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We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

For sequentially observed functional data exhibiting multiple change points in the mean function, we establish consistency results for the estimated number and locations of the change points based on the norm of the functional CUSUM process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Gregory Rice , Chi Zhang

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

We unify several Bellman function problems into one setting. For that purpose we define a class of functions that have, in a sense, small mean oscillation (this class depends on two convex sets in $\mathbb{R}^2$). We show how the unit ball…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Paata Ivanisvili , Nikolay N. Osipov , Dmitriy M. Stolyarov , Vasily I. Vasyunin , Pavel B. Zatitskiy

When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 David J. Nott , Xueou Wang , Michael Evans , Berthold-Georg Englert

We formulate em algorithm in the framework of Bregman divergence, which is a general problem setting of information geometry. That is, we address the minimization problem of the Bregman divergence between an exponential subfamily and a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Masahito Hayashi

We consider the problem of predicting a real random variable from a functional explanatory variable. The problem is attacked by mean of nonparametric kernel approach which has been recently adapted to this functional context. We derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Frédéric Ferraty , André Mas , Philippe Vieu

Loss functions are widely used to compare several competing forecasts. However, forecast comparisons are often based on mismeasured proxy variables for the true target. We introduce the concept of exact robustness to measurement error for…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-22 Yannick Hoga , Timo Dimitriadis

A new inequality between some functional of probability distribution functions is given. The inequality is based on strict convexity of a function used in functional definition. Equality sign in the inequality gives a characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Lev B. Klebanov , Irina V. Volchenkova

Many metric learning tasks, such as triplet learning, nearest neighbor retrieval, and visualization, are treated primarily as embedding tasks where the ultimate metric is some variant of the Euclidean distance (e.g., cosine or Mahalanobis),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Fred Lu , Edward Raff , Francis Ferraro

We present estimators for entropy and other functions of a discrete probability distribution when the data is a finite sample drawn from that probability distribution. In particular, for the case when the probability distribution is a joint…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 David H. Wolpert , David R. Wolf

The estimation of an f-divergence between two probability distributions based on samples is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. Most works study this problem under very weak assumptions, in which case it is provably…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Paul K. Rubenstein , Olivier Bousquet , Josip Djolonga , Carlos Riquelme , Ilya Tolstikhin

Typically, point forecasting methods are compared and assessed by means of an error measure or scoring function, such as the absolute error or the squared error. The individual scores are then averaged over forecast cases, to result in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Tilmann Gneiting

In knowledge graph embedding, the theoretical relationship between the softmax cross-entropy and negative sampling loss functions has not been investigated. This makes it difficult to fairly compare the results of the two different loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Hidetaka Kamigaito , Katsuhiko Hayashi

Uniform convergence of empirical norms - empirical measures of squared functions - is a topic which has received considerable attention in the literature on empirical processes. The results are relevant as empirical norms occur due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-10-22 Sara van de Geer

A common goal in observational research is to estimate marginal causal effects in the presence of confounding variables. One solution to this problem is to use the covariate distribution to weight the outcomes such that the data appear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-18 Kevin P. Josey , Elizabeth Juarez-Colunga , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

A general framework with a series of different methods is proposed to improve the estimate of convex function (or functional) values when only noisy observations of the true input are available. Technically, our methods catch the bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-15 Chao Ma , Lexing Ying

Difference-in-differences (DiD) is a cornerstone of causal inference, yet extending it to functional outcomes is not a routine scalar generalization; rather, it entails three fundamental challenges in identification, inference, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Junzhu Nie , Chengxiu Ling , Mengfei Ran

When do nonparametric Bayesian procedures ``overfit''? To shed light on this question, we consider a binary regression problem in detail and establish frequentist consistency for a certain class of Bayes procedures based on hierarchical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marc Coram , Steven P. Lalley

This article investigates nonparametric estimation of variance functions for functional data when the mean function is unknown. We obtain asymptotic results for the kernel estimator based on squared residuals. Similar to the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-16 Heng Lian
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