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Related papers: Stationary Markov chains with linear regressions

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We consider a class of discrete time Markov chains with state space [0,1] and the following dynamics. At each time step, first the direction of the next transition is chosen at random with probability depending on the current location. Then…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Shaun McKinlay , Konstantin Borovkov

We study the problem of stationarity and ergodicity for autoregressive multinomial logistic time series models which possibly include a latent process and are defined by a GARCH-type recursive equation. We improve considerably upon the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-02 Konstantinos Fokianos , Lionel Truquet

Owing to exhibiting phase transitions, we investigate the local convergence near a stationary distribution for distribution dependent stochastic differential equations. By linearizing the nonlinear Markov semigroup associated with the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Shao-Qin Zhang

We consider Markov chain with spectral gap in $L^2$ space. Assume that $f$ is a bounded function. Then the probabilities of large deviations of average along trajectory satisfy Hoeffding's-type inequalities. These bounds depend only on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Błażej Miasojedow

We examine problem of existence of stationary random fields with linear regressions and quadratic conditional variances, introduced by Bryc in "Stationary random fields with linear regressions" (Annals of Probability 29, No. 1, 504-519).…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wojciech Matysiak , Paweł J. Szabłowski

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We study distributional properties of a quadratic form of a stationary functional time series under mild moment conditions. As an important application, we obtain consistency rates of estimators of spectral density operators and prove joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Anne van Delft

In this paper we investigate the local limit theorem for additive functionals of nonstationary Markov chains that converge in distribution. We consider both the lattice and the non-lattice cases. The results are also new in the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Costel Peligrad

A method of constructing Markov chains on finite state spaces is provided. The chain is specified by three constraints: stationarity, dependence and marginal distributions. The generalized Pythagorean theorem in information geometry plays a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-26 Tomonari Sei

In this letter we announce rigorous results that elucidate the relation between metastable states and low-lying eigenvalues in Markov chains in a much more general setting and with considerable greater precision as was so far available.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 A. Bovier , M. Eckhoff , V. Gayrard , M. Klein

We study continuous-time Markov chains on the non-negative integers under mild regularity conditions (in particular, the set of jump vectors is finite and both forward and backward jumps are possible). Based on the so-called flux balance…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Mads Chr Hansen , Carsten Wiuf , Chuang Xu

This work provides complete description of Quasistationary Distributions (QSDs) for Markov chains with a unique absorbing state and an irreducible set of non-absorbing states. As is well-known, every QSD has an associated absorption…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Iddo Ben-Ari , Ningwei Jiang

In this paper we study the central limit theorem for additive functionals of stationary Markov chains with general state space by using a new idea involving conditioning with respect to both the past and future of the chain. Practically, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Magda Peligrad

The extremes of a univariate Markov chain with regulary varying stationary marginal distribution and asymptotically linear behavior are known to exhibit a multiplicative random walk structure called the tail chain. In this paper, we extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Anja Janßen , Johan Segers

Consider an ergodic Markov chain on a countable state space for which the return times have exponential tails. We show that the stationary version of any such chain is a finitary factor of an i.i.d. process. A key step is to show that any…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Omer Angel , Yinon Spinka

In this review-type paper written at the occasion of the Oberwolfach workshop {\em One-sided vs. Two-sided stochastic processes} (february 22-29, 2020), we discuss and compare Markov properties and generalisations thereof in more…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Aernout van Enter , Arnaud Le Ny , Frédéric Paccaut

The limiting probability distribution is one of the key characteristics of a Markov chain since it shows its long-term behavior. In this paper, for a higher order Markov chain, we establish some properties related to its exact limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Lixing Han , Jianhong Xu

A variety of physical phenomena involve the nonlinear transfer of energy from weakly damped modes subjected to external forcing to other modes which are more heavily damped. In this work we explore this in (finite-dimensional) stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Jacob Bedrossian , Kyle Liss

In this paper, we consider integral linear constraints and the dissipation inequality with linear supply rates for certain sets of trajectories confined pointwise in time to a convex cone which belongs to a finite-dimensional normed vector…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Emil Vladu , Alexandre Megretski , Anders Rantzer