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We propose an interacting particle system to model the evolution of a system of banks with mutual exposures. In this model, a bank defaults when its normalized asset value hits a lower threshold, and its default causes instantaneous losses…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Sergey Nadtochiy , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We provide a functional central limit theorem for a broad class of smooth functions for possibly noncausal multivariate linear processes with time-varying coefficients. Since the limiting processes depend on unknown quantities, we propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Carina Beering , Anne Leucht

We introduce a solvable model of randomly growing systems consisting of many independent subunits. Scaling relations and growth rate distributions in the limit of infinite subunits are analysed theoretically. Various types of scaling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Misako Takayasu , Hayafumi Watanabe , Hideki Takayasu

We study the asymptotics of the point process induced by an interacting particle system with mean-field drift interaction. Under suitable assumptions, we establish propagation of chaos for this point process: it has the same weak limit as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Kolliopoulos , Martin Larsson , Zeyu Zhang

Define the non-overlapping return time of a random process to be the number of blocks that we wait before a particular block reappears. We prove a Central Limit Theorem based on these return times. This result has applications to entropy…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Oliver Johnson

We give a general existence result for interacting particle systems with local interactions and bounded jump rates but noncompact state space at each site. We allow for jump events at a site that affect the state of its neighbours. We give…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-04 Mathew D. Penrose

In this paper we consider a dynamic Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph with independent identically distributed edge processes. Our aim is to describe the joint evolution of the entries of a subgraph count vector. The main result of this…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Rajat Subhra Hazra , Nikolai Kriukov , Michel Mandjes

Large ensembles of stochastically evolving interacting particles describe phenomena in diverse fields including statistical physics, neuroscience, biology, and engineering. In such systems, the infinitesimal evolution of each particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-02 Kavita Ramanan

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini

The stratified resampling mechanism is one of the resampling schemes commonly used in the resampling steps of particle filters. In the present paper, we prove a central limit theorem for this mechanism under the assumption that the initial…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Roberta Flenghi , Benjamin Jourdain

This paper proposes a new measure of node centrality in social networks, the Harmonic Influence Centrality, which emerges naturally in the study of social influence over networks. Using an intuitive analogy between social and electrical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Luca Vassio , Fabio Fagnani , Paolo Frasca , Asuman Ozdaglar

The production of molecules in a chemical reaction network is modelled as a Poisson process with a Markov-modulated arrival rate and an exponential decay rate. We analyze the distributional properties of $M$, the number of molecules, under…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-17 D. Anderson , J. Blom , M. Mandjes , H. Thorsdottir , K. de Turck

We compute some dependence coefficients for the stationary Markov chain whose transition kernel is the Perron-Frobenius operator of an expanding map $T$ of $[0, 1]$ with a neutral fixed point. We use these coefficients to prove a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-11 J. Dedecker , C. Prieur

We study the limiting behavior of interacting particle systems indexed by large sparse graphs, which evolve either according to a discrete time Markov chain or a diffusion, in which particles interact directly only with their nearest…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

We consider the diffusion scaling limit of the vicious walker model that is a system of nonintersecting random walks. We prove a functional central limit theorem for the model and derive two types of nonintersecting Brownian motions, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Makoto Katori , Hideki Tanemura

There is a long history of establishing central limit theorems for Markov chains. Quantitative bounds for chains with a spectral gap were proved by Mann and refined later. Recently, rates of convergence for the total variation distance were…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Rafael Chiclana , Yuval Peres

We investigate the probability density of rescaled sums of iterates of deterministic dynamical systems, a problem relevant for many complex physical systems consisting of dependent random variables. A Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is only…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ugur Tirnakli , Christian Beck , Constantino Tsallis

This paper is devoted the the study of the mean field limit for many-particle systems undergoing jump, drift or diffusion processes, as well as combinations of them. The main results are quantitative estimates on the decay of fluctuations…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-15 Stéphane Mischler , Clément Mouhot , Bernt Wennberg

Random graphs have played an instrumental role in modelling real-world networks arising from the internet topology, social networks, or even protein-interaction networks within cells. Percolation, on the other hand, has been the fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Souvik Dhara

In this paper, we derive asymptotic results for L^1-Wasserstein distance between the distribution function and the corresponding empirical distribution function of a stationary sequence. Next, we give some applications to dynamical systems…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-16 Sophie Dede