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I think we can agree that dealing with uncertainty is not easy. Probability is the main tool for dealing with uncertainty, and we know there are many probability-related puzzles and paradoxes. Here I describe a rather idiosyncratic…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-19 Yudi Pawitan

Advances in the general capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have led to their use for information retrieval, and as components in automated decision systems. A faithful representation of probabilistic reasoning in these models may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Gabriel Freedman , Francesca Toni

We describe a representation and a set of inference methods that combine logic programming techniques with probabilistic network representations for uncertainty (influence diagrams). The techniques emphasize the dynamic construction and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 John S. Breese , Edison Tse

Possibilistic computation tree Logic (PoCTL) is one kind of branching temporal logic combined with uncertain information in possibility theory, which was introduced in order to cope with the systematic verification on systems with uncertain…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Yongming Li

It is well known that the resolution method (for propositional logic) is complete. However, completeness proofs found in the literature use an argument by contradiction showing that if a set of clauses is unsatisfiable, then it must have a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Jean Gallier

In this talk - based on the results of a forthcoming paper (Coletti, Scozzafava and Vantaggi 2002), presented also by one of us at the Conference on "Non Classical Logic, Approximate Reasoning and Soft-Computing" (Anacapri, Italy, 2001) -…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giulianella Coletti , Romano Scozzafava , Barbara Vantaggi

We propose a formalization of the three-tier causal hierarchy of association, intervention, and counterfactuals as a series of probabilistic logical languages. Our languages are of strictly increasing expressivity, the first capable of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Duligur Ibeling , Thomas Icard

In this paper we show several similarities among logic systems that deal simultaneously with deductive and quantitative inference. We claim it is appropriate to call the tasks those systems perform as Quantitative Logic Reasoning. Analogous…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Marcelo Finger

Argumentation is the process of constructing arguments about propositions, and the assignment of statements of confidence to those propositions based on the nature and relative strength of their supporting arguments. The process is modelled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 John Fox , Paul J. Krause , Morten Elvang-Gøransson

We consider the one-variable fragment of first-order logic extended with Presburger constraints. The logic is designed in such a way that it subsumes the previously-known fragments extended with counting, modulo counting or cardinality…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Bartosz Bednarczyk

The logic of uncertainty is not the logic of experience and as well as it is not the logic of chance. It is the logic of experience and chance. Experience and chance are two inseparable poles. These are two dual reflections of one essence,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-03 Oleg Yu Vorobyev

While probability theory is normally applied to external environments, there has been some recent interest in probabilistic modeling of the outputs of computations that are too expensive to run. Since mathematical logic is a powerful tool…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Scott Garrabrant , Benya Fallenstein , Abram Demski , Nate Soares

We recently described a formalism for reasoning with if-then rules that re expressed with different levels of firmness [18]. The formalism interprets these rules as extreme conditional probability statements, specifying orders of magnitude…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Moises Goldszmidt , Judea Pearl

Argumentation problems are concerned with determining the acceptability of a set of arguments from their relational structure. When the available information is uncertain, probabilistic argumentation frameworks provide modelling tools to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Pietro Totis , Angelika Kimmig , Luc De Raedt

Reasoning with defeasible and conflicting knowledge in an argumentative form is a key research field in computational argumentation. Reasoning under various forms of uncertainty is both a key feature and a challenging barrier for automated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Andrei Popescu , Johannes P. Wallner

Over the last two decades, there has been an extensive study on logical formalisms for specifying and verifying real-time systems. Temporal logics have been an important research subject within this direction. Although numerous logics have…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-08-06 Savas Konur

We present a semantics for adding uncertainty to conditional logics for default reasoning and belief revision. We are able to treat conditional sentences as statements of conditional probability, and express rules for revision such as "If A…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Craig Boutilier

Description logics are a powerful tool for describing ontological knowledge bases. That is, they give a factual account of the world in terms of individuals, concepts and relations. In the presence of uncertainty, such factual accounts are…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Tim French , Tom Smoker

Bayesian networks provide an elegant formalism for representing and reasoning about uncertainty using probability theory. Theyare a probabilistic extension of propositional logic and, hence, inherit some of the limitations of propositional…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristian Kersting , Luc De Raedt

The use of maximum entropy inference in reasoning with uncertain information is commonly justified by an information-theoretic argument. This paper discusses a possible objection to this information-theoretic justification and shows how it…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Daniel Hunter