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Related papers: Weight optimization in multichannel Monte Carlo

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Importance weighting is a general way to adjust Monte Carlo integration to account for draws from the wrong distribution, but the resulting estimate can be highly variable when the importance ratios have a heavy right tail. This routinely…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-12 Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman , Yuling Yao , Jonah Gabry

Random walks are frequently used as a model for very diverse physical phenomena. The Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool for the study of the properties of systems modelled as random walks. Often, each walker is associated with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-07-21 Hunter Belanger , Davide Mancusi , Andrea Zoia

It has been known for a long time that stratification is one possible strategy to obtain higher convergence rates for the Monte Carlo estimation of integrals over the hyper-cube $[0, 1]^s$ of dimension $s$. However, stratified estimators…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-10 Nicolas Chopin , Hejin Wang , Mathieu Gerber

The Monte Carlo method is often used to simulate systems which can be modeled by random walks. In order to calculate observables, in many implementations the "walkers" carry a statistical weight which is generally assumed to be positive.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-05 Hunter Belanger , Davide Mancusi , Andrea Zoia

Optimization algorithms and Monte Carlo sampling algorithms have provided the computational foundations for the rapid growth in applications of statistical machine learning in recent years. There is, however, limited theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Yi-An Ma , Yuansi Chen , Chi Jin , Nicolas Flammarion , Michael I. Jordan

Efficient variance reduction of Monte Carlo simulations is desirable to avoid wasting computational resources. This paper presents an automated weight window algorithm for solving time-dependent particle transport problems. The weight…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Caleb S. Shaw , Dmitriy Y. Anistratov

This paper extends the Multilevel Monte Carlo variance reduction technique to nonlinear filtering. In particular, Multilevel Monte Carlo is applied to a certain variant of the particle filter, the Ensemble Transform Particle Filter. A key…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter , Sebastian Reich

A general-purpose, self-adapting Monte Carlo (MC) algorithm implemented in the program {\tt Foam} is described. The high efficiency of the MC, that is small maximum weight or variance of the MC weight is achieved by means of dividing the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 S. Jadach

Various kinetic Monte Carlo algorithms become inefficient when some of the population sizes in a system are large, which gives rise to a large number of reaction events per unit time. Here, we present a new acceleration algorithm based on…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-24 Yen Ting Lin , Song Feng , William S. Hlavacek

Control variates are a well-established tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators. However, for large-scale problems including high-dimensional and large-sample settings, their advantages can be outweighed by a substantial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-22 Shijing Si , Chris. J. Oates , Andrew B. Duncan , Lawrence Carin , François-Xavier Briol

This paper investigates the use of multiple directions of stratification as a variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulations of path-dependent options driven by Gaussian vectors. The precision of the method depends on the choice…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Benjamin Jourdain , Bernard Lapeyre , Piergiacomo Sabino

Streams of event weights in particle-level Monte Carlo event generators are a convenient and immensely CPU-efficient approach to express systematic uncertainties in phenomenology calculations, providing systematic variations on the nominal…

We consider the post-training quantization problem, which discretizes the weights of pre-trained deep neural networks without re-training the model. We propose multipoint quantization, a quantization method that approximates a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Xingchao Liu , Mao Ye , Dengyong Zhou , Qiang Liu

This manuscript presents a framework for using multilevel quadrature formulae to compute the solution of optimal control problems constrained by random partial differential equations. Our approach consists in solving a sequence of optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Fabio Nobile , Tommaso Vanzan

We demonstrate a scaling method for non-Markovian Monte Carlo wave-function simulations used to study open quantum systems weakly coupled to their environments. We derive a scaling equation, from which the result for the expectation values…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Piilo , S. Maniscalco , A. Messina , F. Petruccione

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

We introduce a multiscale Monte Carlo algorithm to simulate dense simple fluids. The probability of an update follows a power law distribution in its length scale. The collective motion of clusters of particles requires generalization of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 A. C. Maggs

A new Monte Carlo algorithm for phase-space sampling, named (MC)**3, is presented. It is based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques but at the same time incorporates prior knowledge about the target distribution in the form of suitable…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-06-12 Kevin Kroeninger , Steffen Schumann , Benjamin Willenberg

This paper focuses on the study of an original combination of the Multilevel Monte Carlo method introduced by Giles [10] and the popular importance sampling technique. To compute the optimal choice of the parameter involved in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Kaouther Hajji , Ahmed Kebaier