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We propose a method for the accurate estimation of rare event or failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate numerical models in high dimensions. The proposed approach combines ideas from large deviation theory and adaptive importance…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-28 Shanyin Tong , Georg Stadler

A well-known technique in estimating probabilities of rare events in general and in information theory in particular (used, e.g., in the sphere-packing bound), is that of finding a reference probability measure under which the event of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-12-23 Rami Atar , Neri Merhav

To quantify the complexity of a system, entropy-based methods have received considerable critical attentions in real-world data analysis. Among numerous entropy algorithms, amplitude-based formulas, represented by Sample Entropy, suffer…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-12 Hongjian Xiao , Danilo P. Mandic

Copulas have gained widespread popularity as statistical models to represent dependence structures between multiple variables in various applications. The minimum information copula, given a finite number of constraints in advance, emerges…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Issey Sukeda , Tomonari Sei

We analyze dynamical properties of the Shannon information entropy of a continuous probability distribution, which is driven by a standard diffusion process. This entropy choice is confronted with another option, employing the conditional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Piotr Garbaczewski

Entropy is a measure of self-information which is used to quantify losses. Entropy was developed in thermodynamics, but is also used to compare probabilities based on their deviating information content. Corresponding model uncertainty is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

Here, we propose a new tool to estimate the complexity of a time series: the entropy of difference (ED). The method is based solely on the sign of the difference between neighboring values in a time series. This makes it possible to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-11-05 Pasquale Nardone

Shannon entropy is not the only entropy that is relevant to machine-learning datasets, nor possibly even the most important one. Traditional entropies such as Shannon entropy capture information represented by elements' frequencies but not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Phuc Nguyen , Josiah Couch , Rahul Bansal , Alexandra Morgan , Chris Tam , Miao Li , Rima Arnaout , Ramy Arnaout

In this paper, we provide a new algorithm for the problem of prediction in Reinforcement Learning, \emph{i.e.}, estimating the Value Function of a Markov Reward Process (MRP) using the linear function approximation architecture, with memory…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-30 Ajin George Joseph , Shalabh Bhatnagar

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Robert Sisneros , Tushar M. Athawale , David Pugmire , Kenneth Moreland

Like natural complex systems such as the Earth's climate or a living cell, semiconductor lithography systems are characterized by nonlinear dynamics across more than a dozen orders of magnitude in space and time. Thousands of sensors…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Errol Zalmijn , Tom Heskes , Tom Claassen

Entropy and information can be considered dual: entropy is a measure of the subspace defined by the information constraining the given ambient space. Negative entropies, arising in na\"ive extensions of the definition of entropy from…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-06 Daniel Lazarev

Machine learning models must continuously self-adjust themselves for novel data distribution in the open world. As the predominant principle, entropy minimization (EM) has been proven to be a simple yet effective cornerstone in existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Qingyang Zhang , Yatao Bian , Xinke Kong , Peilin Zhao , Changqing Zhang

Given two jointly distributed random variables $(X,Y)$, a functional representation of $X$ is a random variable $Z$ independent of $Y$, and a deterministic function $g(\cdot, \cdot)$ such that $X=g(Y,Z)$. The problem of finding a minimum…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Yanina Y. Shkel , Anuj Kumar Yadav

Estimating the number of sources impinging on an array of sensors is a well known and well investigated problem. A common approach for solving this problem is to use an information theoretic criterion, such as Minimum Description Length…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Eran Fishler , H. Vincent Poor

Convergent cross mapping (CCM) provides a powerful technique for exploring causal relationships in nonlinear coupled systems. The method relies on Takens' theorem exploiting that time delay embeddings of infinite length general observations…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2019-03-08 Robert Martin , Justin Koo , Daniel Eckhardt

In this work, a novel sequential Monte Carlo filter is introduced which aims at efficient sampling of high-dimensional state spaces with a limited number of particles. Particles are pushed forward from the prior to the posterior density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Manuel Pulido , Peter Jan vanLeeuwen

Modern data analysis often involves massive datasets with hundreds of thousands of observations, making traditional inference algorithms computationally prohibitive. Coresets are selection methods designed to choose a smaller subset of…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Bernardo Flores

Artificial intelligence models and methods commonly lack causal interpretability. Despite the advancements in interpretable machine learning (IML) methods, they frequently assign importance to features which lack causal influence on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Francisco Nunes Ferreira Quialheiro Simoes , Mehdi Dastani , Thijs van Ommen

Considering the difficulty of interpreting generative model output, there is significant current research focused on determining meaningful evaluation metrics. Several recent approaches utilize "precision" and "recall," borrowed from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Alexis Fox , Samarth Swarup , Abhijin Adiga
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