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Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We present data-dependent learning bounds for the general scenario of non-stationary non-mixing stochastic processes. Our learning guarantees are expressed in terms of a data-dependent measure of sequential complexity and a discrepancy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-16 Vitaly Kuznetsov , Mehryar Mohri

In this work, we present a variety of novel information-theoretic generalization bounds for learning algorithms, from the supersample setting of Steinke & Zakynthinou (2020)-the setting of the "conditional mutual information" framework. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-16 Ziqiao Wang , Yongyi Mao

In this paper, we leverage stochastic projection and lossy compression to establish new conditional mutual information (CMI) bounds on the generalization error of statistical learning algorithms. It is shown that these bounds are generally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Milad Sefidgaran , Kimia Nadjahi , Abdellatif Zaidi

Solomonoff unified Occam's razor and Epicurus' principle of multiple explanations to one elegant, formal, universal theory of inductive inference, which initiated the field of algorithmic information theory. His central result is that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Marcus Hutter

Established approaches to obtain generalization bounds in data-driven optimization and machine learning mostly build on solutions from empirical risk minimization (ERM), which depend crucially on the functional complexity of the hypothesis…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-14 Yibo Zeng , Henry Lam

We present a general approach to deriving bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. Our approach can be used to obtain bounds on the average generalization error as well as bounds on its tail probabilities, both…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Fredrik Hellström , Giuseppe Durisi

We revisit the classical problem of universal prediction of stochastic sequences with a finite time horizon $T$ known to the learner. The question we investigate is whether it is possible to derive vanishing regret bounds that hold with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Matthias Frey , Jonathan H. Manton , Jingge Zhu

We suggest analyzing neural networks through the prism of space constraints. We observe that most training algorithms applied in practice use bounded memory, which enables us to use a new notion introduced in the study of space-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-03 Michal Moshkovitz , Naftali Tishby

In this work, we study the generalization capability of algorithms from an information-theoretic perspective. It has been shown that the expected generalization error of an algorithm is bounded from above by a function of the relative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Mikael Skoglund

A frequently studied performance measure in online optimization is competitive analysis. It corresponds to the worst-case ratio, over all possible inputs of an algorithm, between the performance of the algorithm and the optimal offline…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-30 Antoine Lhomme , Nicolas Catusse , Nadia Brauner

Solomonoff's central result on induction is that the posterior of a universal semimeasure M converges rapidly and with probability 1 to the true sequence generating posterior mu, if the latter is computable. Hence, M is eligible as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Marcus Hutter , Andrej Muchnik

We analyse the forward error in the floating point summation of real numbers, from algorithms that do not require recourse to higher precision or better hardware. We derive informative explicit expressions, and new deterministic and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Eric Hallman , Ilse C. F. Ipsen

An information-theoretic upper bound on the generalization error of supervised learning algorithms is derived. The bound is constructed in terms of the mutual information between each individual training sample and the output of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-06 Yuheng Bu , Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-03 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan

Automating algorithm configuration is growing increasingly necessary as algorithms come with more and more tunable parameters. It is common to tune parameters using machine learning, optimizing performance metrics such as runtime and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Maria-Florina Balcan , Tuomas Sandholm , Ellen Vitercik

The outcome of all time series cannot be forecast, e.g. the flipping of a fair coin. Others, like the repeated {01} sequence {010101...} can be forecast exactly. Algorithmic information theory can provide a measure of forecastability that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Glauco Amigo , Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Robert J. Marks , Charles Baylis

Developing new ways to estimate probabilities can be valuable for science, statistics, and engineering. By considering the information content of different output patterns, recent work invoking algorithmic information theory has shown that…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Mohamed Alaskandarani , Kamaludin Dingle

The goal of machine learning is to find models that minimize prediction error on data that has not yet been seen. Its operational paradigm assumes access to a dataset $S$ and articulates a scheme for evaluating how well a given model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Maxim Raginsky , Benjamin Recht

We consider sequential maximization of performance metrics that are general functions of a confusion matrix of a classifier (such as precision, F-measure, or G-mean). Such metrics are, in general, non-decomposable over individual instances,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Wojciech Kotłowski , Marek Wydmuch , Erik Schultheis , Rohit Babbar , Krzysztof Dembczyński