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We develop a fully automatic Bayesian Lasso via variational inference. This is a scalable procedure for approximating the posterior distribution. Special attention is driven to the knot selection in regression spline. In order to carry…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-01 Larissa Alves , Ronaldo Dias , Helio S. Migon

Most of previous works and applications of Bayesian factor model have assumed the normal likelihood regardless of its validity. We propose a Bayesian factor model for heavy-tailed high-dimensional data based on multivariate Student-$t$…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-10 Jaejoon Lee , Jaeyong Lee

L1-norm regularized logistic regression models are widely used for analyzing data with binary response. In those analyses, fusing regression coefficients is useful for detecting groups of variables. This paper proposes a binomial logistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-15 Yuko Kakikawa , Shuichi Kawano

The future space based gravitational wave detector LISA (Laser Interferometer Space Antenna) will observe millions of Galactic binaries constantly present in the data stream. A small fraction of this population (of the order of several…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-02-22 Natalia Korsakova , Stanislav Babak , Michael L. Katz , Nikolaos Karnesis , Sviatoslav Khukhlaev , Jonathan R. Gair

We apply state-of-the-art, likelihood-free statistical inference (machine-learning-based) techniques for reconstructing the spectral shape of a gravitational wave background (GWB). We focus on the reconstruction of an arbitrarily shaped…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-09 Androniki Dimitriou , Daniel G. Figueroa , Bryan Zaldivar

The LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA catalog has been analyzed with an abundance of different population models due to theoretical uncertainty in the formation of gravitational-wave sources. To expedite model exploration, we introduce an efficient and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-30 Matthew Mould , Noah E. Wolfe , Salvatore Vitale

Synthetic likelihood is an attractive approach to likelihood-free inference when an approximately Gaussian summary statistic for the data, informative for inference about the parameters, is available. The synthetic likelihood method derives…

We present a Bayesian inference methodology for the estimation of orbital parameters on single-line spectroscopic binaries with astrometric data, based on the No-U-Turn sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. Our approach is designed to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-04-27 Miguel Videla , Rene A. Mendez , Ruben M. Claveria , Jorge F. Silva , Marcos E. Orchard

We introduce efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for inference and model determination in multivariate and matrix-variate Gaussian graphical models. Our framework is based on the G-Wishart prior for the precision matrix associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-25 Adrian Dobra , Alex Lenkoski , Abel Rodriguez

We develop a generally applicable full-information inference method for heterogeneous agent models, combining aggregate time series data and repeated cross sections of micro data. To handle unobserved aggregate state variables that affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-19 Laura Liu , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

Flexible and accurate noise characterization is crucial for the precise estimation of gravitational-wave parameters. We introduce a Bayesian method for estimating the power spectral density (PSD) of long, stationary time series, explicitly…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-03-26 Nazeela Aimen , Patricio Maturana-Russel , Avi Vajpeyi , Nelson Christensen , Renate Meyer

A Bayesian approach is presented for detecting and characterising the signal from discrete objects embedded in a diffuse background. The approach centres around the evaluation of the posterior distribution for the parameters of the discrete…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. P. Hobson , C. McLachlan

Detecting influential features in non-linear and/or high-dimensional data is a challenging and increasingly important task in machine learning. Variable selection methods have thus been gaining much attention as well as post-selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Tobias Freidling , Benjamin Poignard , Héctor Climente-González , Makoto Yamada

The planned Laser Interferometer Space Antenna (LISA) is expected to detect gravitational wave signals from ~100 extreme-mass-ratio inspirals (EMRIs) of stellar-mass compact objects into massive black holes. The long duration and large…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Jonathan R Gair , Ilya Mandel , Linqing Wen

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Extreme-mass-ratio-inspiral observations from future space-based gravitational-wave detectors such as LISA will enable strong-field tests of general relativity with unprecedented precision, but at prohibitive computational cost if existing…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2018-06-07 Alvin J. K. Chua , Sonke Hee , Will J. Handley , Edward Higson , Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair , Michael P. Hobson , Anthony N. Lasenby

We describe an application of the MultiNest algorithm to gravitational wave data analysis. MultiNest is a multimodal nested sampling algorithm designed to efficiently evaluate the Bayesian evidence and return posterior probability densities…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2014-11-18 Farhan Feroz , Jonathan R. Gair , Michael P. Hobson , Edward K. Porter

We propose a Bayesian elastic net that uses empirical likelihood and develop an efficient tuning of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo for posterior sampling. The proposed model relaxes the assumptions on the identity of the error distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Chul Moon , Adel Bedoui

This article describes a full Bayesian treatment for simultaneous fixed-effect selection and parameter estimation in high-dimensional generalized linear mixed models. The approach consists of using a Bayesian adaptive Lasso penalty for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-31 Dao Thanh Tung , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Tran Manh Cuong