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We consider the problem of constructing sequential power-one tests where the null and alternative classes are specified indirectly through historical or offline data. More specifically, given an offline dataset consisting of observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Chia-Yu Hsu , Shubhanshu Shekhar

In this paper, we consider the hypothesis testing of correlation between two $m$-uniform hypergraphs on $n$ unlabelled nodes. Under the null hypothesis, the hypergraphs are independent, while under the alternative hypothesis, the hyperdges…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Mingao Yuan , Zuofeng Shang

Solomonoff's uncomputable universal prediction scheme $\xi$ allows to predict the next symbol $x_k$ of a sequence $x_1...x_{k-1}$ for any Turing computable, but otherwise unknown, probabilistic environment $\mu$. This scheme will be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Marcus Hutter

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Bailey showed that the general pointwise forecasting for stationary and ergodic time series has a negative solution. However, it is known that for Markov chains the problem can be solved. Morvai showed that there is a stopping time sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

Given the importance of the claim, we want to start by exposing the following consideration: this claim comes out more than a year after the article "Practical applications of Set Shaping Theory in Huffman coding" which reports the program…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Aida Koch , Alix Petit , Christian Schmidt , Adrain Vdberg , Logan Lewis

Bounds on the entropy of patterns of sequences generated by independently identically distributed (i.i.d.) sources are derived. A pattern is a sequence of indices that contains all consecutive integer indices in increasing order of first…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Gil I. Shamir

The algorithmic theory of randomness is well developed when the underlying space is the set of finite or infinite sequences and the underlying probability distribution is the uniform distribution or a computable distribution. These…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Peter Gacs

We lift important results about universally typical sets, typically sampled sets, and empirical entropy estimation in the theory of samplings of discrete ergodic information sources from the usual one-dimensional discrete-time setting to a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-11-13 Tyll Krueger , Guido Montufar , Ruedi Seiler , Rainer Siegmund-Schultze

We construct a statistic and null test for examining the stationarity of time-series of discrete symbols: whether two data streams appear to originate from the same underlying unknown dynamical system, and if any difference is statistically…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Matthew B. Kennel , Alistair I. Mees

A system is data-independent with respect to a data type X iff the operations it can perform on values of type X are restricted to just equality testing. The system may also store, input and output values of type X. We study model checking…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 R. S. Lazic , T. C. Newcomb , A. W. Roscoe

Hypothesis testing based on surrogate data has emerged as a popular way to test the null hypothesis that a signal is a realization of a linear stochastic process. Typically, this is done by generating surrogates which are made to conform to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-08-12 Diego Guarin , Alvaro Orozco , Edilson Delgado

Causal inference uses observations to infer the causal structure of the data generating system. We study a class of functional models that we call Time Series Models with Independent Noise (TiMINo). These models require independent residual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-18 Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

In this article, we study tests of independence for data with arbitrary distributions in the non-serial case, i.e., for independent and identically distributed random vectors, as well as in the serial case, i.e., for time series. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Bouchra R. Nasri , Bruno N. Remillard

Many high-dimensional hypothesis tests aim to globally examine marginal or low-dimensional features of a high-dimensional joint distribution, such as testing of mean vectors, covariance matrices and regression coefficients. This paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Yinqiu He , Gongjun Xu , Chong Wu , Wei Pan

As it is known, universal codes, which estimate the entropy rate consistently, exist for stationary ergodic sources over finite alphabets but not over countably infinite ones. We generalize universal coding as the problem of universal…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Łukasz Dębowski

For ordinal outcomes, we construct sequences of alternative hypotheses in increasing departures from the sharp null hypothesis of zero treatment effect on each experimental unit, to help assess the powers of randomization tests in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-07-19 Jiannan Lu , Peng Ding , Tirthankar Dasgupta

The use of ordinal patterns (OPs) for analyzing the dependence structure of univariate and continuously distributed processes has gained popularity in recent years. This research goes one step further and considers the transcripts being…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Christian H. Weiß , José M. Amigó

We address the recently suggested problem of causal lossless coding of a randomly arriving source samples. We construct variable-to-fixed coding schemes and show that they outperform the previously considered fixed-to-variable schemes when…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Uri Abend , Anatoly Khina

We consider the problem of independence testing for two univariate random variables in a sequential setting. By leveraging recent developments on safe, anytime-valid inference, we propose a test with time-uniform type I error control and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Alexander Henzi , Michael Law