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Time series data are often corrupted by outliers or other kinds of anomalies. Identifying the anomalous points can be a goal on its own (anomaly detection), or a means to improving performance of other time series tasks (e.g. forecasting).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 François-Xavier Aubet , Daniel Zügner , Jan Gasthaus

The Fisher information matrix provides a way to measure the amount of information given observed data based on parameters of interest. Many applications of the FIM exist in statistical modeling, system identification, and parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-16 Xuan Wu

We apply the diagrammatic Monte Carlo approach to three-dimensional Fermi-polaron systems with mass-imbalance, where an impurity interacts resonantly with a noninteracting Fermi sea whose atoms have a different mass. This method allows to…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2015-04-23 Peter Kroiss , Lode Pollet

We present an aid for importance sampling in Monte Carlo integration, which is of the general-purpose type in the sense that it in principle deals with any quadratically integrable integrand on a unit hyper-cube of arbitrary dimension. In…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-07-29 A. van Hameren

Random-effects meta-analyses have been widely applied in evidence synthesis for various types of medical studies. However, standard inference methods (e.g. restricted maximum likelihood estimation) usually underestimate statistical errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-13 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hisashi Noma

We develop a theoretical framework for studying numerical estimation of lower previsions, generally applicable to two-level Monte Carlo methods, importance sampling methods, and a wide range of other sampling methods one might devise. We…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-12 Matthias C. M. Troffaes

This paper concerns numerical assessment of Monte Carlo error in particle filters. We show that by keeping track of certain key features of the genealogical structure arising from resampling operations, it is possible to estimate variances…

Computation · Statistics 2016-06-29 Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

In regimes of low signal strengths and therefore a small signal-to-noise ratio, standard data analysis methods often fail to accurately estimate system properties. We present a method based on Monte Carlo simulations to effectively restore…

Using the concept of finite-size scaling, Monte Carlo calculations of various models have become a very useful tool for the study of critical phenomena, with the system linear dimension as a variable. As an example, several recent studies…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Kurt Binder , Erik Luijten , Marcus Müller , Nigel B. Wilding , Henk W. J. Blöte

The near threshold expansion of Feynman diagrams is derived from their configuration space representation, by performing all x integrations. The general scalar Feynman diagram is considered, with an arbitrary number of external momenta, an…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Mendels

Quasi-Monte Carlo rules are equal weight quadrature rules defined over the domain $[0,1]^s$. Here we introduce quasi-Monte Carlo type rules for numerical integration of functions defined on $\mathbb{R}^s$. These rules are obtained by way of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Josef Dick

Moment matching is an easy-to-implement and usually effective method to reduce variance of Monte Carlo simulation estimates. On the other hand, there is no guarantee that moment matching will always reduce simulation variance for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Xuan Liu

Starting from the parametric representation of a Feynman diagram, we obtain it's well defined value in dimensional regularisation by changing the integrals over parameters into contour integrals. That way we eventually arrive at a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Knecht , H. Verschelde

We consider fits to two or more datasets for which results from the sa me experiment share a common systematic uncertainty in addition to their individ ual statistical errors. This is important in extracting the maximum information from a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-29 Roger John Barlow

Modeling complex physical systems such as they arise in civil engineering applications requires finding a trade-off between physical fidelity and practicality. Consequently, deviations of simulation from measurements are ubiquitous even…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

Within Full Configuration Interaction Quantum Monte Carlo, we investigate how the statistical error behaves as a function of the parameters which control the stochastic sampling. We define the inefficiency as a measure of the statistical…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-03-15 W. A. Vigor , J. S. Spencer , M. J. Bearpark , A. J. W. Thom

This article provides an overview of some interfaces between the theory of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods and applications. We summarize three QMC theoretical settings: first order QMC methods in the unit cube $[0,1]^s$ and in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Frances Y. Kuo , Dirk Nuyens

The primary focus of Monte Carlo simulation is to identify and quantify risk related to uncertainty and variability in spreadsheet model inputs. The stress of Monte Carlo simulation often reveals logical errors in the underlying spreadsheet…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2010-01-26 Hilary L. Emmett , Lawrence I. Goldman

Knowledge of a machine tool axis to axis location errors allows compensation and correcting actions to be taken to enhance its volumetric accuracy. Several procedures exist, involving either lengthy individual test for each geometric error…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-06-20 Loïc Andolfatto , René Mayer , Sylvain Lavernhe

Continuous level Monte Carlo is an unbiased, continuous version of the celebrated multilevel Monte Carlo method. The approximation level is assumed to be continuous resulting in a stochastic process describing the quantity of interest.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Cedric Aaron Beschle , Andrea Barth