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This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

We study the long-term behavior of the iteration of a random map consisting of Lipschitz transformations on a compact metric space, independently and randomly selected according to a fixed probability measure. Such a random map is said to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Pablo G. Barrientos , Dominique Malicet

We propose an extension of Markov-switching generalized additive models for location, scale, and shape (MS-GAMLSS) that allows covariates to influence not only the parameters of the state-dependent distributions but also the state…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Katharina Ammann , Timo Adam , Jan-Ole Koslik

A discrete Gelfand-Tsetlin pattern is a configuration of particles in Z^2. The particles are arranged in a finite number of consecutive rows, numbered from the bottom. There is one particle on the first row, two particles on the second row,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Erik Duse , Anthony Metcalfe

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

This paper discusses the properties of certain risk estimators recently proposed to choose regularization parameters in ill-posed problems. A simple approach is Stein's unbiased risk estimator (SURE), which estimates the risk in the data…

We study the behaviour of differential forms in a manifold having at least one of their maximal isotropic local distributions endowed with the special algebraic property of being decomposable. We show that they can be represented as the sum…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2009-09-07 Leandro G. Gomes

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme for joint state and parameter estimation for nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. We establish robust exponential convergence of the combined estimation error subject to process…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-25 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

We show that a family of topological twists of a supersymmetric mechanics with a K\"ahler target exhibits a Batalin--Vilkovisky quantization. Using this observation we make a general proposal for the Hilbert space of states after a…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-08-02 Pavel Safronov , Brian R. Williams

Evaluating accessible conformational space is computationally expensive and thermal motions are partly neglected in computer models of molecular interactions. This produces error into the estimates of binding strength. We introduce a method…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-13 Riku Hakulinen , Santeri Puranen

On any denumerable product of probability spaces, we construct a Malliavin gradient and then a divergence and a number operator. This yields a Dirichlet structure which can be shown to approach the usual structures for Poisson and Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Laurent Decreusefond , Hélène Halconruy

This paper discusses some problems possibly arising when approximating via Monte-Carlo simulations the distributions of goodness-of-fit test statistics based on the empirical distribution function. We argue that failing to re-estimate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-04-01 Marco Capasso , Lucia Alessi , Matteo Barigozzi , Giorgio Fagiolo

For a qualitative analysis of spectra of certain two-dimensional rectangular-well quantum systems several rigorous methods of number theory are shown productive and useful. These methods (and, in particular, a generalization of the concept…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-05-04 Edita Pelantová , Štěpán Starosta , Miloslav Znojil

To achieve a maximal locality in a trivial field theory, we maximize the ultraviolet cutoff of the theory by fine tuning the infrared values of the parameters. This optimization procedure is applied to the scalar theory in $D+1$ dimensions…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2009-11-10 Jisuke Kubo , Masanori Nunami

We review a number a recent advances in the study of two-dimensional statistical models with strong geometrical constraints. These include folding problems of regular and random lattices as well as the famous meander problem of enumerating…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. Di Francesco , E. Guitter

Many common loss functions such as mean-squared-error, cross-entropy, and reconstruction loss are unnecessarily rigid. Under a probabilistic interpretation, these common losses correspond to distributions with fixed shapes and scales. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Mark Hamilton , Evan Shelhamer , William T. Freeman

Using a mapping between spatial disorder and temporal stochasticity, we develop a new framework using Lyapunov exponents to explain exotic wave localization and mobility phenomena in disordered one-dimensional (1D) mechanical systems that…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-13 Will Stephenson , Nan Cheng , Kai Sun , Xiaoming Mao

Orthogonal projections of the uniform measure on the Sierpinski triangle form a family of self similar measures with overlaps. The main result of this work is to make a connection between the dimension theory of these measures and the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Peej Ingarfield

We derive the stationary probability distribution for a non-equilibrium system composed by an arbitrary number of degrees of freedom that are subject to Gaussian colored noise and a conservative potential. This is based on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-01 Claudio Maggi , Umberto Marini Bettolo Marconi , Nicoletta Gnan , Roberto Di Leonardo

A defining feature of non-stationary systems is the time dependence of their statistical parameters. Measured time series may exhibit Gaussian statistics on short time horizons, due to the central limit theorem. The sample statistics for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-08 Rudi Schäfer , Sonja Barkhofen , Thomas Guhr , Hans-Jürgen Stöckmann , Ulrich Kuhl
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