Related papers: Projecting the Forward Rate Flow onto a Finite Dim…
The paper studies a system of first order Hamilton-Jacobi equations with discontinuous coefficients, arising from a model of deterministic optimal debt management in infinite time horizon, with exponential discount and currency devaluation.…
In this study, we propose a projection estimation method for large-dimensional matrix factor models with cross-sectionally spiked eigenvalues. By projecting the observation matrix onto the row or column factor space, we simplify factor…
In this article, we consider a Markov-modulated model with jumps for short rate dynamics. We obtain closed formulas for the term structure and forward rates using the properties of the jump-telegraph process and the expectation hypothesis.…
In this paper we introduce a flexible HJM-type framework that allows for consistent modelling of intraday, spot, futures, and option prices. This framework is based on stochastic processes with economic interpretations and consistent with…
We introduce a class of short-rate models that exhibit a ``higher for longer'' phenomenon. Specifically, the short-rate is modeled as a general time-homogeneous one-factor Markov diffusion on a finite interval. The lower endpoint is assumed…
We present compelling empirical evidence for a new interpretation of the Forward Rate Curve (FRC) term structure. We find that the average FRC follows a square-root law, with a prefactor related to the spot volatility, suggesting a…
A new approach called Flow Curvature Method has been recently developed in a book entitled Differential Geometry Applied to Dynamical Systems. It consists in considering the trajectory curve, integral of any n-dimensional dynamical system…
In this work we introduce Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) interest rate models driven by fractional Brownian motions. By using support arguments we prove that the resulting model is arbitrage free under proportional transaction costs in the same…
The analytical tractability of affine (short rate) models, such as the Vasicek and the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross models, has made them a popular choice for modelling the dynamics of interest rates. However, in order to account properly for the…
Modern time series analysis requires the ability to handle datasets that are inherently high-dimensional; examples include applications in climatology, where measurements from numerous sensors must be taken into account, or inventory…
Accurate forecasting of zero coupon bond yields for a continuum of maturities is paramount to bond portfolio management and derivative security pricing. Yet a universal model for yield curve forecasting has been elusive, and prior attempts…
In this paper, we consider first order Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) equations posed on a ``junction'', that is to say the union of a finite number of half-lines with a unique common point. For this continuous HJ problem, we propose a finite…
We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…
The HEat modulated Infinite DImensional Heston (HEIDIH) model and its numerical approximation are introduced and analyzed. This model falls into the general framework of infinite dimensional Heston stochastic volatility models of (F.E.…
Two nonparametric methods are presented for forecasting functional time series (FTS). The FTS we observe is a curve at a discrete-time point. We address both one-step-ahead forecasting and dynamic updating. Dynamic updating is a forward…
We consider the characterization and computation of H-infinity norms for a class of time-delay systems. It is well known that in the finite dimensional case the H-infinity norm of a transfer function can be computed using the connections…
Pressure projection is the single most computationally expensive step in an unsteady incompressible fluid simulation. This work demonstrates the ability of data-driven methods to accelerate the approximate solution of the Poisson equation…
A quadratic approximation manifold is presented for performing nonlinear, projection-based, model order reduction (PMOR). It constitutes a departure from the traditional affine subspace approximation that is aimed at mitigating the…
This paper develops a computational framework for Multi-Period Martingale Optimal Transport (MMOT), addressing convergence rates, algorithmic efficiency, and financial calibration. Our contributions include: (1) Theoretical analysis: We…
In this paper we propose a geometric Hamilton--Jacobi theory on a Nambu--Jacobi manifold. The advantange of a geometric Hamilton--Jacobi theory is that if a Hamiltonian vector field $X_H$ can be projected into a configuration manifold by…