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We consider the problem of designing efficient particle filters for twisted Feynman--Kac models. Particle filters using twisted models can deliver low error approximations of statistical quantities and such twisting functions can be learnt…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 Joshua J Bon , Christopher Drovandi , Anthony Lee

We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Arne Decadt , Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

We derive the general analytical expressions for the statistical uncertainties of cumulants up to fourth order including an efficiency correction. The analytical expressions have been tested with a toy Monte Carlo model analysis. An…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-03-25 Fan Si , Yifei Zhang

Uncertainty estimation in deep models is essential in many real-world applications and has benefited from developments over the last several years. Recent evidence suggests that existing solutions dependent on simple Gaussian formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Jurijs Nazarovs , Ronak R. Mehta , Vishnu Suresh Lokhande , Vikas Singh

We propose novel scale-invariant error estimators for the Monte Carlo and multilevel Monte Carlo estimation of mean and variance. For any linear transformation of the distribution of the quantity of interest, the computation cost across…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand , Bojana Rosić

The main focus of the analysts who deal with clustered data is usually not on the clustering variables, and hence the group-specific parameters are treated as nuisance. If a fixed effects formulation is preferred and the total number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-01 Claudia Di Caterina , Giuliana Cortese , Nicola Sartori

An appeal for symmetry is made to build established notions of specific representation and specific nonlinearity of measurement (often called model error) into a canonical linear regression model. Additive components are derived from the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 Richard E. Danielson

In the framework of uncertainty quantification, we consider a quantity of interest which depends non-smoothly on the high-dimensional parameter representing the uncertainty. We show that, in this situation, the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Laura Scarabosio

Synthesizing realistic images involves computing high-dimensional light-transport integrals. In practice, these integrals are numerically estimated via Monte Carlo integration. The error of this estimation manifests itself as conspicuous…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Vassillen Chizhov , Iliyan Georgiev , Karol Myszkowski , Gurprit Singh

We study quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration over the multi-dimensional unit cube in several weighted function spaces with different smoothness classes. We consider approximating the integral of a function by the median of several integral…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 Takashi Goda , Kosuke Suzuki , Makoto Matsumoto

We study a neural network framework for the numerical evaluation of Feynman loop integrals that are fundamental building blocks for perturbative computations of physical observables in gauge and gravity theories. We show that such a machine…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-12-12 Ryusuke Jinno , Gregor Kälin , Zhengwen Liu , Henrique Rubira

Due to the complexity of order statistics, the finite sample behaviour of robust statistics is generally not analytically solvable. While the Monte Carlo method can provide approximate solutions, its convergence rate is typically very slow,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-12 Li Tuobang

The discrepancy of a point set quantifies how well the points are distributed, with low-discrepancy point sets demonstrating exceptional uniform distribution properties. Such sets are integral to quasi-Monte Carlo methods, which approximate…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-16 Josef Dick , Takashi Goda , Gerhard Larcher , Friedrich Pillichshammer , Kosuke Suzuki

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods are used for numerically integrating multivariate functions. However, the error bounds for these methods typically rely on a priori knowledge of some semi-norm of the integrand, not on the sampled function values.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Fred J. Hickernell

This paper studies the rate of convergence for conditional quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC), which is a counterpart of conditional Monte Carlo. We focus on discontinuous integrands defined on the whole of $R^d$, which can be unbounded. Under…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-07 Zhijian He

The worldline formalism allows one to obtain compact integral representations combining the information of large numbers of Feynman diagrams. However, their analytic calculation leads to a non-standard integration problem for which existing…

Using fixed point characterization, we develop a new goodness of fit test for uniform distribution. We also discuss how the right censored observations can be incorporated in the proposed test procedure. We study the asymptotic properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-14 Sudheesh K. Kattumannil , Sreedevi E. P

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods rely on a hierarchy of possibly less accurate but statistically correlated simplified or reduced models, in order to accelerate the estimation of statistics of high-fidelity models without compromising the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Alessio Quaglino , Simone Pezzuto , Rolf Krause

We combine a generic method for finding fast orthogonal transforms for a given quasi-Monte Carlo integration problem with the multilevel Monte Carlo method. It is shown by example that this combined method can vastly improve the efficiency…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Christian Irrgeher , Gunther Leobacher

Most quasi-Monte Carlo research focuses on sampling from the unit cube. Many problems, especially in computer graphics, are defined via quadrature over the unit triangle. Quasi-Monte Carlo methods for the triangle have been developed by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Kinjal Basu , Art B. Owen