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We comment on the regularity assumptions in the multi-agent sequential screening model of Eso and Szentes (2007). First, we observe that the regularity assumptions are not invariant to relabeling each agent's signal realizations. Second, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-24 Ian Ball , Teemu Pekkarinen

The goal of a next basket recommendation (NBR) system is to recommend items for the next basket for a user, based on the sequence of their prior baskets. Recently, a number of methods with complex modules have been proposed that claim…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Ming Li , Sami Jullien , Mozhdeh Ariannezhad , Maarten de Rijke

In this work, we consider a binary hypothesis testing problem involving a group of human decision-makers. Due to the nature of human behavior, each human decision-maker observes the phenomenon of interest sequentially up to a random length…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-26 Nandan Sriranga , Baocheng Geng , Pramod K. Varshney

Though the ability of human beings to deal with probabilities has been put into question, the assessment of rarity is a crucial competence underlying much of human decision-making and is pervasive in spontaneous narrative behaviour. This…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-08-25 Jean-Louis Dessalles

Confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that adversely affects management decisions, and mathematical modelling is an aid to its detailed understanding. Bias in opinion update about the value of a parameter is modelled here assuming that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Sequential neuronal activity underlies a wide range of processes in the brain. Neuroscientific evidence for neuronal sequences has been reported in domains as diverse as perception, motor control, speech, spatial navigation and memory.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-04-03 Sascha Frölich , Dimitrije Marković , Stefan J. Kiebel

We discuss voting scenarios in which the set of voters (agents) and the set of alternatives are the same; that is, voters select a single representative from among themselves. Such a scenario happens, for instance, when a committee selects…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Yakov Babichenko , Oren Dean , Moshe Tennenholtz

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

Conversational modeling is an important task in natural language understanding and machine intelligence. Although previous approaches exist, they are often restricted to specific domains (e.g., booking an airline ticket) and require…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-07-23 Oriol Vinyals , Quoc Le

Sequential search models provide a powerful framework for studying consumer search using rich data that records the sequence of consumer actions taken during the search process. In existing empirical applications, their implementation often…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-05 Tinghan Zhang

The goal of this expository article is a fairly self-contained account of some averaging processes of functions along sequences of the form $(\alpha^n x)^{}_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$, where $\alpha$ is a fixed real number with $| \alpha | > 1$ and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Michael Baake , Alan Haynes , Daniel Lenz

We introduce a class of stochastic integer sequences. In these sequences, every element is a sum of two previous elements, at least one of which is chosen randomly. The interplay between randomness and memory underlying these sequences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky

Neural marked temporal point processes have been a valuable addition to the existing toolbox of statistical parametric models for continuous-time event data. These models are useful for sequences where each event is associated with a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Yuxin Chang , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

A rotor configuration on a graph contains in every vertex an infinite ordered sequence of rotors, each is pointing to a neighbor of the vertex. After sampling a configuration according to some probability measure, a rotor walk is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-05 Sebastian Mueller , Tal Orenshtein

Modeling user preferences (long-term history) and user dynamics (short-term history) is of greatest importance to build efficient sequential recommender systems. The challenge lies in the successful combination of the whole user's history…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Corentin Lonjarret , Roch Auburtin , Céline Robardet , Marc Plantevit

In most prediction and estimation situations, scientists consider various statistical models for the same problem, and naturally want to select amongst the best. Hansen et al. (2011) provide a powerful solution to this problem by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Sebastian Arnold , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Benedikt Schulz , Johanna Ziegel

Continual Learning trains models on a stream of data, with the aim of learning new information without forgetting previous knowledge. Given the dynamic nature of such environments, explaining the predictions of these models can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Andrea Cossu , Francesco Spinnato , Riccardo Guidotti , Davide Bacciu

Linear approximations to the decision boundary of a complex model have become one of the most popular tools for interpreting predictions. In this paper, we study such linear explanations produced either post-hoc by a few recent methods or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Maruan Al-Shedivat , Avinava Dubey , Eric P. Xing

We examine the issue of stability of probability in reasoning about complex systems with uncertainty in structure. Normally, propositions are viewed as probability functions on an abstract random graph where it is implicitly assumed that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Subhash Kak