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Given a finite collection of probability measures defined on subsets of a measurable space, how can we determine if they are compatible, in the sense that they can be realized as conditional distributions of a single probability measure on…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Owen D. Biesel , Colin McSwiggen , Ted Theodosopoulos , Michael G. Titelbaum

This paper deals with (finite or infinite) sequences of arbitrary independent events in some probability space. We find sharp lower bounds for the probability of a union of such events when the sum of their probabilities is given. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Jürgen Grahl , Shahar Nevo

This work proposes a view of probability as a relative measure rather than an absolute one. To demonstrate this concept, we focus on finite outcome spaces and develop three fundamental axioms that establish requirements for relative…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Max Sklar

By analyzing the concept of contextuality (Bell-Kochen-Specker) in terms of pre-and-post-selection (PPS), it is possible to assign definite values to observables in a new and surprising way. Physical reasons are presented for restrictions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Jeff Tollaksen

We consider the almost-sure (a.s.) termination problem for probabilistic programs, which are a stochastic extension of classical imperative programs. Lexicographic ranking functions provide a sound and practical approach for termination of…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Ehsan Kafshdar Goharshady , Petr Novotný , Jiří Zárevúcky , Đorđe Žikelić

The probability of necessity (PN), which quantifies the probability that an observed event would not have occurred in the absence of the treatment, is a central estimand in attribution analysis. While PN has been extensively studied for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jile Chaoge , Kesen Han , Fahui Liu , Peng Wu

We study a generalization of conditional probability for arbitrary ordered vector spaces. A related problem is that of assigning a numerical value to one vector relative to another. We characterize the groups for which these generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Nicolas Monod

The language of probability is used to define several different types of conditional statements. There are four principal types: subjunctive, material, existential, and feasibility. Two further types of conditionals are defined using the…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-09-29 Joseph W. Norman

We identify a few conditions $X$ such that $(P=NP \wedge X) \;\Rightarrow\; P=PSPACE$.

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Ismael Rodriguez

Probability measures by themselves, are known to be inappropriate for modeling the dynamics of plain belief and their excessively strong measurability constraints make them unsuitable for some representational tasks, e.g. in the context of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Emil Weydert

Classical countably additive real-valued probabilities come at a philosophical cost: in many infinite situations, they assign the same probability value -- namely, zero -- to cases that are impossible as well as to cases that are possible.…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-29 Alexander R. Pruss

``Behind every limit theorem, there is an inequality'' said Kolmogorov. We say ``for every inequality, there is an approximate inequality under approximate regularity conditions.'' Suppose $X, X'$ are independent and identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Attempts to replicate probabilistic reasoning in expert systems have typically overlooked a critical ingredient of that process. Probabilistic analysis typically requires extensive judgments regarding interdependencies among hypotheses and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Marvin S. Cohen

We propose a combination of probabilistic reasoning from conditional constraints with approaches to default reasoning from conditional knowledge bases. In detail, we generalize the notions of Pearl's entailment in system Z, Lehmann's…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Thomas Lukasiewicz

The article provides the theoretical framework of Probabilistic Shoenfield Machines (PSMs), an extension of the classical Shoenfield Machine that models randomness in the computation process. PSMs are introduced in contexts where…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Maksymilian Bujok , Adam Mata

We use the fact that some linear Hamiltonian systems can be considered as ``finite level'' quantum systems, and the description of quantum mechanics in terms of probabilities, to associate probability distributions with this particular…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 V. I. Man'ko , G. Marmo

We consider a general class of empirical-type likelihoods and develop higher order asymptotics with a view to characterizing members thereof that allow the existence of possibly data-dependent probability matching priors ensuring…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Rahul Mukerjee

Although copulas are used and defined for various infinite-dimensional objects (e.g. Gaussian processes and Markov processes), there is no prevalent notion of a copula that unifies these concepts. We propose a unified approach and define…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Fred Espen Benth , Giulia Di Nunno , Dennis Schroers

In many applications of natural language processing it is necessary to determine the likelihood of a given word combination. For example, a speech recognizer may need to determine which of the two word combinations ``eat a peach'' and ``eat…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Ido Dagan , Fernando Pereira , Lillian Lee

Mathematical text is written using a combination of words and mathematical expressions. This combination, along with a specific way of structuring sentences makes it challenging for state-of-art NLP tools to understand and reason on top of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Deborah Ferreira , Andre Freitas