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The weighted average is by far the most popular approach to combining multiple forecasts of some future outcome. This paper shows that both for probability or real-valued forecasts, a non-trivial weighted average of different forecasts is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-28 Ville Satopää , Lyle Ungar

We consider deconvolution from repeated observations with unknown error distribution. So far, this model has mostly been studied under the additional assumption that the errors are symmetric. We construct an estimator for the non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus , Fabienne Comte

A method is discussed that allows combining sets of differential or inclusive measurements. It is assumed that at least one measurement was obtained with simultaneously fitting a set of nuisance parameters, representing sources of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Jan Kieseler

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li

For a real or complex one-dimensional map satisfying a weak hyperbolicity assumption, we study the existence and statistical properties of physical measures, with respect to geometric reference measures. We also study geometric properties…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Juan Rivera-Letelier , Weixiao Shen

This article reviews bias-correction models for measurement error of exposure variables in the field of nutritional epidemiology. Measurement error usually attenuates estimated slope towards zero. Due to the influence of measurement error,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Huimin Peng

Clustering ensemble, or consensus clustering, has emerged as a powerful tool for improving both the robustness and the stability of results from individual clustering methods. Weighted clustering ensemble arises naturally from clustering…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Mimi Zhang

We consider a setting where an agent's uncertainty is represented by a set of probability measures, rather than a single measure. Measure-by-measure updating of such a set of measures upon acquiring new information is well-known to suffer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Joseph Y. Halpern , Samantha Leung

Thermodynamically consistent measurements can either preserve statistics (unbiased) or preserve marginal states (non-invasive) but not both. Here we show the existence of metrological tasks which unequally favor each of the aforementioned…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-28 Muthumanimaran Vetrivelan , Abhisek Panda , Sai Vinjanampathy

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

The best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE) is a popular statistical method adopted to combine multiple measurements of the same observable taking into account individual uncertainties and their correlation. The method is unbiased by…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-01-19 Luca Lista

We study ratio metrics in A/B testing at the presence of correlation among observations coming from the same user and provides practical guidance especially when two metrics contradict each other. We propose new estimating methods to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-24 Keyu Nie , Yinfei Kong , Ted Tao Yuan , Pauline Berry Burke

Behavioural economics provides labels for patterns in human economic behaviour. Probability weighting is one such label. It expresses a mismatch between probabilities used in a formal model of a decision (i.e. model parameters) and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-05-04 Ole Peters , Alexander Adamou , Mark Kirstein , Yonatan Berman

The paper deals with measures of nonlinearity. In state estimation, they are utilized i) to select a suitable state estimation algorithm by assessing the nonlinearity of a system model, ii) to adapt the estimation algorithm structure or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-10 Ondřej Straka , Jindřich Havlík

We consider the evaluation of laboratory practice through the comparison of measurements made by participating metrology laboratories when the measurement procedures are considered to have both fixed effects (the residual error due to…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-09 John F Clare , Annette Koo , Robert B Davies

The average result of a weak measurement of some observable $A$ can, under post-selection of the measured quantum system, exceed the largest eigenvalue of $A$. The nature of weak measurements, as well as the presence of post-selection and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-11-13 Matthew F. Pusey

Heteroscedasticity is common in real world applications and is often handled by incorporating case weights into a modeling procedure. Intuitively, models fitted with different weight schemes would have a different level of complexity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Bo Luan , Yoonkyung Lee , Yunzhang Zhu

There have been reports of correlation between estimates of prevalence and test accuracy across studies included in diagnostic meta-analyses. It has been hypothesized that this unexpected association arises because of certain biases…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-15 Yang Lu , Robert Platt , Nandini Dendukuri

We provide an interpretation of entanglement based on classical correlations between measurement outcomes of complementary properties: states that have correlations beyond a certain threshold are entangled. The reverse is not true, however.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-26 Lorenzo Maccone , Dagmar Bruss , Chiara Macchiavello

Inverse probability weights are commonly used in epidemiology to estimate causal effects in observational studies. Researchers can typically focus on either the average treatment effect or the average treatment effect on the treated with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-05 Eli Ben-Michael , Luke Keele