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Social reasoning - inferring unobservable beliefs and intentions from partial observations of other agents - remains a challenging task for large language models (LLMs). We evaluate the limits of current reasoning language models in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Shahab Rahimirad , Guven Gergerli , Lucia Romero , Angela Qian , Matthew Lyle Olson , Simon Stepputtis , Joseph Campbell

We introduce a new concept of approximation applicable to decision problems and functions, inspired by Bayesian probability. From the perspective of a Bayesian reasoner with limited computational resources, the answer to a problem that…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Vanessa Kosoy , Alexander Appel

One of the main notions of information theory is the notion of mutual information in two messages (two random variables in Shannon information theory or two binary strings in algorithmic information theory). The mutual information in $x$…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-19 Ilya Razenshteyn

Persuasion, a fundamental social capability for humans, remains a challenge for AI systems such as large language models (LLMs). Current studies often overlook the strategic use of information asymmetry in message design or rely on strong…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Buwei He , Yang Liu , Zhaowei Zhang , Zixia Jia , Huijia Wu , Zhaofeng He , Zilong Zheng , Yipeng Kang

We study the merging and the testing of opinions in the context of a prediction model. In the absence of incentive problems, opinions can be tested and rejected, regardless of whether or not data produces consensus among Bayesian agents. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Luciano Pomatto , Nabil Al-Najjar , Alvaro Sandroni

Models of continuous opinion dynamics under bounded confidence have been presented independently by Krause and Hegselmann and by Deffuant et al in 2000. They have raised a fair amount of attention in the communities of social simulation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-03-06 Jan Lorenz

An algorithm for $n-1$-strong-equillibrium for distributed consensus in a ring with rational agents was proposed by Afek et al. (2014). A proof of impossibility of $n-1$-strong-equillibrium for distributed consensus in every topology with…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Amit Jacob Fanani , Itay Harel

We examine strategy-proof elections to select a winner amongst a set of agents, each of whom cares only about winning. This impartial selection problem was introduced independently by Holzman and Moulin and Alon et al. Fisher and Klimm…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-01 Nicolas Bousquet , Sergey Norin , Adrian Vetta

The literature on strategic communication originated with the influential cheap talk model, which precedes the Bayesian persuasion model by three decades. This model describes an interaction between two agents: sender and receiver. The…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Yakov Babichenko , Inbal Talgam-Cohen , Haifeng Xu , Konstantin Zabarnyi

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

Bayesian persuasion, a central model in information design, studies how a sender, who privately observes a state drawn from a prior distribution, strategically sends a signal to influence a receiver's action. A key assumption is that both…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Jingwu Tang , Jiahao Zhang , Fei Fang , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Due to the wide application of average consensus algorithm, its security and privacy problems have attracted great attention. In this paper, we consider the system threatened by a set of unknown agents that are both "malicious" and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Shuai Sun , Yilin Mo

We study an opinion dynamics model in which agents reach compromise via pairwise interactions. When the opinions of two agents are sufficiently close, they both acquire the average of their initial opinions; otherwise, they do not interact.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 E. Ben-Naim , P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Suppose that multiple experts (or learning algorithms) provide us with alternative Bayesian network (BN) structures over a domain, and that we are interested in combining them into a single consensus BN structure. Specifically, we are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jose M. Peña

This paper explores the emergence of norms in agents' societies when agents play multiple -even incompatible- roles in their social contexts simultaneously, and have limited interaction ranges. Specifically, this article proposes two…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2015-03-25 George Vouros

This paper builds a model of interactive belief hierarchies to derive the conditions under which judging an arbitrage opportunity requires Bayesian market participants to exercise their higher-order beliefs. As a Bayesian, an agent must…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-11-08 Ayan Bhattacharya

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in high-stakes settings where good decisions require forming beliefs over the probability of unknown outcomes. However, it is unclear whether LLMs act as if they hold coherent beliefs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Khurram Yamin , Jingjing Tang , Santiago Cortes-Gomez , Amit Sharma , Eric Horvitz , Bryan Wilder

We consider the $\varepsilon$-Consensus-Halving problem, in which a set of heterogeneous agents aim at dividing a continuous resource into two (not necessarily contiguous) portions that all of them simultaneously consider to be of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Argyrios Deligkas , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Alexandros Hollender

Negotiation is a very common interaction between automated agents. Many common negotiation protocols work with cardinal utilities, even though ordinal preferences, which only rank the outcomes, are easier to elicit from humans. In this work…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Sefi Erlich , Noam Hazon , Sarit Kraus

A set of mutually distrusting participants that want to agree on a common opinion must solve an instance of a Byzantine agreement problem. These problems have been extensively studied in the literature. However, most of the existing…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Pankaj Khanchandani , Roger Wattenhofer