluid in a bounded domain with smooth boundary. The unknowns of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-07-12 Aníbal Coronel , Enrique Fernández-Cara , Marko Rojas-Medar , Alex Tello

We study stochastic homogenisation of free-discontinuity surface functionals defined on piecewise rigid functions which arise in the study of fracture in brittle materials. In particular, under standard assumptions on the density, we show…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Antonio Flavio Donnarumma , Manuel Friedrich

In a growth-fragmentation system, cells grow in size slowly and split apart at random. Typically, the number of cells in the system grows exponentially and the distribution of the sizes of cells settles into an equilibrium 'asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Denis Villemonais , Alexander Watson

Let $P_n$ and $Q_n$ be two probability measures representing two different probabilistic models of some system (e.g., an $n$-particle equilibrium system, a set of random graphs with $n$ vertices, or a stochastic process evolving over a time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Hugo Touchette

Non-Gaussian likelihoods, ubiquitous throughout cosmology, are a direct consequence of nonlinearities in the physical model. Their treatment requires Monte-Carlo Markov-chain or more advanced sampling methods for the determination of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-05-24 Lennart Röver , Lea Carlotta Bartels , Björn Malte Schäfer

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for quadratic variation of a harmonizable fractional $\al$-stable process. We show a law of large numbers with a non-ergodic limit and obtain weak convergence towards a L\'evy-driven Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mark Podolskij

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka

The local volatility model is a widely used for pricing and hedging financial derivatives. While its main appeal is its capability of reproducing any given surface of observed option prices---it provides a perfect fit---the essential…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-24 Martin Tegnér , Stephen Roberts

We consider the estimation of parametric fractional time series models in which not only is the memory parameter unknown, but one may not know whether it lies in the stationary/invertible region or the nonstationary or noninvertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Javier Hualde , Peter M. Robinson

The partition function of the random energy model at inverse temperature $\beta$ is a sum of random exponentials $Z_N(\beta)=\sum_{k=1}^N \exp(\beta \sqrt{n} X_k)$, where $X_1,X_2,...$ are independent real standard normal random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-11 Zakhar Kabluchko , Anton Klimovsky

In this paper, we study asymptotics of the thermal partition function of a model of quantum mechanical fermions with matrix-like index structure and quartic interactions. This partition function is given explicitly by a Wronskian of the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-08-06 Dan Dai , Mourad E. H. Ismail , Xiang-Sheng Wang

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

New algorithms for construction of asymptotic expansions for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces are presented. These algorithms are based on a special technique of sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

The optimum quality that can be asymptotically achieved in the estimation of a probability p using inverse binomial sampling is addressed. A general definition of quality is used in terms of the risk associated with a loss function that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Luis Mendo

We obtain an asymptotic H\"older estimate for functions satisfying a dynamic programming principle arising from a so-called ellipsoid process. By the ellipsoid process we mean a generalization of the random walk where the next step in the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ángel Arroyo , Mikko Parviainen

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang

Recurrence quantification analysis is a method for measuring the complexity of dynamical systems. Recurrence determinism is a fundamental characteristic of it, closely related to correlation sum. In this paper, we study asymptotic behavior…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Michaela Mihoková

Fragmentation processes are part of a broad class of models describing the evolution of a system of particles which split apart at random. These models are widely used in biology, materials science and nuclear physics, and their asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-23 Quan Shi , Alexander R. Watson