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A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

The analysis method currently proposed to search for isotropic stochastic radiation of primordial or astrophysical origin with the Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) relies on the combined use of two LISA channels, one of which is…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 E. L. Robinson , J. D. Romano , A. Vecchio

Bayesian likelihood-free methods implement Bayesian inference using simulation of data from the model to substitute for intractable likelihood evaluations. Most likelihood-free inference methods replace the full data set with a summary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Yinan Mao , Xueou Wang , David J. Nott , Michael Evans

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

Characterizing statistical properties of solutions of inverse problems is essential for decision making. Bayesian inversion offers a tractable framework for this purpose, but current approaches are computationally unfeasible for most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-18 Jonas Adler , Ozan Öktem

Incorporating information about the target distribution in proposal mechanisms generally produces efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (or at least, algorithms that are more efficient than uninformed counterparts). For instance, it…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-27 Philippe Gagnon

This work is motivated by the analysis of ecological interaction networks. Poisson stochastic blockmodels are widely used in this field to decipher the structure that underlies a weighted network, while accounting for covariate effects.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-24 Sophie Donnet , Stéphane Robin

Quantile regression is often used when a comprehensive relationship between a response variable and one or more explanatory variables is desired. The traditional frequentists' approach to quantile regression has been well developed around…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Yang Feng , Yuguo Chen , Xuming He

We propose a joint channel estimation and data detection algorithm for massive multilple-input multiple-output systems based on diffusion models. Our proposed method solves the blind inverse problem by sampling from the joint posterior…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-20 Nicolas Zilberstein , Ananthram Swami , Santiago Segarra

The remarkable sensitivity achieved by the planned Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will allow us to observe gravitational-wave signals from the mergers of massive black hole binaries (MBHBs) with signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in the…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-12-22 Sophia Yi , Francesco Iacovelli , Sylvain Marsat , Digvijay Wadekar , Emanuele Berti

Data analysis for the proposed Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) will be complicated by the huge number of sources in the LISA band. Throughout much of the band, galactic white dwarf binaries (GWDBs) are sufficiently dense in…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Etienne Racine , Curt Cutler

We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Frank Wood , Thomas Griffiths , Zoubin Ghahramani

We propose a fast inference method for Bayesian nonlinear support vector machines that leverages stochastic variational inference and inducing points. Our experiments show that the proposed method is faster than competing Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-22 Florian Wenzel , Theo Galy-Fajou , Matthaeus Deutsch , Marius Kloft

The problem of detecting a sinusoidal signal with randomly varying frequency has a long history. It is one of the core problems in signal processing, arising in many applications including, for example, underwater acoustic frequency line…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-14 Changrong Liu , S. Suvorova , R. J. Evans , B. Moran , A. Melatos

We introduce a Bayesian framework for inference with a supervised version of the Gaussian process latent variable model. The framework overcomes the high correlations between latent variables and hyperparameters by using an unbiased pseudo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-29 Charles Gadd , Sara Wade , Akeel Shah , Dimitris Grammatopoulos

This study proposes a materials search method combining a data assimilation technique based on a multivariate Gaussian distribution with Bayesian optimization. The efficiency of the search using this method was demonstrated using a pair of…

In this work, we develop an objective Bayesian framework for the Dhillon probability distribution. We explicitly derive three objective priors: the Jeffreys prior, the overall reference prior, and the maximal data information prior. We show…

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

We propose a novel approach to perform approximate Bayesian inference in complex models such as Bayesian neural networks. The approach is more scalable to large data than Markov Chain Monte Carlo, it embraces more expressive models than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-07 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Daniel Edward Pagendam