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Much recent research has been conducted in the area of Bayesian learning, particularly with regard to the optimization of hyper-parameters via Gaussian process regression. The methodologies rely chiefly on the method of maximizing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-13 James Brofos

We extend the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for approximately solving optimal stopping problems on high-dimensional state spaces. We reformulate the optimal stopping problem for Markov processes in discrete time as a generalized statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Daniel Egloff

Several proposed techniques for distinguishing between optical coherent states are analyzed under a physically realistic model of photodetection. Quantum error probabilities are derived for the Kennedy receiver, the Dolinar receiver and the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 JM Geremia

This paper provides a convergence analysis for generalized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo samplers, a family of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods based on leapfrog integration of Hamiltonian dynamics and kinetic Langevin diffusion, that encompasses…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Evan Camrud , Alain Durmus , Pierre Monmarché , Gabriel Stoltz

We present a sequential Monte Carlo sampler variant of the partial rejection control algorithm, and show that this variant can be considered as a sequential Monte Carlo sampler with a modified mutation kernel. We prove that the new sampler…

Computation · Statistics 2009-11-11 G. W. Peters , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

In this paper, we consider the multicollinearity problem in the gamma regression model when model parameters are linearly restricted. The linear restrictions are available from prior information to ensure the validity of scientific theories…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Solmaz Seifollahi , Hossein Bevrani , Kaniav Kamary

We consider the problem of sequentially choosing between a set of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators to minimize the mean-squared-error (MSE) of a final combined estimate. By reducing this task to a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-15 James Neufeld , András György , Dale Schuurmans , Csaba Szepesvári

We consider distributed stochastic optimization problems that are solved with master/workers computation architecture. Statistical arguments allow to exploit statistical similarity and approximate this problem by a finite-sum problem, for…

This paper presents preliminary work on computing upper bounds on the estimation error covariance in the framework of the extended Kalman filter. The approach taken is using quadratic constraints to bound the dynamic nonlinearities and use…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-14 Sze Kwan Cheah , Yingjie Hu

We consider the problem of estimating the expected outcomes of Monte Carlo processes whose outputs are described by multidimensional random variables. We tightly characterize the quantum query complexity of this problem for various choices…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-07-09 Arjan Cornelissen , Sofiene Jerbi

This paper investigates stochastic multi-armed bandit algorithms that are robust to adversarial attacks, where an attacker can first observe the learner's action and {then} alter their reward observation. We study two cases of this model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Xuchuang Wang , Jinhang Zuo , Xutong Liu , John C. S. Lui , Mohammad Hajiesmaili

Belief updating in Bayes nets, a well known computationally hard problem, has recently been approximated by several deterministic algorithms, and by various randomized approximation algorithms. Deterministic algorithms usually provide…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Eugene Santos , Solomon Eyal Shimony , Edward Williams

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy

The rejection threshold used for e-values and e-processes is by default set to $1/\alpha$ for a guaranteed type-I error control at $\alpha$, based on Markov's and Ville's inequalities. This threshold can be wasteful in practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Christopher Blier-Wong , Ruodu Wang

We develop a novel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that exploits a hierarchy of models of increasing complexity to efficiently generate samples from an unnormalized target distribution. Broadly, the method rewrites the Multilevel…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , Colin Fox , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl

The task of estimating a matrix given a sample of observed entries is known as the \emph{matrix completion problem}. Most works on matrix completion have focused on recovering an unknown real-valued low-rank matrix from a random sample of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-27 Olga Klopp , Jean Lafond , Eric Moulines , Joseph Salmon

This paper proposes a quantum-classical algorithm to evaluate and select classical artificial neural networks architectures. The proposed algorithm is based on a probabilistic quantum memory and the possibility to train artificial neural…

The complexity of the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm arises from the requirement of a likelihood evaluation for the full data set in each iteration. Payne and Mallick (2015) propose to speed up the algorithm by a delayed acceptance…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-23 Matias Quiroz , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

This paper considers the challenging computational task of estimating nested expectations. Existing algorithms, such as nested Monte Carlo or multilevel Monte Carlo, are known to be consistent but require a large number of samples at both…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-05 Zonghao Chen , Masha Naslidnyk , François-Xavier Briol

Uncertainty Quantification through Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be prohibitively expensive for target probability densities with expensive likelihood functions, for instance when the evaluation it involves solving a Partial…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-11 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Grigorios Mingas , Robert Scheichl , Colin Fox , Tim J. Dodwell
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