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Importance sampling is a technique that is commonly used to speed up Monte Carlo simulation of rare events. However, little is known regarding the design of efficient importance sampling algorithms in the context of queueing networks. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Paul Dupuis , Ali Devin Sezer , Hui Wang

The basic question in perturbation analysis of Markov chains is: how do small changes in the transition kernels of Markov chains translate to chains in their stationary distributions? Many papers on the subject have shown, roughly, that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu , Aaron Smith

Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

A large number and diversity of techniques have been offered in the literature in recent years for solving multi-label classification tasks, including classifier chains where predictions are cascaded to other models as additional features.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-19 Jesse Read , Luca Martino

Random Wavelet Series form a class of random processes with multifractal properties. We give three applications of this construction. First, we synthesize a random function having any given spectrum of singularities satisfying some…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jean-Marie Aubry , Stéphane Jaffard

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

The paper proposes a new Monte-Carlo simulator combining the advantages of Sequential Monte Carlo simulators and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo simulators. The result is a method that is robust to multimodality and complex shapes to use for…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-20 Remi Daviet

Consider two random variables contaminated by two unknown transformations. The aim of this paper is to test the equality of those transformations. Two cases are distinguished: first, the two random variables have known distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-01 Mohamed Boutahar , Denys Pommeret

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

This paper introduces an open-ended sequential algorithm for computing the p-value of a test using Monte Carlo simulation. It guarantees that the resampling risk, the probability of a different decision than the one based on the theoretical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy

We present a procedure that in many cases enables the Monte Carlo sampling of states of a large system from the sampling of states of a smaller system. We illustrate this procedure, which we call the sewing algorithm, for sampling states…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 T. E. Booth , J. E. Gubernatis

For each element of certain families of integer sequences, we study the term-wise ratios of the Hankel transforms of three sequences related to that element by series reversion. In each case, the ratios define well-known sequences, and in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. Barry

We study a special inhomogeneous quantum network consisting of a ring of $M$ pseudo-spins (here $M = 4$) sequentially coupled to one and the same central spin under the influence of given pulse sequences (quantum gate operations). This…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guenter Mahler , Ilki Kim

The replicated field theory of the random field Ising model involves the couplings of replicas of different indices. The resulting correlation functions involve a superposition of different types of long distance behaviours. However the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 E. Brézin , De Dominicis

Many seemingly disparate Markov chains are unified when viewed as random walks on the set of chambers of a hyperplane arrangement. These include the Tsetlin library of theoretical computer science and various shuffling schemes. If only…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2010-02-08 Christos A. Athanasiadis , Persi Diaconis

A procedure for unfolding the true distribution from experimental data is presented. Machine learning methods are applied for simultaneous identification of an apparatus function and solving of an inverse problem. A priori information about…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-26 Nikolai Gagunashvili

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

Although histogram methods have been extremely effective for analyzing data from Monte Carlo simulations, they do have certain limitations, including the range over which they are valid and the difficulties of combining data from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Robert H. Swendsen , Jian-Sheng Wang , Shing-Te Li , Brian Diggs , Christopher Genovese , Joseph B. Kadane

We investigate the properties of a sequential Monte Carlo method where the particle weight that appears in the algorithm is estimated by a positive, unbiased estimator. We present broadly-applicable convergence results, including a central…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-26 Paul B. Rohrbach , Robert L. Jack

The use of sequential Monte Carlo within simulation for path-dependent option pricing is proposed and evaluated. Recently, it was shown that explicit solutions and importance sampling are valuable for efficient simulation of spot price and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-13 Michael A. Kouritzin , Anne MacKay
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