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Belief revision of knowledge bases represented by a set of sentences in a given logic has been extensively studied but for specific logics, mainly propositional, and also recently Horn and description logics. Here, we propose to generalize…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-17 Marc Aiguier , Jamal Atif , Isabelle Bloch , Céline Hudelot

We propose a new paradigm for Belief Change in which the new information is represented as sets of models, while the agent's body of knowledge is represented as a finite set of formulae, that is, a finite base. The focus on finiteness is…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Ricardo Guimarães , Ana Ozaki , Jandson S. Ribeiro

While belief functions may be seen formally as a generalization of probabilistic distributions, the question of the interactions between belief functions and probability is still an issue in practice. This question is difficult, since the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-10-03 Frederic Dambreville

Globally operating enterprises selling large and complex products and services often have to deal with situations where variability models are locally developed to take into account the requirements of local markets. For example, cars sold…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Mathias Uta , Alexander Felfernig , Gottfried Schenner , Johannes Spoecklberger

In the data mining field many clustering methods have been proposed, yet standard versions do not take into account uncertain databases. This paper deals with a new approach to cluster uncertain data by using a hierarchical clustering…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-13 Wiem Maalel , Kuang Zhou , Arnaud Martin , Zied Elouedi

The practical importance of coherent forecasts in hierarchical forecasting has inspired many studies on forecast reconciliation. Under this approach, so-called base forecasts are produced for every series in the hierarchy and are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-21 Bohan Zhang , Yanfei Kang , Anastasios Panagiotelis , Feng Li

Although pretrained language models (PTLMs) contain significant amounts of world knowledge, they can still produce inconsistent answers to questions when probed, even after specialized training. As a result, it can be hard to identify what…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-10-01 Nora Kassner , Oyvind Tafjord , Hinrich Schütze , Peter Clark

In a probability-based reasoning system, Bayes' theorem and its variations are often used to revise the system's beliefs. However, if the explicit conditions and the implicit conditions of probability assignments `me properly distinguished,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Pei Wang

Iterated Belief Change is the research area that investigates principles for the dynamics of beliefs over (possibly unlimited) many subsequent belief changes. In this paper, we demonstrate how iterated belief change is connected to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Kai Sauerwald , Christoph Beierle

In action domains where agents may have erroneous beliefs, reasoning about the effects of actions involves reasoning about belief change. In this paper, we use a transition system approach to reason about the evolution of an agents beliefs…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Aaron Hunter , James P. Delgrande

Reliable confidence estimation for the predictions is important in many safety-critical applications. However, modern deep neural networks are often overconfident for their incorrect predictions. Recently, many calibration methods have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Fei Zhu , Zhen Cheng , Xu-Yao Zhang , Cheng-Lin Liu

A knowledge system S describing a part of real world does in general not contain complete information. Reasoning with incomplete information is prone to errors since any belief derived from S may be false in the present state of the world.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-05-20 Eliezer L. Lozinskii

Belief Propagation algorithms are instruments used broadly to solve graphical model optimization and statistical inference problems. In the general case of a loopy Graphical Model, Belief Propagation is a heuristic which is quite successful…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-15 Andrii Riazanov , Yury Maximov , Michael Chertkov

Belief revision and update, two significant types of belief change, both focus on how an agent modify her beliefs in presence of new information. The most striking difference between them is that the former studies the change of beliefs in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Quanlong Guan , Tong Zhu , Liangda Fang , Junming Qiu , Zhao-Rong Lai , Weiqi Luo

Bayes' rule, which is routinely used to update beliefs based on new evidence, can be derived from a principle of minimum change. This principle states that updated beliefs must be consistent with new data, while deviating minimally from the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Ge Bai , Francesco Buscemi , Valerio Scarani

When it is acknowledged that all candidate parameterised statistical models are misspecified relative to the data generating process, the decision maker (DM) must currently concern themselves with inference for the parameter value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Jack Jewson , Jim Q Smith , Chris Holmes

Traditional approaches to non-monotonic reasoning fail to satisfy a number of plausible axioms for belief revision and suffer from conceptual difficulties as well. Recent work on ranked preferential models (RPMs) promises to overcome some…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Daniel Hunter

We present a model for studying communities of epistemically interacting agents who update their belief states by averaging (in a specified way) the belief states of other agents in the community. The agents in our model have a rich belief…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-15 Sylvia Wenmackers , Danny E. P. Vanpoucke , Igor Douven

Belief revision is the task of modifying a knowledge base when new information becomes available, while also respecting a number of desirable properties. Classical belief revision schemes have been already specialised to \emph{binary…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-21 Lilith Mattei , Alessandro Facchini , Alessandro Antonucci

In this paper we formulate the problem of inference under incomplete information in very general terms. This includes modelling the process responsible for the incompleteness, which we call the incompleteness process. We allow the process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Marco Zaffalon , Enrique Miranda