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Time-series forecasting plays an important role in many domains. Boosted by the advances in Deep Learning algorithms, it has for instance been used to predict wind power for eolic energy production, stock market fluctuations, or motor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Luis P. Silvestrin , Leonardos Pantiskas , Mark Hoogendoorn

Forecasting multivariate time series is a computationally intensive task challenged by extreme or redundant samples. Recent resampling methods aim to increase training efficiency by reweighting samples based on their running losses.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Jiang You , Arben Cela , René Natowicz , Jacob Ouanounou , Patrick Siarry

We propose a method for filling gaps and removing interferences in time series for applications involving continuous monitoring of environmental variables. The approach is non-parametric and based on an iterative pattern-matching between…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-08-11 Gregoire Mariethoz , Niklas Linde , Damien Jougnot , Hassan Rezaee

We propose an efficient fine-tuning method for time series foundation models, termed TRACE: Time Series Parameter Efficient Fine-tuning. While pretrained time series foundation models are gaining popularity, they face the following…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Yuze Li , Wei Zhu

Time evolving surfaces can be modeled as two-dimensional Functional time series, exploiting the tools of Functional data analysis. Leveraging this approach, a forecasting framework for such complex data is developed. The main focus revolves…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Niccolò Ajroldi , Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

The rapid development of time series forecasting research has brought many deep learning-based modules in this field. However, despite the increasing amount of new forecasting architectures, it is still unclear if we have leveraged the full…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Difan Deng , Marius Lindauer

Nonlinear interference is modeled by a time-varying conditionally Gaussian channel. It is shown that approximating this channel with a time-invariant channel imposes considerable loss in the performance of channel decoding. An adaptive…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Reza Rafie Borujeny , Frank R. Kschischang

The aim of this paper is to present a set of Python-based tools to develop forecasts using time series data sets. The material is based on a four week course that the author has taught for seven years to students on operations research,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Alain Zemkoho

Post-processing typically takes the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model and applies linear statistical techniques to produce improve localized forecasts, by including additional observations, or determining systematic…

Time series forecasting using historical data has been an interesting and challenging topic, especially when the data is corrupted by missing values. In many industrial problem, it is important to learn the inference function between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Trang H. Tran , Lam M. Nguyen , Kyongmin Yeo , Nam Nguyen , Dzung Phan , Roman Vaculin , Jayant Kalagnanam

Time series forecasting is an important and forefront task in many real-world applications. However, most of time series forecasting techniques assume that the training data is clean without anomalies. This assumption is unrealistic since…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Hao Cheng , Qingsong Wen , Yang Liu , Liang Sun

Developing effective world models is crucial for creating artificial agents that can reason about and navigate complex environments. In this paper, we investigate a deep supervision technique for encouraging the development of a world model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Andrii Zahorodnii

Time series prediction underpins a broad range of downstream tasks across many scientific domains. Recent advances and increasing adoption of black-box machine learning models for time series prediction highlight the critical need for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Junghwan Lee , Chen Xu , Yao Xie

Recent studies suggest utilizing generative models instead of traditional auto-regressive algorithms for time series forecasting (TSF) tasks. These non-auto-regressive approaches involving different generative methods, including GAN,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jiangxuan Long , Zhao Song , Chiwun Yang

Non-parametric detrending or noise reduction methods are often employed to separate trends from noisy time series when no satisfactory models exist to fit the data. However, conventional detrending methods depend on subjective choices of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-03-29 James PL Tan

Data augmentation is a crucial tool in time series forecasting, especially for deep learning architectures that require a large training sample size to generalize effectively. However, extensive datasets are not always available in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Luis Amorim , Moises Santos , Paulo J. Azevedo , Carlos Soares , Vitor Cerqueira

Prediction for high dimensional time series is a challenging task due to the curse of dimensionality problem. Classical parametric models like ARIMA or VAR require strong modeling assumptions and time stationarity and are often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Nikita Puchkin , Aleksandr Timofeev , Vladimir Spokoiny

Deep probabilistic time series forecasting has gained attention for its ability to provide nonlinear approximation and valuable uncertainty quantification for decision-making. However, existing models often oversimplify the problem by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Seongjin Choi , Lijun Sun

This research article suggests that there are significant benefits in exposing demand planners to forecasting methods using matrix completion techniques. This study aims to contribute to a better understanding of the field of forecasting…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Rodrigo Rivera-Castro , Ivan Nazarov , Evgeny Burnaev

Time-series forecasting remains difficult in real-world settings because temporal patterns operate at multiple scales, from broad contextual trends to fast, fine-grained fluctuations that drive critical decisions. Existing neural models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Sepideh Koohfar