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We investigate periodic points of the Dyck shift from the viewpoint of large deviations. We establish the level-2 Large Deviation Principle with the rate function given in terms of Kolmogorov-Sinai entropies of shift-invariant Borel…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Hiroki Takahasi

In this work, we establish, for a strong Feller process, the large deviation principle for the occupation measure conditioned not to exit a given subregion. The rate function vanishes only at a unique measure, which is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Arnaud Guillin , Boris Nectoux , Liming Wu

Importance sampling is a popular method for efficient computation of various properties of a distribution such as probabilities, expectations, quantiles etc. The output of an importance sampling algorithm can be represented as a weighted…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-18 Henrik Hult , Pierre Nyquist

We consider a $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued branching random walk with a stationary and ergodic environment $\xi=(\xi_n)$ indexed by time $n\in\mathbb{N}$. Let $Z_n$ be the counting measure of particles of generation $n$. With the help of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Chunmao Huang , Xin Wang , Xiaoqiang Wang

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

In this article we show that the empirical measure of certain continuous time random walks satisfies a strong large deviation principle with respect to a topology introduced in~\cite{MV2016} by Mukherjee and Varadhan. This topology is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-04 Dirk Erhard , Tertuliano Franco , Joedson de Jesus Santana

The Wasserstein distance between two probability measures on a metric space is a measure of closeness with applications in statistics, probability, and machine learning. In this work, we consider the fundamental question of how quickly the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Jonathan Weed , Francis Bach

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 Pierre Nyquist

This paper studies probabilistic rates of convergence for consensus+innovations type of algorithms in random, generic networks. For each node, we find a lower and also a family of upper bounds on the large deviations rate function, thus…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Dragana Bajovic

A $\delta$ once-reinforced random walk ($\delta$-ORRW) on connected graph is a self-interacting random walk which moves to its neighbors at each step according to the weights of the edges at that time, where the weights are $1$ on edges…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Xiangyu Huang , Yong Liu , Kainan Xiang

We provide non-asymptotic, relative deviation bounds for the eigenvalues of empirical covariance and Gram matrices in general settings. Unlike typical uniform bounds, which may fail to capture the behavior of smaller eigenvalues, our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Barzilai , Ohad Shamir

How should researchers analyze randomized experiments in which the main outcome is latent and measured in multiple ways but each measure contains some degree of error? We first identify a critical study-specific noncomparability problem in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Jiawei Fu , Donald P. Green

The theory of large deviations deals with the probabilities of rare events (or fluctuations) that are exponentially small as a function of some parameter, e.g., the number of random components of a system, the time over which a stochastic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-03-01 Hugo Touchette

In this paper, we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical measures of a system of weakly interacting diffusion with reflection. We adopt the weak convergence approach. To make this approach work, we show that the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-04 Ping Cheng , Rong Wei , Tusheng Zhang

Consider a large system of $N$ Brownian motions in $\mathbb{R}^d$ on some fixed time interval $[0,\beta]$ with symmetrised initial-terminal condition. That is, for any $i$, the terminal location of the $i$-th motion is affixed to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stefan Adams

We prove a large deviation principle for the sequence of push-forwards of empirical measures in the setting of Riesz potential interactions on compact subsets K in R^d with continuous external fields. Our results are valid for base measures…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-10-27 Tom Bloom , Norman Levenberg , Franck Wielonsky

Semi-Markov processes play an important role in the effective description of partially accessible systems in stochastic thermodynamics. They occur, for instance, in coarse-graining procedures such as state lumping and when analyzing waiting…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-19 Alexander M. Maier , Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

Large deviation principles are established for the Fleming-Viot processes with neutral mutation and selection, and the corresponding equilibrium measures as the sampling rate goes to 0. All results are first proved for the finite allele…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Donald Dawson , Shui Feng

The angular measure on the unit sphere characterizes the first-order dependence structure of the components of a random vector in extreme regions and is defined in terms of standardized margins. Its statistical recovery is an important step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Stéphan Clémençon , Hamid Jalalzai , Stéphane Lhaut , Anne Sabourin , Johan Segers

In this paper we construct general vector-valued infinite-divisible independently scattered random measures with values in $\mathbb{R}^m$ and their corresponding stochastic integrals. Moreover, given such a random measure, the class of all…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Dustin Kremer , Hans-Peter Scheffler
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