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Related papers: Nonparametric Volatility Density Estimation

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We consider the pricing problem related to payoffs that can have discontinuities of polynomial growth. The asset price dynamic is modeled within the Black and Scholes framework characterized by a stochastic volatility term driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio , Yuliya Mishura

The problem of estimating the L\'evy density of a partially observed multidimensional affine process from low-frequency and mixed-frequency data is considered. The estimation methodology is based on the log-affine representation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-13 Denis Belomestny

We consider a stationary spatio-temporal random process and assume that we have a sample. By defining a sequence of discrete Fourier transforms at canonical frequencies at each location, and using these complex valued random varables as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-31 T. Subba Rao , Gy. Terdik

In a financial market model, we consider the variance-optimal semi-static hedging of a given contingent claim, a generalization of the classic variance-optimal hedging. To obtain a tractable formula for the expected squared hedging error…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Paolo Di Tella , Martin Haubold , Martin Keller-Ressel

In this article, we investigate an interacting particle system featuring random intensities, individual noise, and environmental noise, commonly referred to as stochastic point vortex model. The model serves as an approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Yufei Shao , Xianliang Zhao

We propose a linear algebraic framework for performing density estimation. It consists of three simple steps: convolving the empirical distribution with certain smoothing kernels to remove the exponentially large variance; compressing the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Yifan Peng , Siyao Yang , Yuehaw Khoo , Daren Wang

We consider a large market model of defaultable assets in which the asset price processes are modelled as Heston-type stochastic volatility models with default upon hitting a lower boundary. We assume that both the asset prices and their…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

This article studies the finite sample behaviour of a number of estimators for the integrated power volatility process of a Brownian semistationary process in the non semi-martingale setting. We establish three consistent feasible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Phillip Murray , Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart , Mikko S. Pakkanen

Stochastic volatility models describe asset prices $S_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $\sigma_t$. Here, we quantify how much information about $\sigma_t$ can be inferred from asset prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-29 Nils Bertschinger , Oliver Pfante

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

This paper concerns the instantaneous frequency (IF) of continuous-time, zero-mean, complex-valued, proper, mean-square differentiable nonstationary Gaussian stochastic processes. We compute the probability density function for the IF for…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-07-08 Patrik Wahlberg , Peter J. Schreier

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

We consider a structural stochastic volatility model for the loss from a large portfolio of credit risky assets. Both the asset value and the volatility processes are correlated through systemic Brownian motions, with default determined by…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ben Hambly , Nikolaos Kolliopoulos

We determine the variance-optimal hedge when the logarithm of the underlying price follows a process with stationary independent increments in discrete or continuous time. Although the general solution to this problem is known as backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Jan Kallsen , Leszek Krawczyk

We construct a density estimator in the bivariate uniform deconvolution model. For this model we derive four inversion formulas to express the bivariate density that we want to estimate in terms of the bivariate density of the observations.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-09 Martina Benešová , Bert van Es , Peter Tegelaar

Variational Bayes methods are a potential scalable estimation approach for state space models. However, existing methods are inaccurate or computationally infeasible for many state space models. This paper proposes a variational…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-05 Rubén Loaiza-Maya , Didier Nibbering

We study efficiency of non-parametric estimation of diffusions (stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motion) from long stationary trajectories. First, we introduce estimators based on conditional expectation which is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Xi Chen , Ilya Timofeyev

We characterize the sample size required for accurate graphical model selection from non-stationary samples. The observed data is modeled as a vector-valued zero-mean Gaussian random process whose samples are uncorrelated but have different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 Nguyen Q. Tran , Oleksii Abramenko , Alexander Jung