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We study online convex optimization in the random order model, recently proposed by \citet{garber2020online}, where the loss functions may be chosen by an adversary, but are then presented to the online algorithm in a uniformly random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-30 Uri Sherman , Tomer Koren , Yishay Mansour

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

One of the fundamental challenges in the deep learning community is to theoretically understand how well a deep neural network generalizes to unseen data. However, current approaches often yield generalization bounds that are either too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Chengli Tan , Jiangshe Zhang , Junmin Liu

One important goal of black-box complexity theory is the development of complexity models allowing to derive meaningful lower bounds for whole classes of randomized search heuristics. Complementing classical runtime analysis, black-box…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-04-11 Carola Doerr , Johannes Lengler

Machine learning (ML) methods are highly flexible, but their ability to approximate the true data-generating process is fundamentally constrained by finite samples. We characterize a universal lower bound, the Limits-to-Learning Gap (LLG),…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Zhimin Chen , Bryan Kelly , Semyon Malamud

Understanding how evolutionary algorithms perform on constrained problems has gained increasing attention in recent years. In this paper, we study how evolutionary algorithms optimize constrained versions of the classical LeadingOnes…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Tobias Friedrich , Timo Kötzing , Aneta Neumann , Frank Neumann , Aishwarya Radhakrishnan

We consider the problem of constructing probabilistic predictions that lead to accurate decisions when employed by downstream users to inform actions. For a single decision maker, designing an optimal predictor is equivalent to minimizing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Isaac Gibbs , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Data Science and Machine learning have been growing strong for the past decade. We argue that to make the most of this exciting field we should resist the temptation of assuming that forecasting can be reduced to brute-force data analytics.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Hykel Hosni , Angelo Vulpiani

We study online aggregation of the predictions of experts, and first show new second-order regret bounds in the standard setting, which are obtained via a version of the Prod algorithm (and also a version of the polynomially weighted…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-11 Pierre Gaillard , Gilles Stoltz , Tim Van Erven

Many inference problems, such as sequential decision problems like A/B testing, adaptive sampling schemes like bandit selection, are often online in nature. The fundamental problem for online inference is to provide a sequence of confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Qinqing Zheng

Prediction via deterministic continuous-time models will always be subject to model error, for example due to unexplainable phenomena, uncertainties in any data driving the model, or discretisation/resolution issues. In this paper, we build…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Liam Blake , John Maclean , Sanjeeva Balasuriya

It has been recently proposed that the naive semiclassical prediction of non-unitary black hole evaporation can be understood in the fundamental description of the black hole as a consequence of ignorance of high-complexity information.…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2023-02-24 Lisa Yang , Netta Engelhardt

In the first part of this paper, we present a unified framework for analyzing the algorithmic complexity of any optimization problem, whether it be continuous or discrete in nature. This helps to formalize notions like "input", "size" and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Amitabh Basu

The notion of omnipredictors (Gopalan, Kalai, Reingold, Sharan and Wieder ITCS 2021), suggested a new paradigm for loss minimization. Rather than learning a predictor based on a known loss function, omnipredictors can easily be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Lunjia Hu , Inbal Livni-Navon , Omer Reingold , Chutong Yang

Online bidding is a classical problem in online decision-making, with applications in resource allocation, hierarchical clustering, and the analysis of approximation algorithms. We study its randomized learning-augmented variant, where an…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Mathis Degryse , Imrane Saakour , Christoph Dürr , Spyros Angelopoulos

In this dissertation we study statistical and online learning problems from an optimization viewpoint.The dissertation is divided into two parts : I. We first consider the question of learnability for statistical learning problems in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-04-19 Karthik Sridharan

Algorithms with (machine-learned) predictions is a powerful framework for combining traditional worst-case algorithms with modern machine learning. However, the vast majority of work in this space assumes that the prediction itself is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Michael Dinitz , Sungjin Im , Thomas Lavastida , Benjamin Moseley , Aidin Niaparast , Sergei Vassilvitskii

We analyze the forward error in the floating point summation of real numbers, for computations in low precision or extreme-scale problem dimensions that push the limits of the precision. We present a systematic recurrence for a martingale…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-31 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

Algorithmic efficiency is essential to reducing energy and time usage for computational problems. Optimizing efficiency is important for tasks involving multiple resources, for example in stochastic calculations where the size of the random…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-07-09 Run Yan Teh , Manushan Thenabadu , Peter D Drummond

Algorithm selection is typically based on models of algorithm performance, learned during a separate offline training sequence, which can be prohibitively expensive. In recent work, we adopted an online approach, in which a performance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-31 Matteo Gagliolo , Juergen Schmidhuber