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Patterns are fundamental to human cognition, enabling the recognition of structure and regularity across diverse domains. In this work, we focus on structural repeats, patterns that arise from the repetition of hierarchical relations within…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Zeng Ren , Xinyi Guan , Martin Rohrmeier

Uncertainty estimation in machine learning has traditionally focused on the prediction stage, aiming to quantify confidence in model outputs while treating learned representations as deterministic and reliable by default. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-20 Yiyao Yang

Behavior of systems that are functions of anticipated behavior of other systems, whose own behavior is also anticipatory but homeostatic and determined by hierarchical ordering, which changes over time, of sets of possible environments that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-17 Leonid A. Shapiro

We propose a minimal yet intriguing model for a relationship between two individuals. The feeling of an individual is modeled by a complex variable and hence has two degrees of freedom. The effect of memory of other individual's behavior in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-17 Aarsh Chotalia , Shiva Dixit , P. Parmananda

A matching queue is described via a graph $G$ together with a matching policy. Specifically, to each node in the graph there is a corresponding arrival process of items which can either be queued, or matched with queued items in neighboring…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Pascal Moyal , Ohad Perry

Decisions are often based on imprecise, uncertain or vague information. Likewise, the consequences of an action are often equally unpredictable, thus putting the decision maker into a twofold jeopardy. Assuming that the effects of an action…

General Economics · Economics 2022-05-03 Stefan Rass , Sandra König , Stefan Schauer

The aim of this paper is to give a simpler, more usable sufficient condition to the regularity of generic weakly stationary time series. Also, this condition is used to show how regular processes satisfying these sufficient conditions can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Tamás Szabados

Regression models are essential for a wide range of real-world applications. However, in practice, target values are not always precisely known; instead, they may be represented as intervals of acceptable values. This challenge has led to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

Decisions by humans depend on their estimations given some uncertain sensory data. These decisions can also be influenced by the behavior of others. Here we present a mathematical model to quantify this influence, inviting a further study…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 Gabriel Madirolas , Alfonso Perez-Escudero , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

Matrix regression plays an important role in modern data analysis due to its ability to handle complex relationships involving both matrix and vector variables. We propose a class of regularized regression models capable of predicting both…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Meixia Lin , Ziyang Zeng , Yangjing Zhang

Chain Event Graphs (CEGs) are a widely applicable class of probabilistic graphical model that can represent context-specific independence statements and asymmetric unfoldings of events in an easily interpretable way. Existing model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Peter Strong , Jim Q Smith

Given a sequence of sets, where each set has a timestamp and contains an arbitrary number of elements, temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. Previous studies for temporal sets prediction mainly focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Le Yu , Zihang Liu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Weifeng Lv

We examine how causal beliefs affect an agent's choices and how feedback on those choices leads to updated causal beliefs. Building on the structural-equations framework for modeling causality, we first examine the general problem of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont , Marie-Louise Vierø

The ideas of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty are widely used to reason about the probabilistic predictions of machine-learning models. We identify incoherence in existing discussions of these ideas and suggest this stems from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Freddie Bickford Smith , Jannik Kossen , Eleanor Trollope , Mark van der Wilk , Adam Foster , Tom Rainforth

Frequently we revise our first opinions after talking over with other individuals because we get convinced. Argumentation is a verbal and social process aimed at convincing. It includes conversation and persuasion. In this case, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-26 Juan Pablo Pinasco , Viktoriya Semeshenko , Pablo Balenzuela

The career of an employee can be described (under certain circumstances) by a random walk, where the states of the random walk are determined by the level and position of an employee. At each decision moment the state of the employee is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-06 Theo van Uem

The key of sequential recommendation lies in the accurate item correlation modeling. Previous models infer such information based on item co-occurrences, which may fail to capture the real causal relations, and impact the recommendation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Zhenlei Wang , Xu Chen , Rui Zhou , Quanyu Dai , Zhenhua Dong , Ji-Rong Wen

We introduce a representation learning framework for spatial trajectories. We represent partial observations of trajectories as probability distributions in a learned latent space, which characterize the uncertainty about unobserved parts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Dídac Surís , Carl Vondrick

The concept of sequential choice functions is introduced and studied. This concept applies to the reduction of the problem of stable matchings with sequential workers to a situation where the workers are linear.

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Vladimir I. Danilov

The ranking problem is to order a collection of units by some unobserved parameter, based on observations from the associated distribution. This problem arises naturally in a number of contexts, such as business, where we may want to rank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Toby Kenney