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Mixtures of Hidden Markov Models (MHMMs) are frequently used for clustering of sequential data. An important aspect of MHMMs, as of any clustering approach, is that they can be interpretable, allowing for novel insights to be gained from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Negar Safinianaini , Henrik Boström

This work provides new results for the analysis of random sequences in terms of $\ell_p$-compressibility. The results characterize the degree in which a random sequence can be approximated by its best $k$-sparse version under different…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Jorge F. Silva

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

There is much interest in the Hierarchical Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model (HDP-HMM) as a natural Bayesian nonparametric extension of the ubiquitous Hidden Markov Model for learning from sequential and time-series data. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-11 Matthew J. Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

Let $X$ be a discrete random variable with support $S$ and $f : S \to S^\prime$ be a bijection. Then it is well-known that the entropy of $X$ is the same as the entropy of $f(X)$. This entropy preservation property has been well-utilized to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Chandra Nair , Balaji Prabhakar , Devavrat Shah

We show that if an eventually positive, non-arithmetic, locally H\"older continuous potential for a topologically mixing countable Markov shift with (BIP) has an entropy gap at infinity, then one may apply the renewal theorem of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Harrison Bray , Richard Canary , Lien-Yung Kao , Giuseppe Martone

Consider a stationary discrete random process with alphabet size d, which is assumed to be the output process of an unknown stationary Hidden Markov Model (HMM). Given the joint probabilities of finite length strings of the process, we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-15 Qingqing Huang , Rong Ge , Sham Kakade , Munther Dahleh

The limits of scaled relative entropies between probability distributions associated with N-particle weakly interacting Markov processes are considered. The convergence of such scaled relative entropies is established in various settings.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-16 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Markus Fischer , Kavita Ramanan

We study the entropy rate of pattern sequences of stochastic processes, and its relationship to the entropy rate of the original process. We give a complete characterization of this relationship for i.i.d. processes over arbitrary…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 George M. Gemelos , Tsachy Weissman

The $\epsilon$-machine is a stochastic process' optimal model -- maximally predictive and minimal in size. It often happens that to optimally predict even simply-defined processes, probabilistic models -- including the $\epsilon$-machine --…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

We consider two approaches to study non-reversible Markov processes, namely the Hypocoercivity Theory (HT) and GENERIC (General Equations for Non-Equilibrium Reversible-Irreversible Coupling); the basic idea behind both of them is to split…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-25 Manh Hong Duong , Michela Ottobre

In the paper, the approximate sequence for entropy of some binary hidden Markov models has been found to have two bound sequences, the low bound sequence and the upper bound sequence. The error bias of the approximate sequence is bound by a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-12-30 Shuangping Chen , Jun Li , Mi Zhou

In this paper we consider the convergence of the conditional entropy to the entropy rate for Markov chains. Convergence of certain statistics of long range dependent processes, such as the sample mean, is slow. It has been shown in Carpio…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

De-interleaving of the mixtures of Hidden Markov Processes (HMPs) generally depends on its representation model. Existing representation models consider Markov chain mixtures rather than hidden Markov, resulting in the lack of robustness to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Jiadi Bao , Mengtao Zhu , Yunjie Li , Shafei Wang

There is a random variable (X) with a determined outcome (i.e., X = x0), p(x0) = 1. Consider x0 to have a discrete uniform distribution over the integer interval [1, s], where the size of the sample space (s) = 1, in the initial state, such…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-01 Laurence F Lacey

This Letter presents a neural estimator for entropy production, or NEEP, that estimates entropy production (EP) from trajectories of relevant variables without detailed information on the system dynamics. For steady state, we rigorously…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-06 Dong-Kyum Kim , Youngkyoung Bae , Sangyun Lee , Hawoong Jeong

We extend the notion of estimation entropy of autonomous dynamical systems proposed by Liberzon and Mitra [1] to nonlinear dynamical systems with uncertain inputs with bounded variation. We call this new notion the {$\epsilon$}-estimation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Hussein Sibai , Sayan Mitra

In this paper we prove that the asymptotic rate of exponential loss of memory of a finite state hidden Markov model is bounded above by the difference of the first two Lyapunov exponents of a certain product of matrices. We also show that…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-17 Pierre Collet , Florencia Leonardi

The entropy production rate is central to the study of non-equilibrium systems. This parameter is closely connected to violation of time-reversal symmetry, energy consumption, efficiency, and other properties of interest; in short, it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-28 John W. Biddle