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We present convincing empirical evidence for an effective and general strategy for building accurate small models. Such models are attractive for interpretability and also find use in resource-constrained environments. The strategy is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Abhishek Ghose

Several methods of statistical analysis are proposed and analyzed in application for a specific task -- extraction of the structure functions from the cross sections of deep inelastic interactions of any type. We formulate the method based…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-11-30 S. N. Sevbitov , T. V. Shishkina , I. L. Solovtsov

Motivated by the fundamental problem of modeling the frequency of frequencies (FoF) distribution, this paper introduces the concept of a cluster structure to define a probability function that governs the joint distribution of a random…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-02 Mingyuan Zhou , Stefano Favaro , Stephen G Walker

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Variable selection for models including interactions between explanatory variables often needs to obey certain hierarchical constraints. The weak or strong structural hierarchy requires that the existence of an interaction term implies at…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-10 Yiyuan She , Zhifeng Wang , He Jiang

We propose and analyze a regularization approach for structured prediction problems. We characterize a large class of loss functions that allows to naturally embed structured outputs in a linear space. We exploit this fact to design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Carlo Ciliberto , Alessandro Rudi , Lorenzo Rosasco

Results of numerical procedure of constructing confidence intervals for parameter of the Poisson distribution of signal events in the presence of background events with known value of parameter of Poisson distribution are presented. It is…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 S. I. Bityukov , N. V. Krasnikov , V. A. Taperechkina

Diffusions are a successful technique to sample from high-dimensional distributions. The target distribution can be either explicitly given or learnt from a collection of samples. They implement a diffusion process whose endpoint is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Andrea Montanari

The number of species can be estimated by sampling individuals from a species assemblage. The problem of estimating generalized species accumulation curve is addressed in a nonparametric Poisson mixture model. A likelihood-based estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Chang Xuan Mao

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

In this paper, we develop a computational approach for estimating the mean value of a quantity in the presence of uncertainty. We demonstrate that, under some mild assumptions, the upper and lower bounds of the mean value are efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

From the distributional characterizations that lie at the heart of Stein's method we derive explicit formulae for the mass functions of discrete probability laws that identify those distributions. These identities are applied to develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Steffen Betsch , Bruno Ebner , Franz Nestmann

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. For $k=1$ it is the standard Poisson distribution. Our main result is a proof that for sufficiently small values of the rate parameter $\lambda$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-03 S. R. Mane

We develop a general method to quantify the uncertainties of parton distribution functions and their physical predictions, with emphasis on incorporating all relevant experimental constraints. The method uses the Hessian formalism to study…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-12-18 J. Pumplin , D. Stump , R. Brock , D. Casey , J. Huston , J. Kalk , H. L. Lai , W. K. Tung

This article introduces a non parametric warping model for functional data. When the outcome of an experiment is a sample of curves, data can be seen as realizations of a stochastic process, which takes into account the small variations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Jean-François Dupuy , Jean-Michel Loubes , Elie Maza

We propose a novel method for modeling data by using structural models based on economic theory as regularizers for statistical models. We show that even if a structural model is misspecified, as long as it is informative about the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Jiaming Mao , Zhesheng Zheng

Counting experiments often rely on Monte Carlo simulations for predictions of Poisson expectations. The accompanying uncertainty from the finite Monte Carlo sample size can be incorporated into parameter estimation by modifying the Poisson…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-04-22 Thorsten Glüsenkamp

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

Consider bivariate observations $(X_1,Y_1), \ldots, (X_n,Y_n) \in \mathbb{R}\times \mathbb{R}$ with unknown conditional distributions $Q_x$ of $Y$, given that $X = x$. The goal is to estimate these distributions under the sole assumption…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-31 Alexandre Mösching , Lutz Duembgen

The problem of sequentially maximizing the expectation of a function seeks to maximize the expected value of a function of interest without having direct control on its features. Instead, the distribution of such features depends on a given…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-26 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic