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Regular variation provides a convenient theoretical framework to study large events. In the multivariate setting, the dependence structure of the positive extremes is characterized by a measure - the spectral measure - defined on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Meyer Nicolas , Olivier Wintenberger

We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj Nagaraj

This text presents an unified approach of probability and statistics in the pursuit of understanding and computation of randomness in engineering or physical or social system with prediction with generalizability. Starting from elementary…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Lakshman Mahto

This paper describes types of errors arising in a recently proposed method of incidence estimation from prevalence data. The errors are illustrated by a simulation study about a hypothetical irreversible disease. In addition, a way of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-06 Ralph Brinks

We present a new uncertainty principle for risk-aware statistical estimation, effectively quantifying the inherent trade-off between mean squared error ($\mse$) and risk, the latter measured by the associated average predictive squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Nikolas P. Koumpis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias

We consider the setting of an aggregate data meta-analysis of a continuous outcome of interest. When the distribution of the outcome is skewed, it is often the case that some primary studies report the sample mean and standard deviation of…

We consider a general statistical estimation problem wherein binary labels across different observations are not independent conditioned on their feature vectors, but dependent, capturing settings where e.g. these observations are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Surbhi Goel , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We show that the Bregman divergence provides a rich framework to estimate unnormalized statistical models for continuous or discrete random variables, that is, models which do not integrate or sum to one, respectively. We prove that recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Michael Gutmann , Jun-ichiro Hirayama

We consider the classical statistical learning/regression problem, when the value of a real random variable Y is to be predicted based on the observation of another random variable X. Given a class of functions F and a sample of independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-03 Gabor Lugosi , Shahar Mendelson

The use of historical estimates in current studies is common in a wide variety of application areas. Nevertheless, despite their routine use the uncertainty associated with historical estimates is rarely properly accounted for in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-03 Ori Davidov , Tamas Rudas

Traditional reliability analysis has been using time to event data, degradation data, and recurrent event data, while the associated covariates tend to be simple and constant over time. Over the past years, we have witnessed the rapid…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-27 Yueyao Wang , I-Chen Lee , Lu Lu , Yili Hong

We introduce a novel data randomisation for the free wave equation which leads to the same range of Strichartz estimates as for radial data, albeit in a non-radial context. We then use these estimates to establish global well-posedness for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Nicolas Burq , Joachim Krieger

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda

In order to estimate the population mean in the presence of both non-response and measurement errors that are uncorrelated, the paper presents some novel estimators employing ranked set sampling by utilizing auxiliary information.Up to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-06 Rajesh Singh , Anamika Kumari

This paper proposes a new stochastic model of traffic dynamics in Lagrangian coordinates. The source of uncertainty is heterogeneity in driving behavior, captured using driver-specific speed-spacing relations, i.e., parametric uncertainty.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-08-16 Fangfang Zheng , Saif Eddin Jabari , Henry X. Liu , DianChao Lin

The odds ratio measure is used in health and social surveys where the odds of a certain event is to be compared between two populations. It is defined using logistic regression, and requires that data from surveys are accompanied by their…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-01 C. Goga , A Ruiz-Gazen

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

Kadilar and Cingi (2003) have introduced a family of estimators using auxiliary information in stratified random sampling. In this paper, we propose the ratio estimator for the estimation of population mean in the stratified random sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Rajesh Singh , Mukesh Kumar , R. D. Singh , M. K. Chaudhry

We consider the nonparametric estimation problem of continuous probability distribution functions. For the integrated mean square error we provide the statistic corresponding to the best invariant estimator proposed by Aggarwal (1955) and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-29 Thomas Schürmann

Survey sampling theory and methods are introduced. Sampling designs and estimation methods are carefully discussed as a textbook for survey sampling. Topics includes Horvitz-Thompson estimation, simple random sampling, stratified sampling,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Jae Kwang Kim
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