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Asymptotics of maximum likelihood estimation for $\alpha$-stable law are analytically investigated with a continuous parameterization. The consistency and asymptotic normality are shown on the interior of the whole parameter space. Although…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-01 Muneya Matsui

The equations of a planar elastica under pressure can be rewritten in a useful form by parametrising the variables in terms of the local orientation angle, $\theta$, instead of the arc length. This ``$\theta$-formulation'' lends itself to a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-07-25 Gregory Kozyreff , Emmanuel Siéfert , Basile Radisson , Fabian Brau

When are asymptotic approximations using the delta-method uniformly valid? We provide sufficient conditions as well as closely related necessary conditions for uniform negligibility of the remainder of such approximations. These conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Maximilian Kasy

Quantifying and predicting rare and extreme events persists as a crucial yet challenging task in understanding complex dynamical systems. Many practical challenges arise from the infrequency and severity of these events, including the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Kai Chang , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Conventional test-time adaptation (TTA) approaches typically adapt the model using only a small fraction of test samples, often those with low-entropy predictions, thereby failing to fully leverage the available information in the test…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Nam Nguyen Phuong , Duc Nguyen The Minh , Phi Le Nguyen , Ehsan Abbasnejad , Minh Hoai

The study of records in the Linear Drift Model (LDM) has attracted much attention recently due to applications in several fields. In the present paper we study $\delta$-records in the LDM, defined as observations which are greater than all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-28 Raúl Gouet , Miguel Lafuente , F. Javier López , Gerardo Sanz

We propose a new method for the extraction of Rotation Measure from spectral polarization data. The method is based on maximum likelihood analysis and takes into account the circular nature of the polarization data. The method is unbiased…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 S. Sarala , Pankaj Jain

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-30 Peter Bickel , David Choi , Xiangyu Chang , Hai Zhang

We study the inverse problem of determining uniquely and stably quasilinear terms appearing in an elliptic equation from boundary excitations and measurements associated with the solutions of the corresponding equation. More precisely, we…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Yavar Kian

We establish the asymptotic distribution of likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) in settings where some of the nuisance parameters are unidentifiable under the null hypothesis, parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the parameter space, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Ola Hössjer , Matteo Bottai , J. M. Patrik Albin

Estimation of tail quantities, such as expected shortfall or Value at Risk, is a difficult problem. We show how the theory of nonlinear expectations, in particular the Data-robust expectation introduced in [5], can assist in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Samuel N. Cohen

We consider a diffusion $(\xi_t)_{t\ge 0}$ whose drift contains some deterministic periodic signal. Its shape being fixed and known, up to scaling in time, the periodicity of the signal is the unknown parameter $\vartheta$ of interest. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Reinhard Hoepfner , Yury Kutoyants

Causal investigations in observational studies pose a great challenge in research where randomized trials or intervention-based studies are not feasible. We develop an information geometric causal discovery and inference framework of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Soumik Purkayastha , Peter X. K. Song

The delta method is a popular and elementary tool for deriving limiting distributions of transformed statistics, while applications of asymptotic distributions do not allow one to obtain desirable accuracy of approximation for tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-19 Fuqing Gao , Xingqiu Zhao

As data plays an increasingly pivotal role in decision-making, the emergence of data markets underscores the growing importance of data valuation. Within the machine learning landscape, Data Shapley stands out as a widely embraced method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-30 Mengmeng Wu , Zhihong Liu , Xiang Li , Ruoxi Jia , Xiangyu Chang

The ratio of shear viscosity to entropy density, $\eta/s$, is computed in various holographic geometries that break translation invariance (but are isotropic). The shear viscosity does not have a hydrodynamic interpretation in such…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2016-04-20 Sean A. Hartnoll , David M. Ramirez , Jorge E. Santos

In many applied fields it is desired to make predictions with the aim of assessing the plausibility of more severe events than those already recorded to safeguard against calamities that have not yet occurred. This problem can be analysed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 S. A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

This paper studies the robustness of estimated policy effects to changes in the distribution of covariates, a key determinant of the external validity of (quasi)-experimental results. I propose a novel robustness metric $\delta^*$ which…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-27 Pietro Emilio Spini

Sample size criteria are often expressed in terms of the concentration of the posterior density, as controlled by some sort of error bound. Since this is done pre-experimentally, one can regard the posterior density as a function of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. Clarke , Ao Yuan

Investigation of the underlying physics or biology from empirical data requires a quantifiable notion of similarity - when do two observed data sets indicate nearly identical generating processes, and when they do not. The discriminating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-07 Ishanu Chattopadhyay , Hod Lipson