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Bayesian methods have proven themselves to be successful across a wide range of scientific problems and have many well-documented advantages over competing methods. However, these methods run into difficulties for two major and prevalent…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-29 John R. Lewis , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonkyung Lee

We study neural network compressibility by using singular learning theory to extend the minimum description length (MDL) principle to singular models like neural networks. Through extensive experiments on the Pythia suite with quantization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-15 Einar Urdshals , Edmund Lau , Jesse Hoogland , Stan van Wingerden , Daniel Murfet

The Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle states that the optimal model for a given data set is that which compresses it best. Due to practial limitations the model can be restricted to a class such as linear regression models, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-13 Florin Popescu , Daniel Renz

I define a natural measure of the complexity of a parametric distribution relative to a given true distribution called the {\it razor} of a model family. The Minimum Description Length principle (MDL) and Bayesian inference are shown to…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 Vijay Balasubramanian

Mutual information I in infinite sequences (and in their finite prefixes) is essential in theoretical analysis of many situations. Yet its right definition has been elusive for a long time. I address it by generalizing Kolmogorov Complexity…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Leonid A. Levin

We investigate the problem of best policy identification in discounted linear Markov Decision Processes in the fixed confidence setting under a generative model. We first derive an instance-specific lower bound on the expected number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-12 Jerome Taupin , Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

We show that forms of Bayesian and MDL inference that are often applied to classification problems can be *inconsistent*. This means there exists a learning problem such that for all amounts of data the generalization errors of the MDL…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Peter Grunwald , John Langford

Much is now known about the consistency of Bayesian updating on infinite-dimensional parameter spaces with independent or Markovian data. Necessary conditions for consistency include the prior putting enough weight on the correct…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

Exponential models of distributions are widely used in machine learning for classiffication and modelling. It is well known that they can be interpreted as maximum entropy models under empirical expectation constraints. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Amir Globerson , Naftali Tishby

Many regression problems involve not one but several response variables (y's). Often the responses are suspected to share a common underlying structure, in which case it may be advantageous to share information across them; this is known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-02 Brian Tomasik

Bayesian networks are convenient graphical expressions for high dimensional probability distributions representing complex relationships between a large number of random variables. They have been employed extensively in areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-04 Jem Corcoran , Daniel Tran , Nicholas Levine

PDE solutions are numerically represented by basis functions. Classical methods employ pre-defined bases that encode minimum desired PDE properties, which naturally cause redundant computations. What are the best bases to numerically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Shi Chen , Zhiyan Ding , Qin Li , Stephen J. Wright

We propose a general framework for neural network compression that is motivated by the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle. For that we first derive an expression for the entropy of a neural network, which measures its complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Simon Wiedemann , Arturo Marban , Klaus-Robert Müller , Wojciech Samek

Modern challenges of robustness, fairness, and decision-making in machine learning have led to the formulation of multi-distribution learning (MDL) frameworks in which a predictor is optimized across multiple distributions. We study the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Rajeev Verma , Volker Fischer , Eric Nalisnick

In this paper we prove a theorem about regression, in that the shortest description of a function consistent with a finite sample of data is less than the combined conditional Kolmogorov complexities over the data in the sample.

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Samuel Epstein

We tackle the problem of penalty selection of regularization on the basis of the minimum description length (MDL) principle. In particular, we consider that the design space of the penalty function is high-dimensional. In this situation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Kohei Miyaguchi , Kenji Yamanishi

When the data are sparse, optimization of hyperparameters of the kernel in Gaussian process regression by the commonly used maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) criterion often leads to overfitting. We show that choosing hyperparameters (in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-27 Sergei Manzhos , Manabu Ihara

We formulate the conditional Kolmogorov complexity of x given y at precision r, where x and y are points in Euclidean spaces and r is a natural number. We demonstrate the utility of this notion in two ways. 1. We prove a point-to-set…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-12-02 Jack H. Lutz , Neil Lutz

We consider the fundamental problem of inferring the causal direction between two univariate numeric random variables $X$ and $Y$ from observational data. The two-variable case is especially difficult to solve since it is not possible to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-23 Alexander Marx , Jilles Vreeken

In this paper we discuss a method, which we call Minimum Conditional Description Length (MCDL), for estimating the parameters of a subset of sites within a Markov random field. We assume that the edges are known for the entire graph…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-02-25 Matthew G. Reyes , David L. Neuhoff