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The Bayesian framework is ideally suited for induction problems. The probability of observing $x_t$ at time $t$, given past observations $x_1...x_{t-1}$ can be computed with Bayes' rule if the true distribution $\mu$ of the sequences…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

We describe AI agents as stochastic dynamical systems and frame the problem of learning to reason as in transductive inference: Rather than approximating the distribution of past data as in classical induction, the objective is to capture…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Alessandro Achille , Stefano Soatto

Reinforcement learning (RL) is a general paradigm for studying intelligent behaviour, with applications ranging from artificial intelligence to psychology and economics. AIXI is a universal solution to the RL problem; it can learn any…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-03 Jarryd Martin , Tom Everitt , Marcus Hutter

Solomonoff's uncomputable universal prediction scheme $\xi$ allows to predict the next symbol $x_k$ of a sequence $x_1...x_{k-1}$ for any Turing computable, but otherwise unknown, probabilistic environment $\mu$. This scheme will be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

Sequential allocation is a simple and widely studied mechanism to allocate indivisible items in turns to agents according to a pre-specified picking sequence of agents. At each turn, the current agent in the picking sequence picks its most…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Mingyu Xiao , Jiaxing Ling

A fundamental problem in artificial intelligence is that nobody really knows what intelligence is. The problem is especially acute when we need to consider artificial systems which are significantly different to humans. In this paper we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-06-26 Shane Legg , Marcus Hutter

Enormous attention and resources are being devoted to the quest for artificial general intelligence and, even more ambitiously, artificial superintelligence. We wonder about the implications for methodological research that aims to help…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-19 Jeff Dominitz , Charles F. Manski

Solomonoff Induction is an optimal-in-the-limit unbounded algorithm for sequence prediction, representing a Bayesian mixture of every computable probability distribution and performing close to optimally in predicting any computable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Nathan Young , Michael Witbrock

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-06-26 Marcus Hutter

Many learning tasks can be viewed as sequence prediction problems. For example, online classification can be converted to sequence prediction with the sequence being pairs of input/target data and where the goal is to correctly predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter , Vaibhav Gavane

The goal of explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) is to generate human-interpretable explanations, but there are no computationally precise theories of how humans interpret AI generated explanations. The lack of theory means that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Scott Cheng-Hsin Yang , Tomas Folke , Patrick Shafto

Artificial General Intelligence is a field of research aiming to distill the principles of intelligence that operate independently of a specific problem domain or a predefined context and utilize these principles in order to synthesize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-15 David Weinbaum , Viktoras Veitas

Rational agents are usually built to maximize rewards. However, AGI agents can find undesirable ways of maximizing any prior reward function. Therefore value learning is crucial for safe AGI. We assume that generalized states of the world…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-08-06 Alexey Potapov , Sergey Rodionov

There are concerns about the reliability and safety of artificial intelligence (AI) based on sub-symbolic neural networks because its decisions cannot be explained explicitly. This is the black box problem of modern AI. At the same time,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-21 V. L. Kalmykov , L. V. Kalmykov

The overarching problem in artificial intelligence (AI) is that we do not understand the intelligence process well enough to enable the development of adequate computational models. Much work has been done in AI over the years at lower…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Paul Yaworsky

Solomonoff induction is known to be universal, but incomputable. Its approximations, namely, the Minimum Description (or Message) Length (MDL) principles, are adopted in practice in the efficient, but non-universal form. Recent attempts to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-10 Alexey Potapov , Sergey Rodionov

Artificial general intelligence aims to create agents capable of learning to solve arbitrary interesting problems. We define two versions of asymptotic optimality and prove that no agent can satisfy the strong version while in some cases,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter

The advent of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) has heralded an inflection point that changed how society thinks about knowledge acquisition. While GAI cannot be fully trusted for decision-making, it may still provide valuable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Ročková

An impossibility theorem demonstrates that a particular problem or set of problems cannot be solved as described in the claim. Such theorems put limits on what is possible to do concerning artificial intelligence, especially the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Mario Brcic , Roman V. Yampolskiy

We propose that Solomonoff induction is complete in the physical sense via several strong physical arguments. We also argue that Solomonoff induction is fully applicable to quantum mechanics. We show how to choose an objective reference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-04-13 Eray Özkural