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Constructing approximations that can accurately mimic the behavior of complex models at reduced computational costs is an important aspect of uncertainty quantification. Despite their flexibility and efficiency, classical surrogate models…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-29 S. Marelli , P. -R. Wagner , C. Lataniotis , B. Sudret

This paper introduces a randomized tamed Euler scheme tailored for L\'evy-driven stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with superlinear random coefficients and Carath\'eodory-type drift. Under assumptions that allow for time-irregular…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Sani Biswas , Joaquin Fontbona

A new method called SurvLIME for explaining machine learning survival models is proposed. It can be viewed as an extension or modification of the well-known method LIME. The main idea behind the proposed method is to apply the Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Maxim S. Kovalev , Lev V. Utkin , Ernest M. Kasimov

Rescaled spike and slab models are a new Bayesian variable selection method for linear regression models. In high dimensional orthogonal settings such models have been shown to possess optimal model selection properties. We review…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Hemant Ishwaran , Ariadni Papana

Effective LLM training depends on predictable scaling of key quantities -- such as final loss and optimal hyperparameters -- with model and dataset size. Qiu et al. (2025) recently showed that this predictability can extend beyond scalars:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Shane Bergsma , Bin Claire Zhang , Nolan Dey , Shaheer Muhammad , Gurpreet Gosal , Joel Hestness

The purpose of this paper is to explain the interest and importance of (approximate) models and model selection in Statistics. Starting from the very elementary example of histograms we present a general notion of finite dimensional model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Lucien Birgé

Several distributions and families of distributions are proposed to model skewed data, think, e.g., of skew-normal and related distributions. Lambert W random variables offer an alternative approach where, instead of constructing a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Meelis Käärik , Anne Selart , Tuuli Puhkim , Liivika Tee

A method for numerical approximation of a new class of fractional parabolic stochastic evolution equations is introduced and analysed. This class of equations has recently been proposed as a space-time extension of the SPDE-method in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 S. Knutsen Furset

The performance of standard stochastic approximation implementations can vary significantly based on the choice of the steplength sequence, and in general, little guidance is provided about good choices. Motivated by this gap, in the first…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Farzad Yousefian , Angelia Nedić , Uday V. Shanbhag

The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Emma S. Simpson , Jonathan A. Tawn

The two-dimensional Loewner exploration process is generalized to the case where the random force is self-similar with positively correlated increments. We model this random force by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent $H\geq…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-16 S. Tizdast , Z. Ebadi , J. Cheraghalizadeh , M. N. Najafi , José S. Andrade , Hans J. Herrmann

Recent progress on the understanding of the Random Conductance Model is reviewed and commented. A particular emphasis is on the results on the scaling limit of the random walk among random conductances for almost every realization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-04 Marek Biskup

We consider a random interval splitting process, in which the splitting rule depends on the empirical distribution of interval lengths. We show that this empirical distribution converges to a limit almost surely as the number of intervals…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-20 Pascal Maillard , Elliot Paquette

We study the probabilities with which chordal Schramm-Loewner Evolutions (SLE) visit small neighborhoods of boundary points. We find formulas for general chordal SLE boundary visiting probability amplitudes, also known as SLE boundary…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-13 Niko Jokela , Matti Järvinen , Kalle Kytölä

Skewness is a common occurrence in statistical applications. In recent years, various distribution families have been proposed to model skewed data by introducing unequal scales based on the median or mode. However, we argue that the point…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Yiyuan She , Xiaoqiang Wu , Lizhu Tao , Debajyoti Sinha

The Schelling model, introduced by Schelling in 1969 as a model for residential segregation in cities, describes how populations of multiple types self-organize to form homogeneous clusters of one type. In this model, vertices in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-12 Nina Holden , Scott Sheffield

Inspired by the ubiquitous use of differential equations to model continuous dynamics across diverse scientific and engineering domains, we propose a novel and intuitive approach to continuous sequence modeling. Our method interprets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Macheng Shen , Chen Cheng

In this paper we deal with global approximation of solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by countably dimensional Wiener process. Under certain regularity conditions imposed on the coefficients, we show lower bounds…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-24 Łukasz Stępień

Random skew plane partitions of large size distributed according to an appropriately scaled Schur process develop limit shapes. In the present work we consider the limit of large random skew plane partitions where the inner boundary…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-14 Cedric Boutillier , Sevak Mkrtchyan , Nicolai Reshetikhin , Peter Tingley

The problem of small area estimation (SAE) is how to produce reliable estimates of characteristics of interest such as means, counts, quantiles, etc., for areas or domains for which only small samples or no samples are available, and how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-21 Danny Pfeffermann