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Ordinary Differential Equations are widespread tools to model chemical, physical, biological process but they usually rely on parameters which are of critical importance in terms of dynamic and need to be estimated directly from the data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Nicolas Brunel , Quentin Clairon

Recent advances in the periodic orbit theory of stochastically perturbed systems have permitted a calculation of the escape rate of a noisy chaotic map to order 64 in the noise strength. Comparison with the usual asymptotic expansions…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Carl P. Dettmann

Outer measures can be used for statistical inference in place of probability measures to bring flexibility in terms of model specification. The corresponding statistical procedures such as Bayesian inference, estimators or hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Jeremie Houssineau , Neil K. Chada , Emmanuel Delande

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud

A parameter estimation problem is considered, in which dispersed sensors transmit to the statistician partial information regarding their observations. The sensors observe the paths of continuous semimartingales, whose drifts are linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-01 Georgios Fellouris

The main contribution of the paper is proving that the Fourier spot volatility estimator introduced in [Malliavin and Mancino, 2002] is consistent and asymptotically efficient if the price process is contaminated by microstructure noise.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Maria Elvira Mancino , Tommaso Mariotti , Giacomo Toscano

In this paper, we perform registration of noisy curves. We provide an appropriate model in estimating the rotation and scaling parameters to adjust a set of curves through a M-estimation procedure. We prove the consistency and the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-16 Edouard Fournier , Stéphane Grihon , Thierry Klein

In this article, $q$-regular sequences in the sense of Allouche and Shallit are analysed asymptotically. It is shown that the summatory function of a regular sequence can asymptotically be decomposed as a finite sum of periodic fluctuations…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Clemens Heuberger , Daniel Krenn

The computation of integrals is a fundamental task in the analysis of functional data, which are typically considered as random elements in a space of squared integrable functions. Borrowing ideas from recent advances in the Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Valentin Patilea , Sunny G. W. Wang

In this paper we present some new asymptotic results for high frequency statistics of Brownian semi-stationary processes. More precisely, we will show that singularities in the weight function, which is one of the ingredients of a BSS…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Kerstin Gaertner , Mark Podolskij

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We present new criteria for the existence of oscillatory and nonoscillatory solutions of measure delay differential equations with impulses. We deal with the integral forms of the differential equations using the Perron and the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-04-07 M. Ap. Silva , M. Federson , M. C. Gadotti

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Tests for structural breaks in time series should ideally be sensitive to breaks in the parameter of interest, while being robust to nuisance changes. Statistical analysis thus needs to allow for some form of nonstationarity under the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Fabian Mies

This paper describes several new algorithms for estimating the parameters of a periodic bandlimited signal from samples corrupted by jitter (timing noise) and additive noise. Both classical (non-random) and Bayesian formulations are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-08 Daniel S. Weller , Vivek K Goyal

The paper introduces a new estimation method for the standard linear regression model. The procedure is not driven by the optimisation of any objective function rather, it is a simple weighted average of slopes from observation pairs. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-27 Felix Chan , Laszlo Matyas

We consider estimation procedures which are recursive in the sense that each successive estimator is obtained from the previous one by a simple adjustment. The model considered in the paper is very general as we do not impose any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Teo Sharia

We consider the problem of frequency estimation of the periodic signal multiplied by a stationary Gaussian process (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck) and observed in the presence of the white Gaussian noise. We show the consistency and asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 O. V. Chernoyarov , Yu. A. Kutoyants

Instrumental variable methods are widely used to address unmeasured confounding, yet much of the existing literature has focused on the binary instrument setting. Extensions to continuous instruments often impose strong parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Zhenghao Zeng , Alexander W. Levis , JungHo Lee , Edward H. Kennedy , Luke Keele

Recent algebraic parametric estimation techniques led to point-wise derivative estimates by using only the iterated integral of a noisy observation signal. In this paper, we extend such differentiation methods by providing a larger choice…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Da-Yan Liu , Olivier Gibaru , Wilfrid Perruquetti