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The conditional mutual information I(X;Y|Z) measures the average information that X and Y contain about each other given Z. This is an important primitive in many learning problems including conditional independence testing, graphical model…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-16 Arman Rahimzamani , Sreeram Kannan

Recent decades have seen an interest in prediction problems for which Bayesian methodology has been used ubiquitously. Sampling from or approximating the posterior predictive distribution in a Bayesian model allows one to make inferential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-12 Giri Gopalan

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

Cognitive biases are widespread in humans and animals alike, and can sometimes be reinforced by social interactions. One prime bias in judgment and decision-making is the human tendency to underestimate large quantities. Previous research…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-12 Bertrand Jayles , Clément Sire , Ralf H. J. M Kurvers

We propose a new model selection method, the posterior averaging information criterion, for Bayesian model assessment from a predictive perspective. The theoretical foundation is built on the Kullback-Leibler divergence to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Shouhao Zhou

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

Exponential models of distributions are widely used in machine learning for classiffication and modelling. It is well known that they can be interpreted as maximum entropy models under empirical expectation constraints. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Amir Globerson , Naftali Tishby

We introduce a new, rigorously-formulated Bayesian meta-learning algorithm that learns a probability distribution of model parameter prior for few-shot learning. The proposed algorithm employs a gradient-based variational inference to infer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Cuong Nguyen , Thanh-Toan Do , Gustavo Carneiro

Multimodal VAEs seek to model the joint distribution over heterogeneous data (e.g.\ vision, language), whilst also capturing a shared representation across such modalities. Prior work has typically combined information from the modalities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Tom Joy , Yuge Shi , Philip H. S. Torr , Tom Rainforth , Sebastian M. Schmon , N. Siddharth

Mutual information is an important measure of the dependence among variables. It has become widely used in statistics, machine learning, biology, etc. However, the standard techniques for estimating it often perform poorly in higher…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-09-18 Nick Carrara , Jesse Ernst

We introduce the Mutual Information Machine (MIM), a novel formulation of representation learning, using a joint distribution over the observations and latent state in an encoder/decoder framework. Our key principles are symmetry and mutual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Micha Livne , Kevin Swersky , David J. Fleet

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

If the prior probability distributions of all possible hypothetical true means and all possible observed means of a continuous variable are conditional on the universal set of all numbers (i.e., before the nature of a study is known and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Huw Llewelyn

We study the mutual information estimation for mixed-pair random variables. One random variable is discrete and the other one is continuous. We develop a kernel method to estimate the mutual information between the two random variables. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Aleksandr Beknazaryan , Xin Dang , Hailin Sang

Motivated by applications to group synchronization and quadratic assignment on random data, we study a general problem of Bayesian inference of an unknown ``signal'' belonging to a high-dimensional compact group, given noisy pairwise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Kaylee Y. Yang , Timothy L. H. Wee , Zhou Fan

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

Because of the kinematic reversibility of the Stokes equation, fluid mixing at the microscale requires an interplay between advection and diffusion. Here we introduce mutual information between particle positions before and after mixing as…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-06-04 Yihong Shi , Ramin Golestanian , Andrej Vilfan

This paper examines how an event from one random variable provides pointwise mutual information about an event from another variable via probability mass exclusions. We start by introducing probability mass diagrams, which provide a visual…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Conor Finn , Joseph T Lizier

Stochastic variational inference makes it possible to approximate posterior distributions induced by large datasets quickly using stochastic optimization. The algorithm relies on the use of fully factorized variational distributions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Matthew D. Hoffman , David M. Blei

Precise estimation of uncertainty in predictions for AI systems is a critical factor in ensuring trust and safety. Deep neural networks trained with a conventional method are prone to over-confident predictions. In contrast to Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Theodoros Tsiligkaridis