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We introduce a simple approach for testing the reliability of homogeneous generators and the Markov property of the stochastic processes underlying empirical time series of credit ratings. We analyze open access data provided by Moody's and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-30 Pedro Lencastre , Frank Raischel , Pedro G. Lind , Tim Rogers

The identifiability analysis of a networked Markov chain model known as the influence model, as described in a recent contribution to Arxiv, is examined. Two errors in the identifiability analysis -- one related to the unidentifiability of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Sandip Roy

Hidden Quantum Markov Models (HQMMs) can be thought of as quantum probabilistic graphical models that can model sequential data. We extend previous work on HQMMs with three contributions: (1) we show how classical hidden Markov models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Siddarth Srinivasan , Geoff Gordon , Byron Boots

We propose DenseHMM - a modification of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that allows to learn dense representations of both the hidden states and the observables. Compared to the standard HMM, transition probabilities are not atomic but composed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Joachim Sicking , Maximilian Pintz , Maram Akila , Tim Wirtz

In this paper, the forgetting of the initial distribution for a non-ergodic Hidden Markov Models (HMM) is studied. A new set of conditions is proposed to establish the forgetting property of the filter, which significantly extends all the…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-14 Elisabeth Gassiat , Benoit Landelle , Eric Moulines

Diffusion models (DMs) have achieved remarkable success across various domains owing to their strong generative and denoising capabilities. Meanwhile, semantic communication based on neural joint source-channel coding (JSCC) has emerged as…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Yoon Huh , Jeongho Kang , Wan Choi

We propose a latent topic model with a Markovian transition for process data, which consist of time-stamped events recorded in a log file. Such data are becoming more widely available in computer-based educational assessment with complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-06 Haochen Xu , Guanhua Fang , Zhiliang Ying

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Martin Bladt

Markov networks are popular models for discrete multivariate systems where the dependence structure of the variables is specified by an undirected graph. To allow for more expressive dependence structures, several generalizations of Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Johan Pensar , Henrik Nyman , Jukka Corander

We propose Context Diffusion, a diffusion-based framework that enables image generation models to learn from visual examples presented in context. Recent work tackles such in-context learning for image generation, where a query image is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Ivona Najdenkoska , Animesh Sinha , Abhimanyu Dubey , Dhruv Mahajan , Vignesh Ramanathan , Filip Radenovic

In this work, we propose an approach to generalize denoising diffusion probabilistic models for stock market predictions and portfolio management. Present works have demonstrated the efficacy of modeling interstock relations for market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Divyanshu Daiya , Monika Yadav , Harshit Singh Rao

Modern successes of diffusion models in learning complex, high-dimensional data distributions are attributed, in part, to their capability to construct diffusion processes with analytic transition kernels and score functions. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-01 Guan-Horng Liu , Tianrong Chen , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Molei Tao

This paper describes a number of fundamental and practical problems in the application of hidden-Markov models and Bayes when applied to cursive-script recognition. Several problems, however, will have an effect in other application areas.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-01-04 Lambert Schomaker

Denoising diffusion models have spurred significant gains in density modeling and image generation, precipitating an industrial revolution in text-guided AI art generation. We introduce a new mathematical foundation for diffusion models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-09 Xianghao Kong , Rob Brekelmans , Greg Ver Steeg

The problem of finding the optimal set of source nodes in a diffusion network that maximizes the spread of information, influence, and diseases in a limited amount of time depends dramatically on the underlying temporal dynamics of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-05-09 Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Bernhard Schölkopf

We study memory based random walk models to understand diffusive motion in crowded heterogeneous environment. The models considered are non-Markovian as the current move of the random walk models is determined by randomly selecting a move…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-01 Sabeeha Hasnain , Upendra Harbola , Pradipta Bandyopadhyay

In this paper we consider large state space continuous time Markov chains (MCs) arising in the field of systems biology. For density dependent families of MCs that represent the interaction of large groups of identical objects, Kurtz has…

Performance · Computer Science 2015-03-04 Alessio Angius , Gianfranco Balbo , Marco Beccuti , Enrico Bibbona , Andras Horvath , Roberta Sirovich

We introduce a class of discrete random walk model driven by global memory effects. At any time the right-left transitions depend on the whole previous history of the walker, being defined by an urn-like memory mechanism. The characteristic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Adrian A. Budini

Imputation methods play a critical role in enhancing the quality of practical time-series data, which often suffer from pervasive missing values. Recently, diffusion-based generative imputation methods have demonstrated remarkable success…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Zeqi Ye , Minshuo Chen

We consider probabilistic systems with hidden state and unobservable transitions, an extension of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) that in particular admits unobservable {\epsilon}-transitions (also called null transitions), allowing state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Rebecca Bernemann , Barbara König , Matthias Schaffeld , Torben Weis