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We consider Monte Carlo approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator in models with intractable norming constants. This paper deals with adaptive Monte Carlo algorithms, which adjust control parameters in the course of simulation. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Blazej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Jan Palczewski , Wojciech Rejchel

We describe Monte Carlo methods for estimating lower envelopes of expectations of real random variables. We prove that the estimation bias is negative and that its absolute value shrinks with increasing sample size. We discuss fairly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Arne Decadt , Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock

Inspired by the latest developments in multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods and randomised sketching for linear algebra problems we propose a MLMC estimator for real-time processing of matrix structured random data. Our algorithm is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Yue Wu , Nick Polydorides

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) and unbiased estimators recently proposed by McLeish (Monte Carlo Methods Appl., 2011) and Rhee and Glynn (Oper. Res., 2015) are closely related. This connection is elaborated by presenting a new general class…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-12 Matti Vihola

We introduce a Monte Carlo method, as a modification of existing cluster algorithms, which allows simulations directly on systems of infinite size, and for quantum models also at beta=infinity. All two-point functions can be obtained,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 H. G. Evertz , W. von der Linden

Due to the potential benefits of parallelization, designing unbiased Monte Carlo estimators, primarily in the setting of randomized multilevel Monte Carlo, has recently become very popular in operations research and computational…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-03 Guanyang Wang , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

Multivariate circular observations, i.e. points on a torus are nowadays very common. Multivariate wrapped models are often appropriate to describe data points scattered on p-dimensional torus. However, statistical inference based on this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-16 Anahita Nodehi , Mousa Golalizadeh , Mehdi Maadooliat , Claudio Agostinelli

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

We analyze and compare the computational complexity of different simulation strategies for Monte Carlo in the setting of classically scaled population processes. This allows a range of widely used competing strategies to be judged…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-05 David F. Anderson , Desmond J. Higham , Yu Sun

In this work, we propose a smart idea to couple importance sampling and Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). We advocate a per level approach with as many importance sampling parameters as the number of levels, which enables us to compute the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Ahmed Kebaier , Jérôme Lelong

Monte Carlo experiments produce samples in order to estimate features of a given distribution. However, simultaneous estimation of means and quantiles has received little attention, despite being common practice. In this setting we…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-24 Nathan Robertson , James M. Flegal , Dootika Vats , Galin L. Jones

This article reviews the application of advanced Monte Carlo techniques in the context of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). MLMC is a strategy employed to compute expectations which can be biased in some sense, for instance, by using the…

Computation · Statistics 2017-04-25 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Carina Suciu

Recently, global pulsar timing arrays have released results from searching for a nano-Hertz gravitational wave background signal. Although there has not been any definite evidence of the presence of such a signal in residuals of pulsar…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-10-12 A. Samajdar , G. Shaifullah , A. Sesana , J. Antoniadis , M. Burgay , D. J. Champion , S. Chen , M. Kramer , J. W. McKee , M. B. Mickaliger , E. Van der Wateren

For real symmetric matrices that are accessible only through matrix vector products, we present Monte Carlo estimators for computing the diagonal elements. Our probabilistic bounds for normwise absolute and relative errors apply to Monte…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen , Arvind Saibaba

Monte-Carlo simulations are routinely used for estimating the scaling exponents of complex systems. However, due to finite-size effects, determining the exponent values is often difficult and not reliable. Here we present a novel technique…

Computational Physics · Physics 2008-04-14 Jaan Kalda

With origins in game theory, probabilistic values like Shapley values, Banzhaf values, and semi-values have emerged as a central tool in explainable AI. They are used for feature attribution, data attribution, data valuation, and more.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 R. Teal Witter , Yurong Liu , Christopher Musco

Consider a real-valued function that can only be observed with stochastic noise at a finite set of design points within a Euclidean space. We wish to determine whether there exists a convex function that goes through the true function…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-07-30 Nanjing Jian , Shane G. Henderson

We present a multilevel Monte Carlo simulation method for analysing multi-scale physical systems via a hierarchy of coarse-grained representations, to obtain numerically-exact results, at the most detailed level. We apply the method to a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-10-04 Paul B. Rohrbach , Hideki Kobayashi , Robert Scheichl , Nigel B. Wilding , Robert L. Jack

The multi-level Monte Carlo method proposed by M. Giles (2008) approximates the expectation of some functionals applied to a stochastic process with optimal order of convergence for the mean-square error. In this paper, a modified…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-20 Kristian Debrabant , Andreas Rößler

The current and upcoming generation of Very Large Volume Neutrino Telescopes---collecting unprecedented quantities of neutrino events---can be used to explore subtle effects in oscillation physics, such as (but not restricted to) the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-12-05 IceCube Collaboration , M. G. Aartsen , M. Ackermann , J. Adams , J. A. Aguilar , M. Ahlers , M. Ahrens , I. Al Samarai , D. Altmann , K. Andeen , T. Anderson , I. Ansseau , G. Anton , C. Argüelles , T. C. Arlen , J. Auffenberg , S. Axani , H. Bagherpour , X. Bai , A. Balagopal V. , J. P. Barron , I. Bartos , S. W. Barwick , V. Baum , R. Bay , J. J. Beatty , J. Becker Tjus , K. -H. Becker , S. BenZvi , D. Berley , E. Bernardini , D. Z. Besson , G. Binder , D. Bindig , E. Blaufuss , S. Blot , C. Bohm , M. Bohmer , M. Börner , F. Bos , S. Böser , O. Botner , E. Bourbeau , J. Bourbeau , F. Bradascio , J. Braun , M. Brenzke , H. -P. Bretz , S. Bron , J. Brostean-Kaiser , A. Burgman , R. S. Busse , T. Carver , E. Cheung , D. Chirkin , A. Christov , K. Clark , L. Classen , G. H. Collin , J. M. Conrad , P. Coppin , P. Correa , D. F. Cowen , R. Cross , P. Dave , M. Day , J. P. A. M. de André , C. De Clercq , J. J. DeLaunay , H. Dembinski , S. De Ridder , P. Desiati , K. D. de Vries , G. de Wasseige , M. de With , T. DeYoung , J. C. Díaz-Vélez , V. di Lorenzo , H. Dujmovic , J. P. Dumm , M. Dunkman , M. A. DuVernois , E. Dvorak , B. Eberhardt , T. Ehrhardt , B. Eichmann , P. Eller , R. Engel , J. J. Evans , P. A. Evenson , S. Fahey , A. R. Fazely , J. Felde , K. Filimonov , C. Finley , S. Flis , A. Franckowiak , E. Friedman , A. Fritz , T. K. Gaisser , J. Gallagher , A. Gartner , L. Gerhardt , R. Gernhaeuser , K. Ghorbani , W. Giang , T. Glauch , T. Glüsenkamp , A. Goldschmidt , J. G. Gonzalez , D. Grant , Z. Griffith , C. Haack , A. Hallgren , F. Halzen , K. Hanson , J. Haugen , A. Haungs , D. Hebecker , D. Heereman , K. Helbing , R. Hellauer , F. Henningsen , S. Hickford , J. Hignight , G. C. Hill , K. D. Hoffman , B. Hoffmann , R. Hoffmann , T. Hoinka , B. Hokanson-Fasig , K. Holzapfel , K. Hoshina , F. Huang , M. Huber , T. Huber , T. Huege , K. Hultqvist , M. Hünnefeld , R. Hussain , S. In , N. Iovine , A. Ishihara , E. Jacobi , G. S. Japaridze , M. Jeong , K. Jero , B. J. P. Jones , P. Kalaczynski , O. Kalekin , W. Kang , D. Kang , A. Kappes , D. Kappesser , T. Karg , A. Karle , T. Katori , U. Katz , M. Kauer , A. Keivani , J. L. Kelley , A. Kheirandish , J. Kim , M. Kim , T. Kintscher , J. Kiryluk , T. Kittler , S. R. Klein , R. Koirala , H. Kolanoski , L. Köpke , C. Kopper , S. Kopper , J. P. Koschinsky , D. J. Koskinen , M. Kowalski , C. B. Krauss , K. Krings , M. Kroll , G. Krückl , S. Kunwar , N. Kurahashi , T. Kuwabara , A. Kyriacou , M. Labare , J. L. Lanfranchi , M. J. Larson , F. Lauber , D. Lennarz , K. Leonard , M. Lesiak-Bzdak , A. Leszczynska , M. Leuermann , Q. R. Liu , E. Lohfink , J. LoSecco , C. J. Lozano Mariscal , L. Lu , J. Lünemann , W. Luszczak , J. Madsen , G. Maggi , K. B. M. Mahn , S. Mancina , S. Mandalia , S. Marka , Z. Marka , R. Maruyama , K. Mase , R. Maunu , K. Meagher , M. Medici , M. Meier , T. Menne , G. Merino , T. Meures , S. Miarecki , J. Micallef , G. Momenté , T. Montaruli , R. W. Moore , M. Moulai , R. Nahnhauer , P. Nakarmi , U. Naumann , G. Neer , H. Niederhausen , S. C. Nowicki , D. R. Nygren , A. Obertacke Pollmann , M. Oehler , A. Olivas , A. O'Murchadha , E. O'Sullivan , A. Palazzo , T. Palczewski , H. Pandya , D. V. Pankova , L. Papp , P. Peiffer , J. A. Pepper , C. Pérez de los Heros , T. C. Petersen , D. Pieloth , E. Pinat , J. L. Pinfold , M. Plum , P. B. Price , G. T. Przybylski , C. Raab , L. Rädel , M. Rameez , L. Rauch , K. Rawlins , I. C. Rea , R. Reimann , B. Relethford , M. Relich , M. Renschler , E. Resconi , W. Rhode , M. Richman , M. Riegel , S. Robertson , M. Rongen , C. Rott , T. Ruhe , D. Ryckbosch , D. Rysewyk , I. Safa , T. Sälzer , S. E. Sanchez Herrera , A. Sandrock , J. Sandroos , P. Sandstrom , M. Santander , S. Sarkar , S. Sarkar , K. Satalecka , H. Schieler , P. Schlunder , T. Schmidt , A. Schneider , S. Schoenen , S. Schöneberg , F. G. Schröder , L. Schumacher , S. Sclafani , D. Seckel , S. Seunarine , M. H. Shaevitz , J. Soedingrekso , D. Soldin , S. Söldner-Rembold , M. Song , G. M. Spiczak , C. Spiering , J. Stachurska , M. Stamatikos , T. Stanev , A. Stasik , R. Stein , J. Stettner , A. Steuer , T. Stezelberger , R. G. Stokstad , A. Stößl , N. L. Strotjohann , T. Stuttard , G. W. Sullivan , M. Sutherland , I. Taboada , A. Taketa , H. K. M. Tanaka , J. Tatar , F. Tenholt , S. Ter-Antonyan , A. Terliuk , S. Tilav , P. A. Toale , M. N. Tobin , C. Tönnis , S. Toscano , D. Tosi , M. Tselengidou , C. F. Tung , A. Turcati , C. F. Turley , B. Ty , E. Unger , M. Usner , J. Vandenbroucke , W. Van Driessche , D. van Eijk , N. van Eijndhoven , S. Vanheule , J. van Santen , D. Veberic , E. Vogel , M. Vraeghe , C. Walck , A. Wallace , M. Wallraff , F. D. Wandler , N. Wandkowsky , A. Waza , C. Weaver , A. Weindl , M. J. Weiss , C. Wendt , J. Werthebach , S. Westerhoff , B. J. Whelan , K. Wiebe , C. H. Wiebusch , L. Wille , D. R. Williams , L. Wills , M. Wolf , J. Wood , T. R. Wood , E. Woolsey , K. Woschnagg , G. Wrede , S. Wren , D. L. Xu , X. W. Xu , Y. Xu , J. P. Yanez , G. Yodh , S. Yoshida , T. Yuan