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Related papers: The Complexity of Agreement

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According to Aumann's celebrated theorem, rational agents cannot agree to disagree. In other words, agents who once shared a common prior probability distribution and who have common knowledge about their posteriors cannot assign different…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-01-21 Matthew Leifer , Cristhiano Duarte

We present an efficient reduction that converts any machine learning algorithm into an interactive protocol, enabling collaboration with another party (e.g., a human) to achieve consensus on predictions and improve accuracy. This approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Natalie Collina , Surbhi Goel , Varun Gupta , Aaron Roth

Inspired by Aumann's agreement theorem, Scott Aaronson studied the amount of communication necessary for two Bayesian experts to approximately agree on the expectation of a random variable. Aaronson showed that, remarkably, the number of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Rafael Frongillo , Eric Neyman , Bo Waggoner

Standard models of multi-agent modal logic do not capture the fact that information is often ambiguous, and may be interpreted in different ways by different agents. We propose a framework that can model this, and consider different…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-06 Joseph Y. Halpern , Willemien Kets

We give efficient "collaboration protocols" through which two parties, who observe different features about the same instances, can interact to arrive at predictions that are more accurate than either could have obtained on their own. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Natalie Collina , Ira Globus-Harris , Surbhi Goel , Varun Gupta , Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi

Agreement theorems are no-go results about rational disagreement: if two agents start from a common prior and their posterior beliefs are common knowledge, they cannot assign different probabilities to the same event. Standard treatments of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Carlo Cepollaro , Andrea Di Biagio

Aumann's famous Agreeing to Disagree Theorem states that if a group of agents share a common prior, update their beliefs by Bayesian conditioning based on private information, and have common knowledge of their posterior beliefs regarding…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Eric Pacuit , Leo Yang

We study the Bayesian model of opinion exchange of fully rational agents arranged on a network. In this model, the agents receive private signals that are indicative of an unkown state of the world. Then, they repeatedly announce the state…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Jan Hązła , Ali Jadbabaie , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

In the compromise model of Deffuant et al., opinions are real numbers between 0 and 1 and two agents are compatible if the difference of their opinions is smaller than the confidence bound parameter \epsilon. The opinions of a randomly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Santo Fortunato

We study a model of consensus decision making, in which a finite group of Bayesian agents has to choose between one of two courses of action. Each member of the group has a private and independent signal at his or her disposal, giving some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Elchanan Mossel , Omer Tamuz

We formulate and prove an Agreement Theorem for quantum mechanics (QM), describing when two agents, represented by separate laboratories, can or cannot maintain differing probability estimates of a shared quantum property of interest.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-20 María García Díaz , Adam Brandenburger , Giannicola Scarpa

Through set-theoretic formalization of the notion of common knowledge, Aumann proved that if two agents have the common priors, and their posteriors for a given event are common knowledge, then their posteriors must be equal. In this paper…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-29 Andrei Khrennikov , Irina Basieva

Common sense suggests that when individuals explain why they believe something, we can arrive at more accurate conclusions than when they simply state what they believe. Yet, there is no known mechanism that provides incentives to elicit…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Siddarth Srinivasan , Ezra Karger , Michiel Bakker , Yiling Chen

We study the set of possible joint posterior belief distributions of a group of agents who share a common prior regarding a binary state, and who observe some information structure. For two agents we introduce a quantitative version of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-12-24 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Fedor Sandomirskiy , Omer Tamuz

We study a setting where Bayesian agents with a common prior have private information related to an event's outcome and sequentially make public announcements relating to their information. Our main result shows that when agents' private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuqing Kong , Grant Schoenebeck

A compromise process describes the evolution of opinions through binary interactions. Opinions are real numbers, and at each step, two randomly selected agents reach a compromise by averaging their pre-interaction opinions. We prove that if…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-23 P. L. Krapivsky , A. Yu. Plakhov

In the bounded confidence model the opinions of a set of agents evolve over discrete time steps. In each round an agent averages the opinion of all agents whose opinions are at most a certain threshold apart. Here we assume that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 Sascha Kurz

In its simplest form the well known consensus problem for a networked family of autonomous agents is to devise a set of protocols or update rules, one for each agent, which can enable all of the agents to adjust or tune their "agreement…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-16 Jingxuan Zhu , Yixuan Lin , Ji Liu , A. Stephen Morse

Persuasion studies how an informed principal may influence the behavior of agents by the strategic provision of payoff-relevant information. We focus on the fundamental multi-receiver model by Arieli and Babichenko (2019), in which there…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Matteo Castiglioni , Andrea Celli , Nicola Gatti

We study the computations that Bayesian agents undertake when exchanging opinions over a network. The agents act repeatedly on their private information and take myopic actions that maximize their expected utility according to a fully…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Jan Hązła , Ali Jadbabaie , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian
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