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Recently, machine learning techniques, particularly deep learning, have demonstrated superior performance over traditional time series forecasting methods across various applications, including both single-variable and multi-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Huaiyuan Rao , Yichen Zhao , Qiang Lai

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

Our understanding of learning input-output relationships with neural nets has improved rapidly in recent years, but little is known about the convergence of the underlying representations, even in the simple case of linear autoencoders…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Xuchan Bao , James Lucas , Sushant Sachdeva , Roger Grosse

We study the role of $L_2$ regularization in deep learning, and uncover simple relations between the performance of the model, the $L_2$ coefficient, the learning rate, and the number of training steps. These empirical relations hold when…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-05 Aitor Lewkowycz , Guy Gur-Ari

Deep Reinforcement Learning (Deep RL) has been receiving increasingly more attention thanks to its encouraging performance on a variety of control tasks. Yet, conventional regularization techniques in training neural networks (e.g., $L_2$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-30 Zhuang Liu , Xuanlin Li , Bingyi Kang , Trevor Darrell

Chaotic dynamical systems pose a fundamental challenge for Reinforcement Learning (RL): exponential sensitivity to initial conditions induces high-variance bootstrap targets and poorly conditioned gradient updates. Chaotic dynamics arise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 James Rudd-Jones , Mirco Musolesi , María Pérez-Ortiz

We explore the influence of precision of the data and the algorithm for the simulation of chaotic dynamics by neural networks techniques. For this purpose, we simulate the Lorenz system with different precisions using three different neural…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-09 S. Bompas , B. Georgeot , D. Guéry-Odelin

Data augmentation has been proven to be an effective technique for developing machine learning models that are robust to known classes of distributional shifts (e.g., rotations of images), and alignment regularization is a technique often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Haohan Wang , Zeyi Huang , Xindi Wu , Eric P. Xing

A crucial problem in neural networks is to select the most appropriate number of hidden neurons and obtain tight statistical risk bounds. In this work, we present a new perspective towards the bias-variance tradeoff in neural networks. As…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Gen Li , Yuantao Gu , Jie Ding

We provide a statistical analysis of regularization-based continual learning on a sequence of linear regression tasks, with emphasis on how different regularization terms affect the model performance. We first derive the convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Xuyang Zhao , Huiyuan Wang , Weiran Huang , Wei Lin

An approach to the time-accurate prediction of chaotic solutions is by learning temporal patterns from data. Echo State Networks (ESNs), which are a class of Reservoir Computing, can accurately predict the chaotic dynamics well beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Alberto Racca , Luca Magri

Accurate probabilistic predictions are essential for optimal decision making. While neural network miscalibration has been studied primarily in classification, we investigate this in the less-explored domain of regression. We conduct the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Victor Dheur , Souhaib Ben Taieb

This paper discusses the application of L1-regularized maximum entropy modeling or SL1-Max [9] to multiclass categorization problems. A new modification to the SL1-Max fast sequential learning algorithm is proposed to handle conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Patrick Haffner , Steven Phillips , Rob Schapire

Sequence prediction models can be learned from example sequences with a variety of training algorithms. Maximum likelihood learning is simple and efficient, yet can suffer from compounding error at test time. Reinforcement learning such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Bowen Tan , Zhiting Hu , Zichao Yang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric Xing

Due to the over-parameterization nature, neural networks are a powerful tool for nonlinear function approximation. In order to achieve good generalization on unseen data, a suitable inductive bias is of great importance for neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Weiyang Liu , Rongmei Lin , Zhen Liu , Li Xiong , Bernhard Schölkopf , Adrian Weller

Data augmentation is one of the most popular techniques for improving the robustness of neural networks. In addition to directly training the model with original samples and augmented samples, a torrent of methods regularizing the distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-30 Haohan Wang , Zeyi Huang , Xindi Wu , Eric P. Xing

We study generalization in an overparameterized continual linear regression setting, where a model is trained with L2 (isotropic) regularization across a sequence of tasks. We derive a closed-form expression for the expected generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Gilad Karpel , Edward Moroshko , Ran Levinstein , Ron Meir , Daniel Soudry , Itay Evron

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

This work uses the entropy-regularised relaxed stochastic control perspective as a principled framework for designing reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. Herein agent interacts with the environment by generating noisy controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Lukasz Szpruch , Tanut Treetanthiploet , Yufei Zhang
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