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This article reviews and develops an epistemological tradition in the philosophy of science, known as convergentism, which holds that inference methods should be assessed based on their ability to converge to the truth across a range of…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-07-01 Hanti Lin

The article attempts to demonstrate the rich history of one truly remarkable problem situated at the confluence of probability theory and theory of numbers - finding the probability of co-primality of two randomly selected natural numbers.…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Sergei Abramovich , Yakov Yu. Nikitin

In a series of lectures given in 2003 soon after receiving the Fields Medal for his results in the Algebraic Geometry Vladimir Voevodsky (1966-2017) identifies two strategic goals for mathematics, which he plans to pursue in his further…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Andrei Rodin

This paper argues for a modal view of probability. The syntax and semantics of one particularly strong probability logic are discussed and some examples of the use of the logic are provided. We show that it is both natural and useful to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Alan M. Frisch , Peter Haddawy

Can we avoid wars at the crossroads of history? This question has been pursued by individuals, scholars, policymakers, and organizations throughout human history. In this research, we attempt to answer the question based on the recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Wenyue Hua , Lizhou Fan , Lingyao Li , Kai Mei , Jianchao Ji , Yingqiang Ge , Libby Hemphill , Yongfeng Zhang

Karl Pearson is the leading figure of XX century statistics. He and his co-workers crafted the core of the theory, methods and language of frequentist or classical statistics -- the prevalent inductive logic of contemporary science.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-08-20 Julio Michael Stern

An explanation for the political processes leading to the sudden collapse of empires and states would be useful for understanding both historical and contemporary political events. We seek a general description of state collapse spanning…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-16 Daniel John Lawson , Neeraj Oak

These are notes on the impact of Lagrange's memoir on the construction of geographical maps. We mention the relations of some ideas and questions introduced in this memoir with other notions that appeared later in the works of several…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2023-01-05 Athanase Papadopoulos

In tug-of-war, two players compete by moving a counter along edges of a graph, each winning the right to move at a given turn according to the flip of a possibly biased coin. The game ends when the counter reaches the boundary, a fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Yujie Fu , Alan Hammond , Gábor Pete

Beginning in the 1970s, statistician-cum-logician Per Martin-L\"of wrote a series of papers developing what became Martin-L\"of type theory, realizing a system where the distinction between mathematics and programming disappears. Inspired…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-14 Bradley Saul

This paper gives a short review of the history of statistical physics starting from D. Bernoulli's kinetic theory of gases in the 18th century until the recent new developments in nonequilibrium kinetic theory in the last decades of this…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Flamm

Douglas Walton's multitudinous contributions to the study of argumentation seldom, if ever, directly engage with argumentation in mathematics. Nonetheless, several of the innovations with which he is most closely associated lend themselves…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-02-22 Andrew Aberdein

In this essay, I argue that mathematics is a natural science---just like physics, chemistry, or biology---and that this can explain the alleged "unreasonable" effectiveness of mathematics in the physical sciences. The main challenge for…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2016-08-05 M. S. Leifer

When people mention the mathematical achievements of Euclid, his geometrical achievements always spring to mind. But, his Number-Theoretical achievements (See Books 7, 8 and 9 in his magnum opus \emph{Elements} [1]) are rarely spoken. The…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2010-02-21 Shaohua Zhang

Game theory is the study of tractable games which may be used to model more complex systems. Board games, video games and sports, however, are intractable by design, so "ludological" theories about these games as complex phenomena should be…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-05 Daniel E. Gilbert , Martin T. Wells

The Colonel Blotto game, first introduced by Borel in 1921, is a well-studied game theory classic. Two colonels each have a pool of troops that they divide simultaneously among a set of battlefields. The winner of each battlefield is the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-15 Soheil Behnezhad , Avrim Blum , Mahsa Derakhshan , MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Christos H. Papadimitriou , Saeed Seddighin

The mathematical analysis was conceived in XVII century in Newton and Leibniz works. The problem of logical rigor in definitions was considered by Arnauld and Nicole in "Logique ou l'art de penser". They were the first, who distinguished…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2015-02-25 G. Sinkevich

The accepted lore is that Operational Research traces its roots back to the First and Second World Wars, when scientific research was used to improve military operations. In this essay we provide a different perspective on the origins of…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Roberto Rossi

Rationality has been an intriguing topic for several decades. Even the scope of definition of rationality across different subjects varies. Several theories (e.g., game theory) initially evolved on the basis that agents (e.g., humans) are…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Dibakar Das

My purpose is to examine some concepts of mathematical logic, which have been studied by Carlo Cellucci. Today the aim of classical mathematical logic is not to guarantee the certainty of mathematics, but I will argue that logic can help us…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2016-02-25 Claudio Bernardi