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This paper considers the distributionally robust chance constrained Markov decision process with random reward and ambiguous reward distribution. We consider individual and joint chance constraint cases with Kullback-Leibler divergence…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Tian Xia , Jia Liu , Abdel Lisser

Probabilistic timed automata are classical timed automata extended with discrete probability distributions over edges. We introduce clock-dependent probabilistic timed automata, a variant of probabilistic timed automata in which transition…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-07-17 Jeremy Sproston

Drawing on some recent results that provide the formalism necessary to definite stationarity for infinite random graphs, this paper initiates the study of statistical and learning questions pertaining to these objects. Specifically, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-11 Daniil Ryabko

We present a simple randomized procedure for the prediction of a binary sequence. The algorithm uses ideas from recent developments of the theory of the prediction of individual sequences. We show that if the sequence is a realization of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 L. Györfi , G. Lugosi , G. Morvai

Strong and weak simulation relations have been proposed for Markov chains, while strong simulation and strong probabilistic simulation relations have been proposed for probabilistic automata. However, decision algorithms for strong and weak…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-01 Lijun Zhang , Holger Hermanns , Friedrich Eisenbrand , David N. Jansen

Conditional independence and Markov properties are powerful tools allowing expression of multidimensional probability distributions by means of low-dimensional ones. As multidimensional possibilistic models have been studied for several…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Jirina Vejnarova

One of the proposed solutions to the equilibrium selection problem for agents learning in repeated games is obtained via the notion of stochastic stability. Learning algorithms are perturbed so that the Markov chain underlying the learning…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-09 John Wicks , Amy Greenwald

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we introduce stochastic constraint programming. Stochastic constraint programs contain both decision variables (which we can set) and stochastic variables…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-03-09 Toby Walsh

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

The analysis of parametrised systems is a growing field in verification, but the analysis of parametrised probabilistic systems is still in its infancy. This is partly because it is much harder: while there are beautiful cut-off results for…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-06 Paul Gainer , Ernst Moritz Hahn , Sven Schewe

R. Duncan Luce once mentioned in a conversation that he did not consider Kolmogorov's probability theory well-constructed because it treats stochastic independence as a "numerical accident," while it should be treated as a fundamental…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-12 Ehtibar Dzhafarov

Probabilistic programs encode stochastic models as ordinary-looking programs with primitives for sampling numbers from predefined distributions and conditioning. Their applications include, among many others, machine learning and modeling…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Dominik Geißler , Tobias Winkler

We describe a dynamic programming algorithm for computing the marginal distribution of discrete probabilistic programs. This algorithm takes a functional interpreter for an arbitrary probabilistic programming language and turns it into an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-09-12 Andreas Stuhlmüller , Noah D. Goodman

We summarize our recent findings, where we proposed a framework for learning a Kolmogorov model, for a collection of binary random variables. More specifically, we derive conditions that link outcomes of specific random variables, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Hadi Ghauch , Mikael Skoglund , Hossein Shokri-Ghadikolaei , Carlo Fischione , Ali H. Sayed

The evolution of a quantum system, appropriate to describe nano-magnets, can be mapped on a Markov process, continuous in $\beta$. The mapping implies a probability assignment that can be used to study the probability density (PDF) of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. F. Lemmens , Burhan Bakar

We obtain sufficient conditions for the uniqueness of a probability solution to the stationary Kolmogorov equation with a degenerate diffusion matrix. We employ the method of doubling variables known in stochastic analysis directly to the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-11-13 V. I. Bogachev , S. V. Shaposhnikov , D. V. Shatilovich

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

We develop a theory of the algorithmic information in bits contained in an individual pure quantum state. This extends classical Kolmogorov complexity to the quantum domain retaining classical descriptions. Quantum Kolmogorov complexity…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-11-17 Paul M. B. Vitanyi

We bound the future loss when predicting any (computably) stochastic sequence online. Solomonoff finitely bounded the total deviation of his universal predictor M from the true distribution m by the algorithmic complexity of m. Here we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-16 Alexey Chernov , Marcus Hutter

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…