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The concept of uncertainty is posed in almost any complex system including parallel robots as an outstanding instance of dynamical robotics systems. As suggested by the name, uncertainty, is some missing information that is beyond the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Hamid Reza Hassanzadeh

ML models have errors when used for predictions. The errors are unknown but can be quantified by model uncertainty. When multiple ML models are trained using the same training points, their model uncertainties may be statistically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-23 Xiaoping Du

The Guide to the Expression of Uncertainty in Measurement (GUM) mainly deals with measurement models having only a single output quantity. However, in many cases more than one output quantity is required, where all of them are related to a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-04-29 Michael P. Krystek

We present a novel, input-output data-driven approach to uncertainty model identification. As the true bounds and distributions of system uncertainties ultimately remain unknown, we depart from the goal of identifying the uncertainty model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-29 Jannes Hühnerbein , Jad Wehbeh , Eric C. Kerrigan

In this paper, we introduce a fundamental framework to create a bridge between Probability Theory and Fuzzy Logic. Indeed, our theory formulates a random experiment of selecting crisp elements with the criterion of having a certain fuzzy…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Amir Saki , Usef Faghihi

We set up a model for reasoning about metric spaces with belief theoretic measures. The uncertainty in these spaces stems from both probability and metric. To represent both aspect of uncertainty, we choose an expected distance function as…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Seunghwan Lee

It is well known over the recent years that measuring the success of projects under the umbrella of project management is inextricably linked with the associated cost, time, and quality. Most of the previous researches in the field assigned…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Mohammad Sammany , Ahmad Steef , Nedaa Agami , T. Medhat

We give a geometrically motivated measure of skewness, define a mean value triangle number, and dispersion (in that order) of a fuzzy number without reference or seeking analogy to the namesake but parallel concepts in probability theory.…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jan Schneider

Real-world phenomena often exhibit vagueness, partial truth, and incomplete information. To model such uncertainty in a mathematically rigorous way, many generalized set-theoretic frameworks have been introduced, including Fuzzy Sets [1],…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Takaaki Fujita , Florentin Smarandache

Convection-diffusion of heat transfer is one of the important phenomena in fluid flow and industrial problems. The involved parameters, boundary conditions, and material properties are greatly affecting the same. As such, the uncertainness…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2022-05-23 Sudipta Priyadarshini , Sukanta Nayak , Paresh Kumar Panigrahi

The energy system studies include a wide range of issues from short term (e.g. real-time, hourly, daily and weekly operating decisions) to long term horizons (e.g. planning or policy making). The decision making chain is fed by input…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-26 Alireza Soroudi , Turaj Amraee

This paper briefly elaborates on a development in (applied) fuzzy logic that has taken place in the last couple of decades, namely, the complementation or even replacement of the traditional knowledge-based approach to fuzzy rule-based…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-12-05 Eyke Hüllermeier

Information-theory based variational principles have proven effective at providing scalable uncertainty quantification (i.e. robustness) bounds for quantities of interest in the presence of nonparametric model-form uncertainty. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-11 Jeremiah Birrell , Luc Rey-Bellet

The purpose of this paper is to point to the usefulness of applying a linear mathematical formulation of fuzzy multiple criteria objective decision methods in organising business activities. In this respect fuzzy parameters of linear…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Sonja Petrovic-Lazarevic , Ajith Abraham

In this paper, we present a generalization of the relational data model based on paraconsistent intuitionistic fuzzy sets. Our data model is capable of manipulating incomplete as well as inconsistent information. Fuzzy relation or…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Rajshekhar Sunderraman , Haibin Wang

The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Relational models for diagnosis are based on a direct description of the association between disorders and manifestations. This type of model has been specially used and developed by Reggia and his co-workers in the late eighties as a basic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Didier Dubois , Henri Prade

The DUCK-calculus presented here is a recent approach to cope with probabilistic uncertainty in a sound and efficient way. Uncertain rules with bounds for probabilities and explicit conditional independences can be maintained incrementally.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Helmut Thone , Ulrich Guntzer , Werner Kiessling

Better representation of the uncertainty in a data visualisation is a focus of recent research activity. A problem with the current literature is that there is a lack of clarity about the definition of uncertainty and what it means to…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Harriet Mason , Dianne Cook , Sarah Goodwin , Emi Tanaka , Susan VanderPlas

Simulations using machine learning (ML) models and mechanistic models are often run to inform decision-making processes. Uncertainty estimates of simulation results are critical to the decision-making process because simulation results of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Babajide Kolade