English
Related papers

Related papers: Conformal Gaussian Approximation

200 papers

We propose a new \textit{quadratic programming-based} method of approximating a nonstandard density using a multivariate Gaussian density. Such nonstandard densities usually arise while developing posterior samplers for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-14 Abhishek K. Umrawal , Joshua C. C. Chan

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

Small-x divergences of Abelian gauge theory in the front form of Hamiltonian dynamics are regulated using a mass parameter for gauge bosons, introduced through a mechanism analogous to the spontaneous breaking of global gauge symmetry. A…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-01-24 Stanislaw D. Glazek

It is known that some cosmological perturbations are conformal invariant. This facilitates the studies of perturbations within some gravitational theories alternative to general relativity, for example the scalar-tensor theory, because it…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-10-21 Mingzhe Li , Yicen Mou

Two recent landmark experiments have performed Gaussian boson sampling (GBS) with a non-programmable linear interferometer and threshold detectors on up to 144 output modes (see Refs.~\onlinecite{zhong_quantum_2020,zhong2021phase}). Here we…

A method to reconstruct fields, source strengths and physical parameters based on Gaussian process regression is presented for the case where data are known to fulfill a given linear differential equation with localized sources. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-10 Christopher G. Albert

In the present paper, we propose and analyze a novel method for estimating a univariate regression function of bounded variation. The underpinning idea is to combine two classical tools in nonparametric statistics, namely isotonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Arnaud Guyader , Nicolas Jégou , Alexander B. Németh , Sándor Z. Németh

This paper proposes a novel method for testing observability in Gaussian models using discrete density approximations (deterministic samples) of (multivariate) Gaussians. Our notion of observability is defined by the existence of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-19 Ariane Hanebeck , Claudia Czado

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

We reconsider the mass spectrum of double sine-Gordon theory where recent semiclassical results called into question the previously accepted picture. We use the Truncated Conformal Space Approach (TCSA) to investigate the claims. We…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 G. Takacs , F. Wagner

We provide a new approach to approximate emulation of large computer experiments. By focusing expressly on desirable properties of the predictive equations, we derive a family of local sequential design schemes that dynamically define the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Daniel W. Apley

The paper addresses the problem of passivation of a class of nonlinear systems where the dynamics are unknown. For this purpose, we use the highly flexible, data-driven Gaussian process regression for the identification of the unknown…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Conformal prediction constructs a confidence set for an unobserved response of a feature vector based on previous identically distributed and exchangeable observations of responses and features. It has a coverage guarantee at any nominal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-08 Eugene Ndiaye , Ichiro Takeuchi

We look at the equivalence of the massive Thirring and sine-Gordon models. Previously, this equivalence was derived perturbatively in mass (though to all orders). Our calculation goes beyond that and uncovers an underlying conformal…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Bogojevic , B. Sazdovic , O. Miskovic

Fast variational approximate algorithms are developed for Bayesian semiparametric regression when the response variable is a count, i.e. a non-negative integer. We treat both the Poisson and Negative Binomial families as models for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-18 Jan Luts , Matt P. Wand

Model calibration or data inversion is one of fundamental tasks in uncertainty quantification. In this work, we study the theoretical properties of the scaled Gaussian stochastic process (S-GaSP), to model the discrepancy between reality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Mengyang Gu , Fangzheng Xie , Long Wang

Many state-of-the-art hyperparameter optimization (HPO) algorithms rely on model-based optimizers that learn surrogate models of the target function to guide the search. Gaussian processes are the de facto surrogate model due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-08 David Salinas , Jacek Golebiowski , Aaron Klein , Matthias Seeger , Cedric Archambeau